Weather Forecast for Napier

Hi there

Monday looks definitely set to get some heavy rain and gale force winds. Tuesday is drier with sunny spells, winds strong from the southwest at first then easing from afternoon.

Wednesday and Thursday look relatively calmer, a mix of sun and cloud with southerly qaurter winds. A shower or two possible later on Thursday then on Friday afternoon southeasterlies freshen bringing some rain.

Hope that helps! :)

Cheers
Aaron

Hi there

Can't at the moment unfortunately, cost / other issues involved. Hopefully in the future though!

Thanks for writing in :)

WW

Layers of jumpers?

I'd just take one jersey incase there might be a cold'ish day or two I guess? :D Enjoy your holiday!

Aaron

Hi there, the low was in the forecast last week for northern NZ but was expected to form just east of Northland, instead it formed just west - a small change to the models but has a significant impact on our weather. There's no forecaster on earth that is 100% accurate, the highs and lows are moving and changing shape daily and we do our best to be as accurate as possible about their placement. The high is here and is large and covers parts of NZ but basically this low has given the high pressure "a puncture" which is why the forecast has changed. It's a sign that Autumn is moving in too. The Chatham Islands is under this ridge of high pressure until Monday but not the mainland, we're now just a tiny bit too far west. 

Cheers

WW

G'day there

Latest update is picking showers to develop in the morning, there should be some dry spells at times during the day but showers now and then also. Winds from the north.

Apologies it isn't exactly what you are after.

Cheers
Aaron

For the most part it looks mainly dry, the shower risk is fairly minimal, just a low risk for a time early afternoon is what I'm currently seeing.

Being 5 days out this could change up a little but I can't see much drastically changing between now and then but we'll see. Keep an eye on our Wellington forecasts for updates each morning :)

Cheers
Aaron

Hi there

Looks like morning sunny areas then cloud increasing and isolated showers developing in the afternoon, possibly heavy then clearing in the evening. Being isolated means you may see showers you may not but the risk period will be mid afternoon through till early evening. :)

Cheers
Aaron

Phil put in plenty of hours with Gita so thankyou very much for your kind words, is much appreciated! Glad the percentage chance of rain worked out well for you :)

WW

H there, it's too far out to lock in sorry, we only go 10 days out for specific forecasting.
Cheers
WW

Hi there

Currently the best we have is if you go here: http://www.weatherwatch.co.nz/maps

Then choose the type of map you want to look at be it rain, wind etc. Then use the zoom fucntion to zoom in closer to where you want to look at and there you go.

Hope that helps.

Cheers
Aaron

Key word being "chance" of torrential falls, "chance".

Strongest winds weren't meant to hit Chch, they will be out on Banks Peninsula.

Thanks for the comment re Phil, he's much appreciative :)

Aaron

Yes Christchurch missed the worst of the torrential rain (it fell just up the road in Kaikoura instead), very very hard to precisely forecast a low that is splitting apart and reforming while going over a mountain range! Tried to do the best we could. Thanks for the kind words - our data showed the 'split' happening a number of days ago. Quite fascinating watching it happening. The winds may still ramp up on Wednesday AM, but hopefully nothing too extreme.

Cheers
WW

You should be fine :)

WW

A bit too far out to lock in sorry, but a glance at the extra long range maps shows the first week of March may be ok. The second week may turn sub-tropical.

Cheers and all the best! 
WW

Hey there - yes you are! It's passing over you now. Because the cyclone is now 'extra-tropical' the rain has shifted to the southern side so you should find conditions ease for you.  Strong winds are nearby - out in the Strait - but for now the upper South Island may be entering a calmer, drier, phase. 

All the best

WW

Hi Marty

Chances of rain are fairly low but there is the risk of a shower or two across the day, any shower acitivity will likely be brief but they may just pop up now and then. Expect long dry periods also.

Hope the pour goes well!

WW

Hi there

What centre are you talking about?

WW

It won't be heavy but it won't be drizzle, somewhere in between. Winds will be a bit blustery from the north.

Have a good one :)

WW

Hi there, good question! This is because the transition into ex-tropical takes some time (a day or so) and with the much warmer than usual sea conditions there is uncertainty about when precisely this happens. Either way, it's only a technicality and will have the same strength/power equal to Cat 1 or 2. The reason why it is fluctuating between 1 and 2 is because for the past day or two the storm has been just a few km/h into the Category 2 range...meaning it only needs to weaken by several km/h (sustained winds around the centre) and it becomes a high end Category 1 and the best computer modelling is contantly crunching the data. As far as the public is concerned it will likely have Cat 1 strength when it comes in - regardless of if it's tropical or extra-tropical.

Cheers

WW

Hi Fleur,
We can't really answer about specific flights as it depends on a number of things - weather at the time, current warnings by MetService and how the pilot and airline feel at the time of departure re: the weather. Airlines are saying to expect delays and possible cancellations on Tuesday. You may be ok at that time - the worst comes in during the evening, but we can't really say for sure sorry. Keep an eye on airline and airport websites tomorrow. All the best!
- WW

Hi there

There may be differences due to the time that story was realeased and the newer data you are looking at now. I think you get the general idea though that conditions are going to be quite windy for Taranaki either way you look at it so batton down the hatches for Tuesday, especially afternoon / evening then winds will ease overnight.

Cheers
Aaron

We'll have more details on Monday - we're still trying to fine tune Christchurch and Canterbury (along with many other regions).

Cheers

WW