Weather Forecast for Alexandra151m above sea level
Cloudy. Calm/Variable winds.
Now
Tonight
Tomorrow
Next 24 Hours in Alexandra
Next 9 Days in Alexandra
Day
Night
9km/h
chance
of rain
trace
Day
Night
7km/h
chance
of rain
trace
Day
Night
7km/h
chance
of rain
6.1mm
Day
Night
9km/h
chance
of rain
4.4mm
Day
Night
11km/h
chance
of rain
1.2mm
Day
Night
12km/h
chance
of rain
trace
Day
Night
12km/h
chance
of rain
10.1mm
Day
Night
9km/h
chance
of rain
5.9mm
Day
Night
11km/h
chance
of rain
5.4mm
Comments
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Carla on 9/04/2026 10:45pm
Hi Phil, Can you explain why the windspeeds for the incoming cyclone differ considerably between your rural weather forecast and the Met office warnings?
I have looked at the Whangarei wind forecast for Saturday and Sunday and it is 39km/h with gusts of up to 71km/h max on Saturday and and 40km/h with gusts of 74km/h max on Sunday.
The Met office predicts from 11pm Sat, 11 Apr – 2pm Sun, 12 Apr: Severe gale southeasterlies changing to severe gale southwesterlies during Sunday afternoon, gusting 130km/h in exposed places. Moderate chance of upgrading to a Red Warning.
Since we overlook the sea we do get more rain and wind than Whangarei itself sometimes, so I looked up Taiharuru as well and there the wind is 47km/h with 78km/h gusts.
From past experience I know that they tend to try and cover all eventualities, however this seems to be a big gap this time.
Any ideas?
Reply
Jo on 9/04/2026 9:25pm
Hi, is the wind for tomorrow afternoon in North Auckland likely to increase above predicted levels? Are you seeing the cyclone tracking faster than predicted? I see warnings got moved from early Sunday morning to 9pm Saturday.
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Jason on 9/04/2026 8:46pm
HI Phill, why are we not getting predicted wind speeds for the incoming storm. the forecasts are showing only 38km
Reply
Jacques on 9/04/2026 11:24pm
It’s a cyclone – no one can predict their path 100%. If it moves more east or west than predicted then your winds where you are go from 150km/h to 50km/h and they come from the opposite direction, or vice versa
Reply
josh on 31/03/2026 9:21pm
i just saw the rain accumulative maps for next week on your site and it says 100mm is possible for auckland next monday/tuesday!!!!
wheres el nino?
Reply
Aaron on 26/03/2026 10:24pm
Hi Phil,
Was just wondering why there was such a large discrepancy in the reported rainfall amounts yesterday. I live in Takapuna, and was monitoring the radar all day. We had a lot of rain but no downpours, just steady rain. Anyway, the rainfall amount recorded towards the end of last night per your Takapuna station was close to 100 mm which seems accurate, but the Northcote station was reporting that 190 mm had fallen just before midnight! Northcote is just 5 minutes away from Takapuna so surely there couldn’t have been such a massive difference when there were no thunderstorms present yesterday in either suburb.
Reply
WW Forecast Team on 26/03/2026 10:30pm
Hi Aaron, not sure sorry – as it’s a private network and so we can’t double check collaborations etc – and of course no/limited public data for verifying. I know when the Tauranga/Mount floods happened earlier this year both Niwa and MetService had two totally different numbers for the event within a fairly short distance – so it is possible some narrow lines of rain clipped one station and not yours. But without knowing the precise set-up it’s hard to be sure.
Cheers
Phil D
Reply
josh on 26/03/2026 10:08pm
wow 100-160mm for auckland yesterday. thats much of this months rain in 24 hours. wettest day since auckland 2023 floods.
Reply
Jet on 26/03/2026 7:41pm
Hi phill when is your next climate outlook gonna be ?
Reply
WW Forecast Team on 26/03/2026 10:26pm
Hi Jet, Wednesday April 1st.
-WW
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