Australia


Uncertainty continues about Cyclone Oma's track to NZ, uncertainty around rainfall totals too (+12 Maps)

Areas of rain are coming to New Zealand but the jury remains out on whether or not Cyclone Oma will directly impact the country this weekend and early next week. As hundreds of computer models continue to try and crunch the data the globe's two most trusted sources for cyclones, GFS and ECMWF are still totally disagreeing about Oma's future track beyond the northern Tasman Sea this Friday.


Weather Video: The latest on Cyclone Oma and possible tracking in to the New Zealand area

Large amounts of uncertainty remain over the weekend tracking of Cyclone Oma but for Tuesday and Wednesday the tropical cyclone will be tracking past the north western tip of New Caledonia bringing over 200mm of rain in the coming days and possibly damaging winds for a portion of the island.
 
Over the next few days Oma tracks south towards the Tasman Sea area while o

Tropical Cyclone Oma's future path not yet locked in

UPDATED 7:41pm --- Tropical Cyclone Oma was upgraded to a Severe Category 3 storm on Saturday evening but has weakened a little back to a Category 2 cyclone as of Sunday PM.

Oma is likely to hover around the Category 2/3 mark for the next few days.


Cyclone Oma expected to strengthen in the days ahead, we track the next 7 days (+3 Maps)

Be prepared for some changeable forecasts over the next 10 days if you live in the North Island of New Zealand as Cyclone Oma continues to churn away well to our north. The very slow moving Category 2 Tropical Cyclone remains west of Vanuatu and will spend the next few days tracking towards north west New Caledonia and then the open waters of the Coral Sea.


Weather Video: Cyclone Oma may become a severe cyclone, we track it for a week

Forecasts are going to be changeable for one week from now across the North Island due to a tropical cyclone that may well be still a long way off from NZ but might still influence our weather.

Latest tracking is good news for Vanuatu and New Caledonia with the storm tracking further west hopefully in the days ahead, pushing it further out to sea.


Weather Video: The latest on Cyclone Oma and will NZ get any rain next week?

Cyclone Oma continues to lie over Vanuatu and will very slowly drift towards New Caledonia. It may then linger in this area for an entire week.

As for New Zealand we may still be impacted by this but the risk is low, around 30% as of today. We’ll keep you posted.


Cyclone Oma forms, could become bigger storm and linger over 10 days north of NZ (+4 Maps)

The second Tropical Cyclone in days north of New Zealand has formed and been named Oma by the Fiji Met Service. Current forecasts show it slowly tracking over Vanuatu and New Caledonia as a Category 2 storm over the coming days.


Weather Video: Tropical low the size of Australia this week, what it means for NZ

We had Cyclone Neil over the weekend near Tonga now two other lows north of New Zealand have cyclone potential but are likely to merge this week to create one big super low, possibly as large as Australia.


Tropical storms north of NZ to merge this week to create one low the size of Australia

It's stormy north of New Zealand with at least 4 low pressure systems, one of which was a tropical cyclone briefly over the weekend (named Neil) and two more storms which may reach cyclone status in the days ahead too.


10 day Rainfall Accumulation Map shows big dry locked in for some as major rain flirts nearby (+3 Maps)

NZ is fast drying out and the big dry is now becoming much more concerning for some with long range forecasts suggesting little to no rain may be coming for those who need it the most over the next 10 days.