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Our ‘official’ 2010 Queens Birthday Monday forecast

Check out all the travel and outdoor forecasts in our exclusive and independent Queens Birthday Weekend Travel and Regional forecasts.

This is the final update.

Road Conditions: 

Monday PM.  Rating: Poor.  Rain, heavy at times in the east especially from Canterbury to Manawatu (Central NZ) however easing to showers in most places. Heavy, squally, showers in the west.  Snow across South Island roads above 300metres, sleet and hail possible to sea level in the south and east.  Gales about Wellington, and exposed roads about East Cape, Gisborne and Hawkes Bay.

*Please note snow flurries are likely on the Desert Road on Tuesday, for travellers returning home then.

Flying Conditions:

Monday PM.  Rating: Moderate to Poor.  Very windy with moderate turbulence about New Zealand in isolated thunderstorms and squalls.  The centre of the low will be passing over Cook Strait and all of central NZ making unstable conditions – increasing turbulence.  Gales about Wellington, East Cape and Gisborne ranges.  Snow likely at Queenstown airport.  Check airlines for possible delays or cancellations.

By Sea – Cook Strait.

Monday eveningModerate.  Gale force southerlies with swells developing to moderate size along with heavy rain. – regional Forecasts…

Northland, Auckland, Coromandel Peninsula, Waikato, Taranaki, Central Plateau

Monday, showers, some heavy and squally, especially later in the day and in the west.  Moderate to high risk of isolated thunderstorms, especially at the end of the day.  Gusty nor’westers.

Highs: 17
Lows:  Around 12

Bay of Plenty, Gisborne, Hawkes Bay

Showers, high risk of isolated thunder and lightning about BOP this afternoon and evening. Gusty nor’westers, gale force about the ranges of East Cape, Gisborne and northern and inland Hawkes Bay.

Highs: 17 or 18
Lows: Around 12

Manawatu, Wairarapa, Wellington

Rain in Wellington, rain easing to showers elsewhere. Strong northerlies turning to very cold southerlies by evening.

Highs: Mid teens
Lows:  Mid single digits.

Nelson, Marlborough, Canterbury, West Coast
Rain easing.  Very cold southerlies developing late today, snow flurries as low as 300 metres in Canterbury.  Low risk of sleet in Christchurch in the late afternoon or evening.

Highs:  9 to 13.  Wind chill in Christchurch on Monday evening will be near zero.
Lows:  Low to mid single digits.


Cold southerlies with rain easing to showers in the morning or afternoon – snow showers above a couple hundred metres which affects Queenstown and alpine roads, also about Dunedin.  Low confidence snow may affect Dunedin overnight Monday/Tuesday morning.

Highs:  2 in Centrakl Otago, 6 or 7 elsewhere.  Wind chill will be around zero or below on Monday.
Lows:  0 to 3

Showers easing on Monday with southerlies. Cold with snow to a couple hundred metres inland.

Just 7 or 8.  Wind chill will be around zero or below on Monday.
Lows:  Around 1


Guest on 7/06/2010 3:01am

Wintry showers, (Metservice), and hail, (Weatherwatch), for Invercargill? While the wind is cold, it’s been nothing like the ‘forecast’

Andrew on 7/06/2010 1:24am

I just don’t know why Nelson is being lumped in with Canterbury for the forecast. It’s gone from ‘Torrential Rain’ to ‘Rain Easing’. It was clear at 8am that Nelson was clearing and the current situation would shelter the region from the muck further east and south. We’ll get some southerlies later today and the odd shower but nothing like the gloomy story being told by WeatherWatch or even the Metservice.

WW Forecast Team on 7/06/2010 2:33am

Hi there,

Thanks for the updates – we’re sorry the Nelson forecast hasn’t been as accurate as it could’ve been.

Appreciate the feedback – will ensure Nelson has it’s own section next time.


– WeatherWatch weekend team

Jo on 6/06/2010 7:08am

Just looking at the weather maps for Sun night/Mon Morning it looks like there could be snow in CHCH. Over the years it seems when the snow is forecast to sea level, it doesn’t eventuate but I can remember several occasions when it’s been mentioned as a slight possibility an has been enough to settle on the ground.

WW Forecast Team on 6/06/2010 7:14am

Hi Jo,

Yes we can also recall a few occaions when snow has been forecast to sea level then never happened.

At this stage we think snow flurries will settle to 300metres, but that doesn’t rule out snow flakes to lower levels – most likely melting as they settle.  We think this is more likely tomorrow afternoon or evening when the cold air moves in and temperatures drop further, but we only have low confidence of anything in CHCH city itself.  Will be close though.

Snow is always difficult in NZ with so much sea around us.  Inland Canterbury has a good chance of snow.

WeatherWatch weekend team


Guest on 6/06/2010 4:36am

It has been raining now stop since 9am this morning. And has had snow cloud and fog around the mountains..

Guest on 6/06/2010 5:04am

That was supposed to have been, it has rained non stop since 9am this morning.

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