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Unsettled summer continues – strong winds ahead of another cold change

Blustery winds are pushing across the South Island and are again heading north as another, much weaker, southerly change approaches. says the southerly change will arrive overnight and tomorrow in Southland and Otago and race north towards Wellington later in the day.

This time tomorrow Invercargill is likely to be 10 degrees lower than it is now – currently 24 degrees.

Winds gusting to 90km/h are affecting Southland and Otago with the warmth surging northwards too.

Temperatures in most South Island centres are between 20 and 24 at the moment. says despite the third southerly in 10 days about to affect the country, the long range maps do indicate less of them in February and a return to more north and north east winds for many regions.

– Homepage image / File, Debbie Zillwood



Rachel Jennings on 31/01/2012 4:13am

Hello we had a downpour in Christchurch before and I thought I heard thunder. Any chance of further action?

Guest on 31/01/2012 3:54am

So what happened to all the suns that were adorning your Auckland projected forecasts from just a couple of days ago? This is becoming rather depressing…our primo summer months are disappearing under this near-constant wall-to-wall gloom.

WW Forecast Team on 31/01/2012 4:21am

Hi there – it is depressing isn’t it!  Unfortunately I don’t think it will improve a great deal in the weeks to come as the highs weaken further over northern NZ and nasty lows drift closer.  Our wind direction will be more easterly for the next week which sometimes can bring us sunny weather, but just as easily can trigger clouds.  Auckland’s weather this summer has certainly been average at best.

– Philip Duncan

LM on 31/01/2012 3:34am

It will be interesting to see who is right about the temp tomorrow. WW says 15 and Metservice says 18.

WW Forecast Team on 31/01/2012 4:24am

I’m interested to know too LM.  We have highlighted one significant fault with our daily predicted highs which we are working on.  It’s currently taking the afternoon predicted temperature as the high – rather than the highest value of the day.  This isnt the case tomorrow but it was last week where there was a warm wind in the morning, (the predicted temp was 19) but by mid afternoon it was only 13 – so that 13 was displayed as the high, instead of the 19.  We’re working to fix that – it’s a fault that only shows up when there’s an afternoon cold change.



LM on 31/01/2012 4:34am

Fair enough.

The metservice forecast for Invercargill should have read ‘fine with high cloud and late rain possible’

WW Forecast Team on 1/02/2012 3:54am

And the high was officially 15 degrees today 🙂

– WW

Guest on 31/01/2012 3:04am

Metservice: Fine. Sea breezes 25c
Weatherwatch: Cloudy out west & north, sunnier in the east. Humid northerlies. (25% chance of an isolated shower)
Looking outside, it is completely overcast and looks like spots of rain coming from the SW – how could Metservice get it so wrong? And why isn’t anyone challenging their poor forecasts in the media…

Keep up the good work Weatherwatch! Your forecast as usual is a lot more accurate

WW Forecast Team on 31/01/2012 4:19am

Hi there – we have tried and have decided rather than help them make things better, we’ll just do it better ourselves!  Much easier.  Just a shame we don’t get the tax pay funding. 🙂

Thanks for your support – always means a lot to us!


Philip Duncan

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