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Some rain is coming, but be cautiously optimistic

Some rain is on the way but weather analyst Philip Duncan is advising farmers take a cautious approach to predictions.

A deep low, with almost identical characteristics to a tropical cyclone, has been teasing Northland for three days now, only delivering a small amount of rain to isolated areas.

“We’re seeing an increase in rain bands lately and I believe the droughts will continue to be chipped away at, however it’s important to realise predicted rain is still not guaranteed to be widespread”.

Despite some forecasters predicting plenty of rain since Saturday only a few areas have seen rain above 40mm, mostly between the Bay of Islands and Kaitaia.

Showers affected Whangarei overnight.

The low is predicted to finally drop south down the west coast tomorrow bringing more rain to Northland and Auckland.

Another band of rain is expected across all dry areas this Friday and Saturday but again there’s still some uncertainty.  “We’ve had several dry months and that weather pattern hasn’t just suddenly vanished.  There’s still a lot of high air pressure around New Zealand which limits the movement and development of rain bands, mostly making rainy areas less widespread”.

“Wednesday and Saturday look to be the two wettest days for our driest regions – we should be cautiously optimistic this will give a significant helping hand to the easing of droughts”.


Ken Ring on 11/05/2010 12:55am

There is no uncertainty about it. Some rain on the weekend, but the droughtbreaker will wait till the moon is closest, within a few days of the 19th.

James on 10/05/2010 7:39pm

Kia Ora Pillip!

I have only recently discovered this site and now it is the one I go to first if I want accurate predictions of what is to come.
I live on a small farm just out of Kaitaia and it has been a long hard summer to say the least! Buying in water and having to walk stock to water each day off the farm and back again has been a real trail!

Glad the drought is on it’s way out!
Thank you for the accuracy of what you tell us will come and what has actually happened.

Keep up the good work!

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