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There are signs of some showery activity this weekend and that’s more than we’ve seen over the last three weekends.

To be honest there’s not a lot to be excited about but it’s just the first sign that there’s a potential change in the weather pattern in the medium term.

Earlier today we published the chances of showers this weekend for the main centres and provincially it’s also between the 30-50% risk with the South Island likely to see activity tomorrow and parts of the North Island either tomorrow night or Sunday morning.

Today the niggest chances of rain or drizzly showers are over the far northeast of the country and along the coast of the deep south. Drizzle patches are also possible along eastern coasts amongst patchy low cloud.

The Sub-tropical low that looked likely a few days ago to visit our shores late next week has certainly weakened.
There are still indications that eastern areas of both islands could see light to moderate falls either Saturday or Sunday next weekend however much of the country is looking considerably drier.

If this pattern continues to hold true, much of March could be a repeat of January and February regarding rainfall totals.




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