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Saturday’s national forecast

A front moves north over the upper South Island this morning then onto the North Island this afternoon. Areas of precipitation mainly out west with dry weather in the east. Later this evening a cold southwesterly surge moves into the far south bringing some rain.

Northland
Fairly cloudy with ESE breezes, the odd patchy shower a little more persistent in the afternoon. Winds change southwest in the evening.
High: 25

Auckland

Mostly cloudy with the odd spot of rain or light shower, light winds. Winds
change southwest in the evening.
Highs: 25-26

Central North Island, Waikato & Bay Of Plenty

Sunny spells and increasing cloud about the Waikato and Central North
Island with northerly winds, a few showers pass through at times from afternoon.
Later in the evening winds change southwest. The Bay Of Plenty has cloudy skies
with drizzle patches then showers moving in during the afternoon,
northeasterlies change southwest there overnight.
Highs: 23-26

Eastern North Island

Sunny with north to northwesterly breezes, some evening cloud about Hawkes
Bay northwards brings the odd spot of rain. Rain may be a little more persistent
north of Gisborne.
Highs: 29-31

Western North Island

Sunny spells and increasing cloud with northwesterly winds, a few showers
pass through at times from afternoon (mainly about Taranaki). Later in the
evening winds change southwest for Taranaki with showers clearing.
Highs: 23-27

Wellington

Cloudy in the morning with a few spots of rain, clearing around midday and
sunny spells increasing. Strong north to northwesterly winds.
High: 21

Nelson

Cloudy in the morning with a few spells or spots of rain, becoming mostly
sunny in the afternoon. Breezy northwesterlies.
Highs: 23-24

Marlborough

High cloud with northwesterly winds, a brief spot of rain possible in the
morning. High cloud clearing in the afternoon and coming out mostly sunny.
Highs: 27-28

Canterbury

Becoming sunny in the morning, northerly winds. Around midday southerly
breezes push into coastal areas but winds remain from the north or northwest
inland. Winds swing round to the northeast in the evening near the coast.
Highs: 27-29

West Coast

Early morning rain eases to the odd shower, westerly winds. Overnight WSW
winds freshen bringing some further rain.
High: 18

Coastal Otago

Sunny with some cloud about, light winds tend southwest in the morning.
Later in the evening or around midnight winds become strong from the WSW with
some rain then easing again overnight.
Highs: 18-20

Central Otago

Sunny spells with westerly winds, later in the evening a change to
southwesterlies brings some rain which eases back to showers around
midnight.
Highs: 18-20

Southland

Brisk westerlies with cloudy spells and the odd brief shower, winds change
more southwest later in the evening with some rain.
Highs: 16-17

By Weather Analyst Aaron Wilkinson – WeatherWatch.co.nz

Comments

Guest on 21/02/2014 6:48pm

I have noticed over the years that our weather patterns tend to follow the northern hemisphere, ie when they have a bad winter – so do we.  Is this likely?  I have read that their weather is caused by a speeding up of the Gulf stream winds or something like that.

It would be kind of nice to have a cold – but not wet winter! If you have any inkling of this years winter would be kind of nice to know – out here in the ‘boondocks’ i’m wondering how much firewood to get in and how much hay I will need!

WW Forecast Team on 21/02/2014 8:55pm

HI there – at this stage we expect the current weather pattern to continue in to winter – but in a country as small as ours, in the middle of the roaring 40s, it’s very tricky to long term predict winter weather conditions – a slight shift in highs/lows can make the difference between a lot of snow or very little.  We will have a much better idea as we go through April, at the moment we expect summer conditions to continue into March :).  El Nino may return by Spring – that sees more highs in the Tasman, often drier weather in central and eastern parts of NZ and cloudier and cooler weather in the west.  

Cheers
WW 

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