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Tropical cyclone risk falls

Update: 8:25pm

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Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology has changed its prediction for the possible development of a tropical cyclone over the next 3 days.  Their confidence has dropped from High to Low in just 24 hours. 

Current Stats

  • Status:  Tropical Low
  • Air pressure:  999hPa
  • Comments from BOM:  “The monsoon trough extends across far northern Cape York Peninsula and the northern Coral Sea. A low with central pressure approximately 999 hPa lies over the Coral Sea near 22S 162E. This low is expected to deepen slightly and move southeast during the next few days.

    The probability of this system becoming a tropical cyclone over the next three
    days is:

    Saturday: Low
    Sunday: Low
    Monday: Low”. will closely monitor this low and will update you on any significant changes.

This will be the last update for this particular thread/story.


SW on 19/03/2009 8:45am

Is this model last weeks with “Hamish” (as you mention hamish in the 1st paragraph in this post) or a predicted one.It looks the same as last weeks with a stupid high in the tasman again.

WW Forecast Team on 19/03/2009 10:08am

No it was the computer model prediction for THIS Saturday taken at 6pm Thursday.

For those who love a good storm I can understand your frustration about the ‘stupid high’ in the Tasman.  You may be pleased to know that other computer models show the low tracking down over northern NZ on Monday or Tuesday – in a much weaker state of course.  That’s why we’re monitoring this one so early.


Weather Watch team

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