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Weak sub-tropical low failing to kick start

A weak area of low pressure in the northern Tasman Sea has, for a week now, failed to really kick off.  Between the low in the northern Tasman/Coral Sea and a high over the central Tasman Sea the weather pattern has brought dangerous swells to Australia’s Gold Coast and bands of heavy rain across Queensland.

The small low is one forecasters here in New Zealand are monitoring but latest data used by shows it is unlikely to cause too many issues here.

However the low is tapping into moisture laden and warm air with small but explosive bands of rain. has low confidence of the low tracking close enough to bring significant rain to northern New Zealand but says Northland will be most exposed to any potential risk. 

Auckland and Coromandel are at a much lower risk with the low predicted to scoot past to the north east on Sunday and Monday.

We’ll track it closely over the weekend and bring you further updates if needed.

– Homepage image / GFS map as of today showing the small area of low pressure to our north west


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