Long range weather maps are clearly plotting that Rene will head towards New Zealand at the end of the working week. So will it still be as powerful?
The tropical cyclone is currently category 3 strength – 5 is the highest.
WeatherWatch.co.nz head weather analyst Philip Duncan says the storm is one to watch closely but still remains no threat to the country. “We believe the then ex-tropical cyclone will move very close to north eastern parts of the North Island around Thursday and Friday but we believe it will only brush us with cloud and perhaps strong south to south east winds”.
Mr Duncan says the storm may also cause dangerous seas along eastern beaches. “Northland, Cormandel, Bay of Plenty, East Cape and Hawkes Bay may all see larger swells from the east and stronger underwater rips”.
WeatherWatch.co.nz says the storm is unlikely to bring severe weather to the country but says that former tropical storms should always be monitored closely. The forecasting website advises anyone who will be around north eastern beaches from Wednesday onwards should be up to date with the latest forecasts and that swimmers should be aware of the likely increase in dangerous rips.
SATELLITE MAP OF RENE
This satellite map clearly shows the eye of the cyclone passing directly over Tu’anekivale.
LATEST FORECAST TRACK OF RENE – Joint Typhoon Warning Centre, Pearl Harbour, Hawaii.
on 15/02/2010 11:26am
Tropical cyclones always form around full and new moons, and thereafter begin to dissipate. Following the new moon of 14 February, this tropical cyclone too, is now losing its strength. However, remnants are expected to reach Northland around 17th-19th with some heavy falls expected. There is a trough presently coming across the Tasman which will hit Fiordland about the 18th and be deflected northwards, bringing wet NWs by 19th to Northland, which added to the low pressure from the more northerly system will be the main factors bringing in the rain. It will all ease on the 20th. About a week later, a new system associated with the next full moon(1st of March) begins to build, bringing rain to the North is the last week of February with the possibility of flooding in low-lying areas.
on 14/02/2010 9:23am
Yes. It looks as though an incoming anticyclone will push it’s remnants away to the east of the country, although places like Gisborne and the BOP will probably get some of it’s related weather.
on 14/02/2010 9:35am
Thanks for that John! 🙂 Such a good site for information you can rely on.