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Tropical Cyclone likely to form this weekend in Coral Sea: New Caledonia, Norfolk Island, New Zealand at some risk

A tropical depression today will likely turn into a tropical cyclone by Sunday, says

The storm looks likely to intensify next week into a “severe” tropical storm, meaning it will likely reach Category 3 strength – and even has the potential to reach the top end, Category 5.

Sea surface temperatures in the area the storm is in now are over 30 degrees C with air temperatures around 28C. The sea surface temperatures in northern NZ are warmer than average in the low 20s – meaning the cyclone will weaken as it moves south towards NZ – but may retain a fair amount of energy thanks to the warmer seas.

Full details about risks and tracking can be found in our next video update (which will be out before noon today).

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