November marks the final month of Spring in New Zealand and warmer and calmer weather should be the norm for this month says TRN’s Head Weather Analyst Philip Duncan. “A weak La Nina is coming to life and that means warmer, humid weather for the north and lighter winds with average or lower rainfall for central and southern areas”.
September, which was very settled, led into a storm filled October with hurricane force winds causing damage to houses in Invercargill, Wellington and Wairarapa. But Duncan says a change in the weather pattern over the past 7 days is a sign of what November should bring. “This week has been far more settled with more sunlight and temperatures in some areas reaching well into Summer levels. I think we will see more hotter, drier weather for a number of places this November”.
Duncan says it bodes well for December, following several cold starts to Christmas over recent years. “This year is shaping up to be hotter and drier in the South, warmer and more humid in the north”.
“Last November we were in an El Nino weather pattern with a number of cold snaps moving up the country. This month things are looking more settled with a lot of high pressure over New Zealand making for more stable weather”.
He says Northland, Auckland, Bay of Plenty, Gisborne and Hawke’s Bay should have the best weather this month, while Wellington’s windy but dry weather should stick around with similar conditions in Christchurch however winds in these cities will be less intense than in October.
“Coastal Otago, Southland and the South Island’s West Coast will most likely get knocked about by the occasional southern storm but like Wellington and Christchurch the intensity should be less than in October”.