Weather Forecast for Napier

Hello there

That's half a month away basically, I can't really give you any useful information at this point in time as to what is going to happen then. The longest of the long range maps show a pattern alternating between anticyclones and then fronts moving through from the west / southwest. The exact timing of these fronts I can't tell you at the moment. As for temperatures perhaps alternating between periods of cool then warm, once again that's very vague and nothing specific.

Have a good holiday, feel free to come back and ask 5 to 7 days out, might have a better idea then.

Cheers
Aaron

Hi there

That's probably a bit too far out for me to tell you anything of use at the moment, current indications are there may be some rain around then but that will likely change in model information as the 12th draws nearer. How that will change I'm not sure, it could end up being dry, it could be that rain arrives early on that day but clears by evening, or it could be dry then rain arrives in the evening. It's a bit futile at this point unfortunately.

Come back and ask closer to the time if you like otherwise I hope your daughters party goes well! :)

Cheers
Aaron

Perhaps early January, but at this stage it's staying away from New Zealand way up in the tropics.

Cheers
Aaron

Hi there

By the looks of things nothing too extreme apart from temperatures, they may be quite warm from tomorrow perhaps getting into the late twenties or early thirties if conditions suit.

Cheers
Aaron

Hi there

Friday looks mostly sunny, just watch for the risk of an isolated shower late afternoon / evening.

Saturday sees slightly cloudier skies, some sun still about at times though. Once again an isolated shower or two possible mainly late afternoon / evening.

Sunday sees a mix of sun and cloud, mainly dry with westerlies at this stage.

So it's an improvement over what we have currently that's for sure. Still could be a pesky shower or two about however.

Cheers
Aaron

Thankyou very much!

You have a great Christmas and New Year's too. Could be some thunder Xmas afternoon, but you never know the nature of thunderstorms are they are often quite isolated so no garantuees you will get them, we'll see.

Cheers
Aaron, Phil and WW Team

Hi there

Saturday morning looks good, perhaps into the afternoon for a time but late afternoon expect rain to move in.

Sunday sees morning showers clear then a mix of sun and cloud for the rest of the day with southwesterly winds.

Winds are lighter overall on Saturday, a little breezier on Sunday but nothing strong. Temperatures on Sunday may reach into the mid twenties, high's on Saturday will be in the low twenties.

Hope that helps!

Cheers
Aaron

Eventually, weather patterns are what they are, some summers are dry, some are wet, some are good or bad whatever your interpretation of that is.

Onwards and upwards :)

Aaron

Hi Jason!

Thankyou very much for the nice message, is much appreciated by the team.

You have a great Xmas and a happy new year! :)

Cheers
WW

A low chance but more then likely no, instability is not looking as good for the Auckland area today. Could be an isolated shower or two perhaps.

Aaron

The nature of thunderstorms is they are often quite isolated meaning some areas may get heavy rain / downpours while other areas close by may see nothing at all. It depends where convergence lines form (where winds meet) and what side of the convergence is more dominant as to which side of the Auckland isthmus* clouds / storms form. Or winds may be equal either side meaning storms form right in the middle. Sometimes this is able to be sussed out in regards to what breeze may be more dominant but other times it can be a bit up in the air, excuse the pun. So when thunderstorms are forecast they are often mentioned as only a "risk" of happening as it can be hard to pin point where they may form.

*An isthmus is a narrow piece of land connecting two larger areas across an expanse of water by which they are otherwise separated.

Hope that helps!

Cheers
Aaron

Sorry our reply may be a little late, but you've probably realised we do have some thunderstorms - quite a bit flare up at the moment (10pm) but should taper off later. Might be more overnight and tomorrow too (like today, isolated but possibly big).

Cheers and all the best
WW

Hi there, we have the right ingredients for big downpours, maybe thunder, but like today it may only affect a small portion of the region. This set up is a bit like cooking popcorn in the this analogy!). Keep an eye on our forecasts on Saturday, we tend to live update (which means every 30 mins or so) when the weather becomes unstable/changeable or high demand. 
Cheers :)
Phil D

Hi there, good question as we've had a few risk days this week but the Friday/Saturday period was always most likely to be most active. Still some isolated thunderstorms in West Auckland this afternoon, Saturday has a a similar risk but there may be a few showers with no thunder too. 
- WW

Hey there, to be honest with you Auckland's forecast tomorrow is very tricky to be precise about as these sorts of downpours can bubble up over quite a large area but only affect a minority. Frustrating! At this stage it looks like there could be both mid to late morning and afternoon isolated downpours, possibly more likely in western Auckland and rural North and South. We'll be likely live updating our Auckland forecast on Saturday to stay on top of this so check back for updates. All the best with the hedge trimming - there should be some good dry spells around.

Cheers

WW

Hi there, this is due to them covering their backs basically, so they can say "see, we warned you" - but the downside is that you become the boy who cried wolf. Thunderstorms in NZ can be especially tricky to be precise about but extra care in the wording of forecasts, plus extra updates, can make a world of difference at reducing "big" forecasts and improving accuracy.

Cheers
WW

Hi there, we have a news story about Owen on our homepage. The remnants may come here but they might only be a few showers or downpours. No storm at all is forecast for NZ at this stage with it likely falling part over eastern Aussie. One to watch though as Owen has reformed and has some potential to reform once again before NZ...but that is currently not what we are forecasting.
Cheers

WW

Hi there

Not too sure what you are trying to say here. The situation today and again tomorrow for Auckland will be a sea breeze set up. Winds coming from both directions meeting in the middle over the Auckland isthmus.

Cheers
Aaron

Hey there, yes you're quite right! We're quite a bit more conservative with thunderstorms (which is why Auckland Civil Defence hired us for nearly a decade to reduce their false alarms coming from MetService). Wednesday's risk is mainly in Waikato but it does somewhat spillover into South Auckland (hence our mention). West Auckland, at this stage, looks dry for Weds but Thursday may see downpours further north towards Hokianga drift down into Waitakere. Friday has a similar risk. Overall looks mainly dry but big cloud build ups/downpours/thunder can drift in the sea breezes. Auckland has a LOT of moving parts with the weather sometimes!!
Cheers
Phil D

Hi there, good question. MetService has select areas where they have a weather station but temperatures can vary quite a bit in NZ within towns/cities. Some can vary by as much as 10 degrees at the same time. Inland there's less fluctuation but normal to expect a few degrees difference. We aren't sure where MetService get their Te Kuiti reading from but you can see many weather stations in your area here www.weatherwatch.co.nz/observations

Cheers
WW