Monday Newsfeed: Patchy wet weather, mostly NI + New Tropical Cyclone developing

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Monday Newsfeed: Patchy wet weather, mostly NI + New Tropical Cyclone developing

4/12/2023 7:38am

Updated 8:36pm — It’s a messy set up around New Zealand today with high pressure increasing from the west over the next day or two and tracking over the South Island. However the low that moved in from the Tasman Sea at the weekend, then fell apart, has left rainy areas around the North Island for today – easing further tomorrow. Totals aren’t generally too problematic – but some localised areas have reached rain warning criteria with a risk of slips and flooding.

The maps that matter most today are:

For most places it’s a bit of a cloudy day with the chance of some wet weather – but low rainfall totals. Drier weather increases across the week.

More updates will be added to this newsfeed today – but the full weather outlook will be in our 7 Day NZ Video.

🚨🌀Alignment in future tracking of this next tropical cyclone. Modelling been moving around a lot past few days, some updates keeping the storm well offshore – so STILL not locked in. But this means a large area (#Townsville to #Brisbane) should monitor this.#QLD #Queensland🇦🇺 pic.twitter.com/udQRwwkv8w
— WeatherWatch.co.nz (@WeatherWatchNZ) December 4, 2023

🌀Heavy rain in the 7 day rainfall map clearly showing the possible tracking of the future cyclone .. although if it changes shape any more than that it might soon need to be pixelated. 🫢🔞 #CoralSea pic.twitter.com/k9R4UCZ1Iz
— WeatherWatch.co.nz (@WeatherWatchNZ) December 4, 2023

🌀🚨Ominous: GFS modelling showing a likely Category 5 cyclone for this coming Sunday.

It's worth noting the #CoralSea has always been the ideal breeding ground for cyclones and modelling suggests it will peak at sea and weaken as it moves closer to #Australia. #NotYetLockedIn pic.twitter.com/itRwPtCt1J
— WeatherWatch.co.nz (@WeatherWatchNZ) December 3, 2023

🌀Latest best thinking for the tracking of the next tropical cyclone (likely named on Tue or Wed) still looks to be for #Australia's eastern coastline.

15 Day Forecast Rainfall shows the line of rain dropping southwards towards #NSW.

Map credit: WeatherWatch/Weatherzone pic.twitter.com/19O5ehTdKa
— WeatherWatch.co.nz (@WeatherWatchNZ) December 3, 2023