There are at least 3 tropical areas of concern today north of NZ and while these will all merge into one very large low this weekend the high pressure system in the NZ area may keep it awayâ€¦for now.
In a frustrating forecast for many who need rain this giant tropical rain maker will lie very close to northern NZ not just for a few days, but possibly for the rest of February as high pressure in the NZ area acts like a red traffic light holding it in place. It means stormy weather may affect New Caledonia and Vanuatu while NZ remains mostly dry with high pressure.
It still looks as though very northern NZ will get some brief wet weather – but not much.
Meanwhile we have any update on Nelsonâ€™s forecast and the latest for other dry parts of NZ