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No winter blasts in immediate forecast

At the end of July WeatherWatch.co.nz announced an early start to spring and as we come to the end of the first week of August the weather appears to be still backing us up.

Temperatures this week will be approaching 20 degrees in the east and late teens in the north as a spring like westerly flow kicks in.

“In Spring we have a lot of nor’westers, westerlies and sou’westers – that’s pretty much the August forecast” says head weather analyst Philip Duncan. 

Despite some southerlies in the forecast – and the start of next week looking cooler – there are still no signs of any major winter blasts coming our way.  “It really does seem that winter has ended early this year, just like some parts of Australia including Sydney”.

WeatherWatch.co.nz say spring is defined by life, with things growing again, animals being born and buds starting to bloom – across the country these have been taking place for weeks.

Snow storm risk
An early spring doesn’t mean no more snow. In fact September is a high risk month for snow storms.  But we see no evidence of any immediate polar blasts for New Zealand and are closely watching the Southern Ocean.  We don’t want to give false hope that the cold is finished – but the chances of any prolonged wintry blasts are now starting to drop.

“Once you hit mid August the days are warming up again, the sunlight hours are rapidly growing and the window for winter being brutal to New Zealand is quickly closing” says Mr Duncan.

WeatherWatch.co.nz says there is a “moderate” risk of a snow storm this month and next, as our chaotic weather pattern continues.

Farmers know all too well the snow risks in early spring – but the warmer weather will be helping grass growth and helping quickly give more strength to new born lambs.

Image / Peter Shone

– WeatherWatch.co.nz

Comments

Stuart on 7/08/2013 10:41pm

Looking of your latest weather maps, there now seems to be a front dragging cold air from down south onto the country around Friday, next week.
Is that correct?

Cheers

Stuart

WW Forecast Team on 7/08/2013 10:52pm

G’day. Yes at the moment it shows that and it may be so but it is 8 days away and things have a habit of changing that far out although at times it can give you an idea of how things could work out.

We’ll have to see how it develops as we get closer to the time.

Cheers
WW

sw on 7/08/2013 3:06am

This last week has been good with plenty of sun in Auckland since away from the “southwesterly” dominated anticyclone weather of last month,though next week doesnt look that flash with south westerlies from Sun-tues.

Derek on 7/08/2013 12:06am

Whangarei made 20 deg yesterday, was a beautiful day all round, today is so far the same with 19 deg at this time so very enjoyable, folk are into summer clothing too except for early mornings.
How is the sub tropical low coming along?

WW Forecast Team on 7/08/2013 10:55pm

 Hi there

Still in the pipeline to move over or near the North Island this weekend. Looks like the way this low is moving it will affect a few main areas in terms of rain. First Northland, then Gisborne (East Cape) and Hawkes Bay. While other regions may see showers and cloudy skies these three places will probably cop it most.

Cheers
WW

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