WeatherWatch.co.nz has today downgraded it’s exclusive Queens Birthday Weekend travel forecasts for those returning home tomorrow rating driving and flying conditions as “poor”.
WeatherWatch.co.nz says that heavy showers in the North Island, gales about central New Zealand and a cold southerly with snow for the South Island is the reason behind the poor rating.
“Compared to what people set off in on Friday, Monday will be a world apart” says Head Weather Analyst Philip Duncan. “Snow down to just a couple of hundred metres in the South Island, heavy showers, some with hail in the north and gales about Wellington – it won’t be pleasant for motorists nationwide or some air passengers, particularly those on smaller planes”.
While the storm isn’t on the extreme end of the scale it’s still ‘moderate’ enough to put more pressure on saturated farms. Several rain warnings are in place this morning. Rain overnight and this morning doesn’t seem to have been as widespread or heavy as originally predicted however heavy showers this afternoon in the north maybe more problematic.
“Patchy rain, like we saw overnight, isn’t really the main concern – but heavy, squally showers or thunderstorms this afternoon could dump 30 to 40mm of rain in one area in just one hour. That’s surface and flash flooding making weather on any given day, let alone for land already saturated”.
Mr Duncan says a wintry blast will move up the South Island and lower North Island tomorrow, reaching Auckland on Tuesday morning. “It will be a shock to the system for many – our first real touch of winter”.
on 6/06/2010 9:38am
Big rumble of thunder in the Mnawatu a few minutes ago. Anything much more predicted for tonight?
Nothing on metservice of lightning detector.
on 6/06/2010 9:44am
Yes we definitely have confidence of more thunder in Manwatu. A large thunder cell has just made landfall in northern Taranaki – may well be more flashes overnight and tomorrow.
Keep us up to date
– WeatherWatch weekend team
on 6/06/2010 1:20am
Hi there, is Auckland in for some thunder later or is it the usual touch and go. I’m counting the years since Auckland had a decent citywide thunderstorm!
on 6/06/2010 2:04am
At this stage it doesn’t look very promising…could be a few flashes overnight, but nothing showing up yet that looks too interesting.
Keep an eye on the Lightning Tracker though… just because thunderstorms don’t exist now doesn’t mean they won’t be forming later.
However at this stage we think there will be a better chance tomorrow afternoon through to Tuesday morning as that southerly change arrives.
WeatherWatch weekend team
on 5/06/2010 9:20pm
Hi there, well a wet day in Tauranga. Is there chance of thunder today/night or more heavy rain?
on 5/06/2010 10:17pm
Some heavy rain or showers still around this morning, then drier this afternoon. Heavy showers or heavy rain moving in again late this afternoon or evening with the risk of thunder. Nothing widespread at this stage though. We rate thunder chances as low until evening, then moderate overnight.
MetService has a high risk of thunderstorms for this afternoon and evening for Tauranga and a moderate risk of severe thunderstorms this evening and tonight.
– WeatherWatch Weekend Team