Issued at 7:53am 27/02/2026

Valid from 7:53am 27/02/2026 to 1:00am 28/02/2026

A showery, unstable air mass affects the North Island and the far north of the South Island. From afternoon there is a moderate risk of thunderstorms about some central North Island areas, including inland Gisborne and Hawke's Bay, inland Bay of Plenty including Rotorua, Taupo, Taihape, and Taumarunui as indicated on the chart. These storms will be accompanied by heavy rain, 10 to 25 mm/h. There is also a moderate low risk of localised downpours in those areas, especially about the ranges where rainfall intensities could reach 25 to 40 mm/h. There is a low risk of thunderstorms in a slightly broader area as indicated on the chart. In the afternoon and evening there is also a low risk of thunderstorms with heavy rain for Northland, and the south and far west of Nelson, as indicated on the chart. There is minimal risk of thunderstorms or significant convection elsewhere during the period.

Issued at 8:05am 27/02/2026

Valid from 1:00am 28/02/2026 to 1:00pm 28/02/2026

There is minimal risk of thunderstorms or significant convection during this period.

Issued at 8:54am 27/02/2026

Valid from 1:00pm 28/02/2026 to 1:00am 1/03/2026

A showery, unstable air mass affects the upper North Island. There is a moderate risk of thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening for Waikato, Auckland and Northland as indicated on the chart. These storms may be accompanied by heavy rain, 10 to 25 mm/h. There is a low risk of thunderstorms with heavy rain in a slightly broader area including Waitomo and Coromandel as indicated on the chart. There is minimal risk of thunderstorms or significant convection elsewhere during the period.