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Rain update: When will it fall next? is getting more and more interest from the public on when the next rain maker will arrive – and unfortunately the forecast doesn’t look positive for northern and eastern New Zealand.

October was spectacularly dry in a number of regions and November hasn’t started off much better – and is unlikely to end any better too, predicts

The latest data projections we use predicts a 60% chance of rain for some western areas on Sunday, mainly the South Island’s West Coast and about Manawatu and Horowhenua.

Other regions nearby, such as Kapiti, Wanganui, Taranaki and up into Waikato shows a 40% chance of rain or, perhaps just showers, on Sunday afternoon.

Auckland has only a 20% chance for overnight Sunday and into Monday. predicts rainfall amounts will likely be less than 10mm for many in the North Island.

Long range forecasts don’t show much change over the next 10 days.


Guest on 11/11/2010 8:46pm

Is it or is not going to rain over the weekend?? Met service says for waikato showers turning to wide spread rain yet you guys say only 40% chance of the odd shower?? Im confused!!

WW Forecast Team on 11/11/2010 10:20pm

Our data has now dropped to 30% for Waikato… but that might change.  If can often fluctuate 20 to 30% between updates.  At this stage Saturday for Waikato looks mostly dry, could be some light showers in the west.  Sunday sees a few showers about too.  Can’t see widespread rain – perhaps widespread drizzle with that weak warm front passing over.

– WeatherWatch

SW on 11/11/2010 6:00pm

We had preciptation as steady drizzle much of yesterday and overnight,enough to keep the ground wet but not persistant rain.

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