NOAA’s upgraded outlook agrees with last week’s update from Colorado State University.
CSU predicts 16 named storms
— including the five that have already occurred — with eight becoming hurricanes and three reaching major hurricane status (winds above 179km/h).
“This season has had a running start,” according to Ben Friedman, acting NOAA administrator. Tropical Storm Arlene
formed briefly in April in the north-central Atlantic. An extremely rare occurrence, Arlene was just the second named storm on record for the month of April.
Since then the season has remained above average with respect to the number of storms, with six named storms by August 6. On average, the sixth named storm does not occur for another month, around September 8.
Even though the calendar says we are over one-third of the way through the hurricane season, we are just getting into its busiest part. In fact, over 75% of the named storms come during the peak months of August, September, and October.