We’re the first cab off the rank with the long range prediction and it’s certainly going to be a “spring packed weekend of weather” for our first public holiday in 4 months, according to the Radio Network’s head weather analyst Philip Duncan.
“Spring is attacking us from every angle” says Duncan “but hopefully the long weekend wont be as bad as the past week has been”.
In a nut shell, the further north and east you are the better. A large high will dominate the northern Tasman Sea, blocking rain and strong winds from northern regions. “This high will spread onto northern New Zealand bringing settled weather to popular holiday spots in Northland, Coromandel Peninsula and Bay of Plenty”.
Duncan says eastern places such as Hawke’s Bay, Marlborough and Canterbury should also see a relatively dry weekend, however winds could be gusty.
The worst places to be will be the South Island’s west and south coasts. “Although the very cold snap today (Wednesday) should ease by the weekend, it will still be a windy, showery and relatively cold weekend across these parts of the country”.
The brief forecast for your holiday spot:
Northland & Coromandel – looking great, plenty of sun and temperatures warming as the weekend continues. Cold nights though.
Bay of Plenty, Gisborne, Hawke’s Bay – Lots of sun, but winds will pick up on Sunday or Monday…could be very strong in Hawke’s Bay. Gisborne may also have a shower or two on Saturday as a low to the east scoots past.
Rotorua/Taupo – Cold and windy to start with, then conditions should improve. Not perfect but not terrible either. Very cold Friday night and maybe Saturday too.
Taranaki to Wellington – cloudy periods and windy – especially on Sunday and Monday with gales possibly returning (yes again).
Marlbourgh, Canterbury and Otago – Should be quite sunny, strong winds and warmer temperatures (Nor westers mainly). Dunedin might see a few showers though.
Queenstown – cold and windy and there may also be a few showers. Fingers crossed for fine spells. Risk of rain remains low, around 30%.
As with any long range forecast, especially in Spring, things can change. We’ll have another update for Friday morning to fine tune this forecast.
Forecast compiled independently by the Weather Watch Centre.