Weather Forecast for Rotorua

Hi there, 

We understand your frustration. Unfortunately Auckland is stuck *between* two highs next weekend which means if there is no high pressure over us that tropical low you're seeing may well drag down tropical rain clouds. But the highs in summer are powerful and may dominate, keeping the rain offshore to our north. That's why you're seeing some confusion and every model update every few hours may be quite dramatically different (due to some updates making those highs bigger and closer to NZ, which can have a big impact on how far south that rain might go. We've just put up a detailed story on it here: www.weatherwatch.co.nz/content/cyclone-neil-forms-poses-direct-threat-tonga-sunday-another-bigger-storm-possible-days-later

All the best and check back for our daily news and video updates about it next week.
Cheers

WW

Hi there, interesting timing as we've just put up this news story here about that very topic (no storm, but the leftovers or some affects may impact us): We'll know more on Monday but here's the latest on the new cyclone that has today formed and another one that might follow it: www.weatherwatch.co.nz/content/cyclone-neil-forms-poses-direct-threat-tonga-sunday-another-bigger-storm-possible-days-later

Cheers

WW

It should stay mainly dry, there is a chance of a shower or two but it's on the low side. A slightly higher chance exists overnight.

Cheers
Aaron

Hi there - we are currently in talks with IBM about getting better historical data for NZ as well as building our own network with Amazon purely so people like you can easily do this - check the history to match with the forecasts. Sadly we all have to tax fund both NIWA and MetService which keep observations but make it very cluinky and hard to access to retain their commercial monopolies. We're fighting the good fight but currently have no Free historical data, so your best bet is to email NIWA and ask them for access to tax funded observations for that location over that period of time. Sadly Minister Megan Woods in this current Government recently refused to support open weather data because, as she said to us in a meeting at the Beehive, 'We want to spend their profits'.

We wish you all the best
Cheers
Phil D

Hi there - we have a really indepth news story about this now on our homepage and our just updated weather video with Phil D also covers this. Has all the info we currently know about these tropical lows.

Cheers
WW

Hi there

Must admit turbulence and figuring out whether it is likely or not is not my expertise, but suffice to say the weather doesn't look unstable for Auckland around then so my opinion is turbulance would be a low'ish risk I'd imagine. But best bet would be to chat to your pilot before the flight, they'll have that worked out much more then I would know.

Good to hear you and your cat like our forecasts, is much appreciated by the team! :)

Have a great trip.

Cheers
Aaron

Thank you for the thank you! We're making quite a few improvements behind the scenes right now, that issue was a top priority for us though. Thanks for contriubuting your data to the network for us to share too!

Cheers

Phil, Aaron and the team

Hi there, it's quite a complicated set up around the 16th, it may easily swing dry with SE winds, or we may end up with wetter weather with easterlies - only a slight shift makes a big difference. Keep an eye on our Rain Maps as they now go out to Feb 16 and you can see what is happening. There is also a tropical storm well to the north of NZ on that date but this may also have some influence on that weather... in other words, expect more chopping and changing as this forecast gets fine tuned.

Cheers
WW

Hi there, no we actually drew a line between us and MetService this week, saying while we agree rainmakers are more likely they may NOT actually bring relief to the regions that need it most. Sorry to be a "Debbie Downer". We're closely watching the tropics and hope to find some relief for you - watch our latest weather video with Phil Duncan as he has a special 14 day rainfall update.

All the best and ahead if you need help please don't hesitate to reach out and ask us here, we're here to help!

Cheers,
Aaron W

No worries for all the questions :) . A) That temperature gauge is being removed today, as it's been a problem off and on for a while now. Dozens more we can choose from in the city so thanks for pointing out. B) Shouldn't be any hail and thunder, the cold change is slow and doesn't bring big downpours at this stage. C) At this stage the tropics won't be impacting the eastern South Island to any significant degree other than wind flows being warm/humid at times - but the rainmakers and storms will be well away from the South Island over the next week or two.

All the best :)
Cheers
WW Team

It looks mainly dry for most of the day in Auckand, it's in the evening when a small easterly surge comes in that there may be a few showers, even then those showers could stay in northern parts of Auckland depending on the strength of this small surge.

Cheers
Aaron

Thankyou very much Paul! :)

Yes there does appear to be minimal rain for Auckland for the next we while. You are right at this stage a large high is looking to keep any tropical activity away to the north around the 15th. If you go here: http://www.weathermap.co.nz/forecast-maps

Then look at the rain maps they go out a little further then our ones do, they are the same maps from the same company.

Cheers
Aaron

Thankyou! :)

WW

Hi there

Yeah that is quite a while away, an anticyclone is moving in then. Looks fairly dry, winds from the southerly quarter so that could be good.

At this stage it's looking more positive for dry / sunnier weather then it is wet weather.

But of course, closer to the time a better understanding of what will happen will develop.

Cheers
Aaron

The 10th / 11th February could be a time to keep an eye on, a tropical low is forecast to come down but it's to the east of New Zealand. So nothing impacing New Zealand at this stage but if there were a chance it might be around then.

Cheers
Aaron

Depending how close or far a tropical low that is moving down offshore east of New Zealand around then will determine if the weather is going to be bad or good. It could be fairly good weather actually if the low passes too far to the east. But one thing may be a fairly good swell could be pumping through even if the weather is good.

Keep an eye on our maps page to see what the weather / swells may be coming up.

Cheers
Aaron

G'day there

No not today, upper level dynamics (cold air) is lagging too far to the south so the surface southerly does't have very good upper level support to create thunderstorms.

Some rain is likely for a time :)

Cheers
Aaron

Hi there

Looks like a mix of sun and cloud, but also an isolated shower or two possible at times. No heavy downpours at this stage, just a few showers now and then. Mind you this is over a week away so things could change between now and then, we'll see.

Hope the party goes well! :)

Cheers
Aaron

High moisture content in the air?

WW

Hi there, very interesting you should write and share that with us. Since the Government announced recently they are ignoring the MBIE review and will not free up tax funded data the private sector has rallied around us and we have someone very keen to help us build a new marine app for New Zealanders. We have no idea why the Government run VHF forecasts are so shocking but we've heard from many boaties over the years they find it quite a poor service. So watch this space, we hope to have something up and running within a year.

Kind regards and bring back the lighthouse keepers and local weather watchers!
Cheers

WW Team

Hi there

Could be different modeling. If you check out our rain maps here:

https://www.weatherwatch.co.nz/forecast-maps/rain

Then go to the 8th, you'll see that at this stage an anticyclone is keeping conditions dry for Whangarei. The low in the tropics to the north could be something to keep an eye on though as Phil has mentioned recently.

Cheers
Aaron