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Soggy Start To Summer

Summer officially starts today but it’s a bit of a wet one for many regions.  A shallow low pressure system is driving some patchy rain and drizzle over several parts of New Zealand.

12 Noon Rain Tracker

NORTH ISLAND:  There are patches of rain currently over Northland, Auckland, Waikato, Coromandel and Taranaki, and are moving inland to Central Plateau and Bay of Plenty.  As of 12noon the rain band over the Far North was clearing to the south – and that clearance will reach Auckland this afternoon.

The Weather Watch Centre estimates only a few mms are likely in most of these areas.

SOUTH ISLAND:  Patchy rain and drizzle are moving into the Nelson region, parts of the West Coast and south Canterbury and Otago.   Conditions aren’t likely to get much wetter this afternoon.


WHAT’S IT LIKE WHERE YOU ARE?  Post a Comment below!


Earlier Update

A weak low will pass over the North Island today with a weak front attached to it.  A few patches of light rain and drizzle are likely today but will clear from the north as the day progresses.  Most places will likely only see a few mms at the most.

The rest of the week sees a high developing with winds dying out in the north and westerlies building a little over central, eastern and southern areas.  That means more hot, dry, weather for central and eastern places with temperatures reaching into the mid to upper 20s.

Only southern areas, like Southland and the West Coast, will have cooler weather with temperatures mainly in the teens and showers or rain from time to time.  Conditions may also be very windy later in the week through Otago and Canterbury as the ol’ nor’westers crank up. 

Yesterday temperatures soared over the country under a Summer-like high.  Parts of inland Bay of Plenty made it to 28 with 27 across the Waikato and 26 in both Auckland and Manawatu.

Philp Duncan – Head Weather Analyst


SW on 1/12/2008 8:34am

Its bucketing down tonight here,though was only drizzle during the day.Also on tv they giving us in Akl a high of 25c,Will that happen unless the SW winds in the tasman go NW?

WW Forecast Team on 1/12/2008 8:49am

25 seems a little high to me but still possible if there isn’t much cloud.  The air trapped under this system is humid and those winds will be pretty light so things may heat up nicely.

I’m thinking it’ll probably be a little cooler than 25.

SW on 1/12/2008 4:58pm

Not very tropical here especially the Wind is rightup,(of course its wet).Heard on the radio its 22°,a more realistic figure given the SW currently.

WW Forecast Team on 1/12/2008 6:16pm

What radio station was that on?  We supply forecasts for EasyMix & Flava in Auckland – and 22 was the high we picked yesterday … and are still picking for today. (Should’ve mentioned that to you yesterday actually!)

Philip Duncan

SW on 1/12/2008 7:12pm

It was on ZB,Heard Bruce Russell say that on the 530 programme,Also Paul said it this morning.20knots tending W and lighter this evening with 22c.

Andrew on 1/12/2008 7:44am

Nope your spot on dead right…

What are the chances of a strong Cyclone eg Bola this summer coming down here???


WW Forecast Team on 1/12/2008 8:00am

Well I see NIWA say there’s no increased chance…due to the fact we’re in a "neutral" period this year (no El Nino or La Nina) but the seas around north eastern Australia are warmer than average this year.  Cyclones that form in the Coral Sea can pose a serious threat to NZ as the natural ‘pull’ when they start to dip south is to move in a south east direction – with NZ slap bang in the middle of that path. 

We’ve had a number of lows come from the North Tasman Sea this year so I would think we perhaps have a slighly increased chance this summer.

However, in saying that, last year was a La Nina Cyclone Season which certainly favours them for NZ – and we didn’t even come close to one. 

Definitely keep your eye on the sea between New Caledonia and Aussie – that’s most likely where any Tropical Cyclone will come from.

This year we’re going to closely track any South West Pacific storms – so when they start to really form you’ll start seeing regular updates from us here!



Andrew on 1/12/2008 6:29am

Here in Northcote December started with 2mm when i cleared my rain gauge at 7pm…..


WW Forecast Team on 1/12/2008 6:34am

I said it could be a "few mms at most"…does that make me wrong seeing as it’s only a couple!?


Philip Duncan

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