The second tropical cyclone in a week is heading directly towards New Zealand and while it will lose its technical cyclone status before arriving here on Thursday and Friday itâ€™s going to bring more flooding rains to the North Island especially.
Forecasters across the board are concerned at the flood potential this small but potent system might bring, especially as it gets pulled towards New Zealand by a larger but weaker low in the Tasman Sea.
We break down the next few days and how things may pan out – with special news and video updates across the week.
on 10/04/2017 1:30am
Are you guys using an older model run from GFS?
Latest run has 966, not 996… If this happens wind in the east are gonna be extreme.
Both GFS & EC indicate it at 966-976.. Scary stuff, and they both indicate a near, or crossing!
on 10/04/2017 1:50am
Hi there, my apologies I actually misread the number, although it was only 984hPa earlier today – now it will be deepening to the 960 to 970hPa range. Unfortunately in this part of the world we don’t send live Hurricane Hunters through cyclones so it’s hard to know Current air pressure, only approx through forecast models usually.
The cyclone will deepen today then “fill back in again” a fair bit as it moves into NZ around Thurs PM/Friday AM. Certainly deep but thankfully not too huge in size. Will get a better feeling for air pressure tomorrow.
Also note that Fiji Met have now gone back to Cat 3 not Cat 4 as max strength today, so that’s some good news for New Caledonia.