Weather Forecast for Kaikoura

Hi there, NZ tax payers fund thunderstorm outlooks via MetService. We will be including them on our website and app at some time in 2020 so you don't have to go to two websites. :) With MetService now being aggressively commercially taken on by Niwa, another tax funded agency, we are throwing more public support towards MetService in some areas, such as tax funded thunderstorm outlooks and severe thunderstorm warnings. We don't believe Niwa should even be touching weather forecasts, let alone commercially doing it.

Cheers for the support
WW

Hi there, thanks for your questions but we can't keep non stop replying to questions about our daily forecasts sorry - what we have published is our current best thinking and the hourly data is updated every 15 minutes on top of that. Weather is changeable - it always will be, so the forecasts show the current best thinking. Use MetService's severe thunderstorm outlook (not their Auckland forecast but their national thunderstorm outlook and warnings map) as well to help you make sense of it all.

Cheers,

WW Team

Keep an eye on our detailed forecasts and MetService thunderstorm outlooks and plan accordingly.

- WW

That's a mistake, thanks for letting us know! :)

WW

A small spinup is possible but the likelyhood of anything affecting you even if one does drop for a brief moment is very very small. Basically I wouldn't worry about it, more chance of getting in a crash somewhere driving on the road and we don't worry about that so much. Should be all good.

Cheers
Ww

Hi there Renee. The good news is that in spring the timing of rain bands can be tricky within 24 hours let alone 7 or 8 days out, so there's a chance the rain won't fall duign the time of the half marathon. The bad news is that, currently, the forecast and data suggest heavy rain is very likely on the West Coast and that will 'spillover' into Queenstown. It's all about timing of that front - it may zip through early then clear and be dry, or it may linger and bring some rain - so keep an eye on the chance of rain (%) in our 10 day Queenstown forecast.

All the best!

Cheers
Phil 

Hi there, we don't know what their criteria is for it to be called off. Saturday afternoon is a bit tricky to lock in, more than likely it will be decided on the day. Keep an eye on our detailed forecasts plus hourly percentage/chance of rain for Henderson.

Cheers
WW

Hi there, we do have some ingredients for thunderstorms this weekend, the risk increases on Sunday. As for severe, at this stage probably not - but worth keeping an eye on MetService's thunderstorm outlook too as the weather will be unstable in many regions over the coming days.

Cheers

WW

Hey Allen, thanks for the question. Yes set ups like this one (the tropical airflow) can be quite tricky to be too precise with. Generally we'd expect some drizzly showers about, maybe a heavier shower or two, but it is looking increasingly drier for Saturday daytime. Take a look at Phil's weather video today plus the hourly % of rain in our forecasts and hopefully it will work out to a decent dry spell on Saturday for you - it will likely move around a bit more chance-of-rain-wise. We'll have more info in our next weather video out around 11am Friday and by Friday afternoon the forecast should be more fine tuned.

Cheers and all the best!

WW Team

Hi here

Here's an older article on WW from 2009, it has discussions on the hottest temperatures ever recorded around Auckland. Also have a read of the comments, there is some usefull information in there also:

https://www.weatherwatch.co.nz/content/auckland-officially-reaches-32fee...

It can depend where you are taking the readings around Auckland as to the hottest temperature as there will be variations across the region regarding highs. That 2009 year (Feb 12th) has highs of 30.5 up to 34.4. There could even be a few areas where temperatures got a degree or two higher than that unofficially.

Cheers
Aaron

Hi there

Sunday will certainly be a mixed bag for Auckland, there may well be a few dry areas in the mix and that will be the case for a lot of areas till afternoon when areas of showers / rain pick up in intensity again. But even then from afternoon the areas of rain or showers will likely have some dry areas still. So not straight forward. I would expect rain more then dry but take any dry areas as a bonus.

Whatever your decision hope you guys have a great day, and thanks! :)

Cheers
Aaron

G'day there

You would see two completely different forecasts as anything that far out won't be very reliable. Someone just below asked a question for Auckland and what the weather will be on Nov 23rd, I replied with the following:

"Not sure at this point sorry, it's too far away.

About 7 to 10 days out we might start to have an idea, then 4 to 5 days out is when we can start locking down what will happen.

Come back and ask within those time frames if you can otherwise hope your event goes well! :)

Cheers
Aaron"

So if you could come back and ask a bit closer to the time I could help you out more. Hope the wedding goes well either way :)

Cheers
Aaron

It's looking a bit messy, I couldn't say with confidence you will or won't get plenty of rain. With the direction this weather is coming in from somewhere like the Bay Of Plenty looks a little more certain of higher amounts of rain.

You should get some rain though, may not be a drought breaker but welcome none the less.

WW

Hi Andrew

Yeah not sure at this point sorry, it's too far away.

About 7 to 10 days out we might start to have an idea, then 4 to 5 days out is when we can start locking down what will happen.

Come back and ask within those time frames if you can otherwise hope your event goes well! :)

Cheers
Aaron

Hopefully for you! Yes there may be a chance coming up. We'll have to wait and see.

Cheers
Aaron

There will be variations across the Auckland region as with any region, it gets a bit hard to forecast for every outcome within a region. Our forecast temps are for the Auckland CBD which are working out well. That's not to say improvements couldn't be made to how we go about our forecasts so thanks for the note.

Enjoy the warm weather! :)

There will be variations across the Auckland region as with any region, it gets a bit hard to forecast for every outcome within a region. Our forecast temps are for the Auckland CBD which are working out well. That's not to say improvements couldn't be made to how we go about our forecasts so thanks for the note.

Enjoy the warm weather! :)

Eventually yes there will be, but not in the week ahead like we had over the weekend / on Monday.

Cheers
Aaron