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All eyes on this weekend

WeatherWatch.co.nz

Tomorrow will see a low and associated fronts moving up the country bringing heavy showers to the west and gusty winds to a number of places – but is it just the appetiser to a much bigger and strong storm this weekend?

Long range computer models are indicating a very large pool of unstable low air pressure will be centered over central New Zealand this Saturday and Sunday bringing gales and heavy rain for much of the weekend followed by a bitterly cold and strong southerly flow.

We’ll keep you posted – but at this stage we have moderate confidence of this depression forming which is quite high being so many days out.

Comments

SW on 4/05/2009 4:06am

Hope the low centre moves closer to Auckland,like last winter,it (2008) was quite a good winter in Auckland.

Guest on 3/05/2009 11:24pm

…Saturday here in Auckland reminded me of a very similiar day in 2007 with rain and a similar wind chill. Having arrived earlier that summer – it provided me with an early winter indication (albeit I’m sure that it was later in May). This year I feel we have seen a cool end to the summer and a lack of sun so far this autumn. I would be interested in seeing more comparison statatistics – for example your archive section notes the following…

‘…FINALLY ‚Äì SOME COLD WEATHER!
Posted by wwakld on Mon, 28/05/2007 – 00:00
Filed in:News
– Frosts possible in sheltered places Nationwide.
– Coldest night so far this year for Auckland.
It’s finally going to be cold tonight – with temperatures falling over the country under clear skies and little to no wind.

Head Weather Analyst for TRN, Philip Duncan, says it‚Äôll be the coldest night of the year so far for Aucklanders. ‚ÄúWith very little wind and clear skies temperatures across the city will drop to around 6 degrees ‚Äì even colder in sheltered inland suburbs‚Äù….’

So how does 2009 compare so far with previous years?

weather-nut on 4/05/2009 10:37pm

This year I feel we have seen a cool end to the summer and a lack of sun so far this autumn.

I think you’ll find that the reverse is actually true for Auckland.

According to NIWA, although average mean-temperatures for the first 2 months of last summer were a little below normal, February was marginally above normal, with Whenuapai even managing to set a new all-time temperature-record for the Auckland region.

Mean-temperatures for autumn have been below average so far, particularly in March and, although the maximum temperature last Saturday was indeed exceptionally cold for May, the minimum temperature on April 10 was much colder.

Sunshine hours however were a whopping 130% of normal in March, only slightly below normal in April and so far this month have been well above normal (although the latter part of this week isn’t looking too promising).

Diana on 3/05/2009 11:18pm

Gee, thanks… Just when we thought it safe to be outside and get the section cleaned this weekend coming, you spoil it. When will you give us the sun for a weekend ? (lol)

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