Weather Forecast for Kaikoura

Hi Des

Waitomo looks dry in the morning tomorrow then expect occasional showers from afternoon, winds from the west.

Saturday and Sunday in Ohakune looks a bit showery at times although of the two days Saturday will have long dry spells. Sunday has a higher chance of showers / rain.

If you want to keep on top of the situation feel free to use the search function on our home page and type in your locations. You can see rainfall percentages hour by hour on these pages.

Here is Waitomo http://www.weatherwatch.co.nz/location/Waitomo
And here is Ohakune http://www.weatherwatch.co.nz/location/Ohakune

Hope you have a good time!

Cheers
Aaron

I would think so, yes :)

WW

Hi Fiona

Looks like early rain then the odd shower for the rest of the day, westerlies tending more southwest in the afternoon. Snow flurries down to about 1000m but may lower to 800m in the evening. Nothing heavy, just a few flurries.

That's how it looks currently :)

Cheers
Aaron

Hi there, yes we do expect some snow on the Lewis Pass but unsure about specific totals on the road itself or if authorities will grade it or close the road. But we do expect some snow - here's our public 10 day Lewis Pass forecast. All the best.

Cheers
Philip Duncan

Hi there, thanks for the great update in your area. At this  stage we're in a neutral season (ie, no El Nino or La Nina) but expert global scientists (and some in NZ) think a late El Nino is likely (more westerlies). We shall see! As for now, yes, NZ is experiencing an average to warmer than average winter once again for the most part, and WeatherWatch is the only forecaster with this honest narrative. To answer your last question - yes, lately we have been. Of course this might change but the north of NZ is actually the most sensitive to cold (which some mock, but scientifically it's quite a real thing ... if the north stops getting frosts then something is definitely warming up and changing). Of course NZ might enter a cold spell next year .... our location on earth makes it tricky to be an accurate guide for the climate. We're in one of the most chaotic parts of the world! For now though, we expect an average to warmer than average winter to continue.

Cheers
WW

Current indications are it may be fairly calm around then due to anticyclones near by, but you are talking about something that is 8 to 10 days away and that could change by then. Keep an eye on our Wellington forecasts as the day approaches :)

Cheers
Aaron

The latest models indicate it may hold off a little now, still, it won't be a great day. Mainly cloudy with the odd patchy shower from late afternoon. Better then heavy downpours though! Winds fresh from the east or northeast and high's in the mid teens. I will say though don't count your chickens just yet, sometimes models that far out have a habit of flip flopping at times, the closer to the time in question is when they become more accurate.

Cheers
Aaron

Hi there, I think it came from a MetService story as we've been asked about it a lot on social media. WeatherWatch.co.nz's general outlook for winter is that a 'colder than average winter' isn't so likely for most (as that would take a significant effort when globally the world is warming...you can have colder than average periods but for the whole winter to be colder than average it would take a lot of significant very cold nationwide southerly events). In saying that, we have had a lot more southerlies this year compared to previous years, so it certainly is cooler than those years were. The past 4 or 5 winters have been milder than average so even a 'normal' winter would feel cold. We imagine while some pockets may be experiencing a colder than average winter this year, many regions are likely to have an average to milder than average winter. We are likely to have sub-tropical northerlies one week from today and potentially milder than usual weather continuing the following week (especially in the upper and eastern North Island). Hope that's of some help, just some opinions :) 

Cheers
Philip Duncan 

A cold snap on Monday may put snow on the hills but looks too mild for anything significant lower down. So probably low chances.

Cheers
WW

Hi there

Is a little far out at this stage, could you come back in a week and ask then perhaps? Either way hope you have a great trip! :)

Cheers
Aaron

Hi there, the best place to be for sunniest weather will be east of any main ranges... so Bay of Plenty rather than Waikato if you're heading south of Auckland. We have plenty of low cloud next day or two around the western side. Next week is a similar pattern with plenty of west to south west winds it will make regions like Bay of Plenty and Gisborne much sunnier than western areas like Auckland and Waikato.
Cheers

WW

Hi there, at this stage it's looking dry. Keep up to date with NZTA before setting out. Click here for the latest Arthur's Pass forecast.

Kind regards,

WW

Hi there, at this stage there's a moderate/40% chance of fog in the Auckland region on Friday morning.
Kind regards,
WW

Hi there

No snow due in Chch for the foreseeable future. If it looks like coming we'll include it in our Christchurch forecasts.

Cheers, Aaron 

Good morning :)
Next Monday looks windy over the North Island and Hawke's Bay so fog doesn't look likely.
Kind regards
WW

Hi there

For the most part fog isn't looking likely, a small chance perhaps but mostly no.

Cheers
Aaron

Hi there

At this stage no, no chance at all :)

Cheers
Aaron

Hi there, forecasts aren't 100% accurate anywhere on earth and in NZ we face lots of challenges (including a lack of open data from our Government). A shower can hit one street but not the street over. Your taxes already fund NIWA and MetService weather forecasts, we're an entirely free service and, while not perfect, we believe we bring strong competition to them and more accurate forecasts overall. But, if they are a better alternatives for Weymouth then use them, especially as you are already paying for their forecasts via taxes.

Kind regards
WW

Hi there, some chance but we'd currently say only about a 20% chance of anything widespread. 
Cheers

WW

Hi there Suzanna. Unfortunately NZ is the only country in the western world where the two Government agencies (MetService and NIWA) are given tax funding to provide data but won't share that data in true free open terms. So we can't provide you with an easy answer (as we could do if we lived in say Australia, Canada, USA, UK, Japan, South Africa etc). The good news is that an independent Government MBIE review (released in January) says NZ is the most expensive in the world for weather data and has the most restrictions to access data we have all collectively tax funded. So for now the best way for you to do this is go to NIWA.co.nz and access (and sign up to) our collective historical data via "CliFlo". Hopefully no change for what you're doing but NIWA places a lot of limits on "the people's data" - hence the review. If any issues with costs or accessibility please contact Minister Megan Woods (Minister that oversees NIWA and is currently reviewing their restrictive data measures so anything extra she hears will be helpful at freeing this all up for the good of all NZers).

Kind regards and all the best,
Philip Duncan

Hi there, we are soon upgrading all personal and public weather stations but because the NZ Government taxes us all collectively twice to gather current observations but then is the only country in the western world to not share that data back, it means we have to personally invest in improving things. We are currently doing that and looking for help in the private sector due to this Government again stalling on any action since the completion of the independent MBIE review a year and half ago which said NZ is at the extreme end (costwise) to access data we all help fund.

We hope to have clearer locations and the ability to select other location observations and current conditions later this year.

Cheers

WW

Hi there

Depends where you live. There are frost forecasting services out there but they are usually the domain of large scale growers and will cost. Any service with pin point accuracy may cost when it comes down to it. You can use the search function on our home page, type in your location and it'll give you an idea of what temperatures may do. Or use the maps function here: http://www.weatherwatch.co.nz/forecast-maps/temperature

Flick through the various times and zoom in etc into your location, that might help. While those maps are good sometimes overnight lows can spread towards coastal areas a bit more then you may expect, the maps can smooth temps out a bit sometimes. There are various factors involved in that.

Anyway, hope that helps!

Cheers
Aaron

Being the lowest of the passes over the Southern Alps (564m) the chances are less but provided its cold enough and there is plenty of moisture then it could get snowed in.

Cheers
Aaron