A cold front is moving up the South Island today, and falling apart, but high pressure is coming in behind it, bringing a warmer/hotter weekend. By Monday, Feb 2, a low south of NZ will bring a burst of windier weather, southern and western rain, northern showers/downpours – and a colder southerly change, dropping temperatures for much of NZ going through Monday and/or Tuesday.

By Tuesday though, high pressure again retuns and may linger over much of the nation going into Waitangi Day and the long weekend.

This morning an unofficial tropical cyclone had formed south of Fiji and well north of NZ. It’s a borderline system and will be short lived and is fast leaving the tropics. It’s not a named storm for these reasons. It will fall apart in the next 36 hours and won’t bring severe weather to NZ based on any modelling we’ve seen, because of so much high pressure in our part of the world.

We also have a 7 day upcoming rainfall map to make sense of it all.