Weather Forecast for Nelson

Hi there, yes good question! Newshub has just published this story with our views on it - you'll find it interesting I think, definitely Niwa are seeking click bait with that "beast from the east" nonsense:  www.newshub.co.nz/home/new-zealand/2019/08/sudden-stratospheric-warming-forecaster-rubbishes-predictions-nz-will-be-hit-by-polar-blast.html

Cheers!
Phil

This map here http://wxmaps.org/pix/prec7 (the one at the bottom) suggests most of the North Island will have average rainfall for the next 10 days but parts of the east coast, Coromandel / Waikato / southern Auckland and perhaps northern Northland will be just over average.

So there you go..... As for actual specifics that depends exactly where you are.

Hope the above helps.

Cheers
Aaron

Hi Indy, great question and you have a little longer to go just yet. We are seeing overnight lows creep up in Dunedin just a little bit, bit 7 degrees looks fairly normal in the week ahead, but cooler winds end of next week and next weekend will likely drop them back down into the lower single digits. Typically the windier westerlies later in September tend to push your lows into double digits more often. Good luck!

Cheers

Phil D

By the way, you see see temperature trends, including the 'feels like' temperatures, for Dunedin for the next 10 days here in our new weather data page: www.weatherwatch.co.nz/rural/Dunedin

Hi there Kieng, we're basically heading into that perfect windy season right now! This weekend won't be so good though with a lot of high pressure - same with early next week. But later next week, next weekend and likely the several weeks following should see a number of windy days. Have fun!

Cheers
Phil D

Good morning, we've placed a block on this site so hopefully a nearby one is showing up for you now (or soon). If not, please do let us know. Also, a side note, we're also aware of a glitch with the times of updating in some weather station at the moment and IBM are already working on this.

Cheers!
WW

Thanks for this. On our observations page we can see it's missing, but just wondering if the website is showing you a specific Station ID that we can search deeper into?

Thanks a lot for letting us know - with hundreds of live stations across NZ there is always one that is giving us some work to sort - the positive is that we often have a nearby one we can switch to :)

Cheers
WW Team

Hi Helen, yes we got this photo sent in to us last night on Twitter  - a great thing to see! :) 

Cheers
Phil D 

Christchurch 5:00pm pic.twitter.com/xkPalIsHyN

— Andrew Hamer (@sledge47) August 27, 2019

Hi there, thanks for the support :) To be clear we aren't saying it isn't happening, we're saying there is currently no direct link to NZ's weather forecast that matches any of the big headlines and comments we've seen elsewhere! For now spring is looking very ...springy!  Cheers, WW

Hi there, the news coverage of this event has been quite confusing - this is one of the problems when we have two government forecasters now competing against each other to be in the news. Basically it's a significant event in Antarctica that can lead to some polar outbreaks over the Southern Ocean and potentially beyond. At this stage there is no polar blast forecast for NZ though, but we do expect the usual spring chaos (mild sunny days mixed in with some cold wet, wintry days) as we go into September.  The coverage has been a bit over the top as many news outlets made it sound like a major winter blast was coming but Niwa hasn't given any specific winter forecast for any regions. People should always be concerned about spring weather patterns, but so far nothing to be specifically worried about. Keep up to date with our news website, if anything major is on the horizon we usually give a good week or two warning - along with our 10 day forecasts. :)

Cheers

WW

PS. In NZ the official Government forecast agency is MetService, not Niwa. 

Hey Scott, it depends on where you are! We have quite a few around Whangarei. You'll find your Current/NOW temperature should have a Station ID next to it, if there's any problems with it just quote us that Station ID and we can look into it, or block it.  Check here: https://www.weatherwatch.co.nz/observations

Cheers

Phil D

G'day there

They are thickness lines. It literally means what it says, it represents the thickness of the atmosphere. In most cases and in these maps with Phil it's between the 1000mb and 500mb level, these levels do fluctuate. When the atmosphere is warm the thickness is often greater in value, when it's very cold it's lower in value.

Here's some more info: www.weather.gov/jetstream/thickness

Hope that helps!

Cheers
Aaron

Hi there, take a look at our special hourly forecasts it will show you the wind speed and if it's going up or down. Generally we're expecting winds to pick up a little further this afternoon, then easing back a little this evening.

Cheers and all the best for the bike ride!

WW

Hi there, we don't closely monitor their long range forecasts as they are often unhelpful. We do know we have some changes south of NZ affecting our pattern right now (why we are getting more lows and SW winds) but nothing yet jumping out as any major polar changes. In fact even with a southerly change coming in tonight both Friday and Saturday afternoons still look warmer than average in many parts of NZ.

Cheers

WW

Hi there, no we have removed that now. For a time we wondered if a little surge of heavy showers might come in with the southerly but that doesn't look likely now. 

Cheers,

WW

Hi there

I'm not sure where you are talking about. One bit of advise I can give is if it's not safe to fly they won't put you in the air so there you go :D

Cheers
Aaron

Hi there, yes we have a risk of thunder and hail. Our latest weather video which will be up later this morning explains the risks. We also have special maps on our homepage news section right now showing the thunderstorm risks for the next few days ahead.

Cheers

WW

Hi there, NIWA has a reputation for being as accurate as the flip of a coin for seasonal forecasting. Basically they are saying spring will be stormy...that's pretty normal! It does seem more unsettled now than it was a month ago, but also some signs we have some incoming calm also, thanks to big highs in the mix too (next week doesn't look too bad at this stage, for example). We focus on monthly outlooks as seasonal in NZ can be a bit laughable at times. :) Cheers for your support and kind message, we really appreciate it.

Cheers

Phil D

Hi there, thanks very much for the support and kind words, they mean a great deal to us! At this stage we see normal to above normal temperatures coming in for Auckland. A little cooler in the days ahead but next week looks quite pleasant at times. As for summer, too far out to know but global trends (and even NZ trends) have been showing some warmer than average set ups for the past few years. We'll have more details about September's outlook later next week :)

Cheers!
WW

Why thank you :)

- WW Team

Yes, exactly, yes.

Phil Duncan.