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Weekend News: Upper North Island STORM Sun / Mon +Weather on Sunday elsewhere, still some FROSTS

Here’s what is making the weather headlines this weekend…..


A short and simple title but explains conditions Saturday morning, again Sunday morning and perhaps a touch on Monday morning too.

Saturday morning’s frosts will be the harshest, Sunday morning will still be cold but frosts retreat inland a bit more then Monday morning’s frost potential will mostly be about alpine areas of the South Island.


As has been mentioned plenty already but can easily be mentioned much more, a tropical low including the remnants of Ex Tropical Cyclone Lola affects the North Island from Sunday into Monday.

Heavy rain slowly spreads down over the upper North Island on Sunday, expect gale east to southeasterly winds, severe gale winds will be likely for coastal areas especially in the east.

Rain spreads south on Monday with the heaviest rain likely in the east although this rain will not likely be as bad as what the upper North Island experiences on Sunday. Gale to severe gale easterly quarter winds for the upper North Island first thing on Monday then these winds back off, strong winds move south but once again winds like the rain will not be as bad for the lower North Island, still strong but not as bad.

Beyond some rain for the top of the South Island on Monday the South Island is most likely to escape unscathed from this low going by current guidance.

Moving further ahead to Tuesday and Wednesday next week the strong wind component of this low moves away as a front passes out to the east, the low still hangs around though with plenty of moisture in the air. Downpours and afternoon thunderstorms will be something to watch out for then.

Keep up to date with weather watches and warnings in relation to this low from Metservice here.


High pressure covers the South Island today bringing settled weather meanwhile a tropical low to the north sees a strengthening easterly quarter airflow for the upper North Island and heavy rain move in.

North Island

Rain for Northland becomes heavy in the morning, spreading into Auckland in the afternoon then further south over the upper North Island during the evening and overnight. Very heavy falls possible especially in the east as heavy rain moves south. Expect gale to severe gale ESE winds, from afternoon winds will be strongest over the upper North Island, eastern areas will likely see the strongest winds. Sunny spells and increasing cloud along the east coat, by evening a few drizzle patches move in with easterlies tending northeast. High cloud and sun in the west with easterly quarter winds, picking up later in the day.

South Island

Mostly sunny and settled, a frosty start especially inland. Fog patches to start also mainly in the south. Some high cloud will spread down from the north for the upper South Island. A few afternoon clouds about the ranges then breaking away in the evening. Fiordland sees cloudy periods, perhaps a light shower or two. Winds are light in the morning then tending onshore in the afternoon, northeasterlies along the east coast become quite fresh in the afternoon.


millsy on 27/10/2023 9:13pm

When is it going to get better? Or is it. It’s going to be November, and it still feels like winter? A little bit unfair don’t you think?

WW Forecast Team on 27/10/2023 11:27pm

Usually November is when we start to see more high pressure and more days with calmer/drier weather. But it’s still only just passing mid-spring and the Pacific-wide El Nino pattern makes spring more “spring like” here in NZ (ie: unsettled and highly changeable). Historically El Nino has made summer drier and hotter for inland and eastern areas of NZ.

millsy on 28/10/2023 12:26am

Just over the bad weather that’s all, its really starting to depress me. Even when its sunny we have this cold wind howling through, and there is never any indication as to when it will get better.

WW Forecast Team on 28/10/2023 12:33am

Cheer up, it’ll improve gradually in the weeks coming up. Spring is all about ups and downs.
– WW

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