Next 24 Hours in Kaikoura
Next 9 Days in Kaikoura
Sat 11 Apr
Sat 11 Apr
18°
Day
13°
Night
Rain. Breezy North to Nor'East winds.
NNE
16km/h
100%
chance
of rain
35.3mm
Rain. Breezy North to Nor'East winds.
Sun 12 Apr
Sun 12 Apr
19°
Day
12°
Night
Cloudy. Light Northerly winds.
N
10km/h
20%
chance
of rain
trace
Cloudy. Light Northerly winds.
Mon 13 Apr
Mon 13 Apr
18°
Day
10°
Night
A mix of sun and cloud. Light Northerly winds.
N
11km/h
20%
chance
of rain
trace
A mix of sun and cloud. Light Northerly winds.
Tue 14 Apr
Tue 14 Apr
16°
Day
11°
Night
Partly cloudy. Breezy Sou'West winds.
SW
14km/h
10%
chance
of rain
trace
Partly cloudy. Breezy Sou'West winds.
Wed 15 Apr
Wed 15 Apr
16°
Day
10°
Night
Mainly sunny. Breezy West to Sou'West winds.
WSW
18km/h
20%
chance
of rain
trace
Mainly sunny. Breezy West to Sou'West winds.
Thu 16 Apr
Thu 16 Apr
18°
Day
12°
Night
A mix of sun and cloud. Breezy Northerly winds.
N
15km/h
20%
chance
of rain
1.5mm
A mix of sun and cloud. Breezy Northerly winds.
Fri 17 Apr
Fri 17 Apr
17°
Day
10°
Night
Showers. Light Northerly winds.
N
13km/h
50%
chance
of rain
6.7mm
Showers. Light Northerly winds.
Sat 18 Apr
Sat 18 Apr
13°
Day
10°
Night
Showers. Breezy Sou'West winds.
SW
18km/h
60%
chance
of rain
12.8mm
Showers. Breezy Sou'West winds.
Sun 19 Apr
Sun 19 Apr
13°
Day
9°
Night
Rain. Fairly breezy Sou'West winds.
SW
23km/h
60%
chance
of rain
10.2mm
Rain. Fairly breezy Sou'West winds.
Comments
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Abigail on 10/04/2026 3:25am
Hi Phil and team WeatherWatch!
Always love and appreciate your work and your informative and calm forecasts.
Quick q about the rain totals for Auckland broken down hourly – the break down is done from 7am-6am but the overall total is done by the day – so Saturday 11 April has a very high rain total but when you break it down by hour the worst of it kicks off from about 1am onwards which technically informs the total for the day, for Sunday 12 April.
So at first glance Saturday’s total rain total for the day looks worse than Sunday’s….until you break it down by hour.
Also do you expect these totals to change tomorrow as they have been mostly consistent-ish for the last few days based on the modelling I assume?
Thanks,
Abigail
Just wondering if this is intentional?
Reply
Carla on 9/04/2026 10:45pm
Hi Phil, Can you explain why the windspeeds for the incoming cyclone differ considerably between your rural weather forecast and the Met office warnings?
I have looked at the Whangarei wind forecast for Saturday and Sunday and it is 39km/h with gusts of up to 71km/h max on Saturday and and 40km/h with gusts of 74km/h max on Sunday.
The Met office predicts from 11pm Sat, 11 Apr – 2pm Sun, 12 Apr: Severe gale southeasterlies changing to severe gale southwesterlies during Sunday afternoon, gusting 130km/h in exposed places. Moderate chance of upgrading to a Red Warning.
Since we overlook the sea we do get more rain and wind than Whangarei itself sometimes, so I looked up Taiharuru as well and there the wind is 47km/h with 78km/h gusts.
From past experience I know that they tend to try and cover all eventualities, however this seems to be a big gap this time.
Any ideas?
Reply
WW Forecast Team on 10/04/2026 1:27am
Hi Carla, the MetService warnings are for the region you are in, with highest wind speeds and rainfall quite often in more exposed places (mountains, ranges, islands, extreme coastal areas) – hence their higher numbers as warnings capture what is POSSIBLE as well as what is LIKELY. Our data tries to look at what is likely, but in any storm event you can double your wind gusts or rainfall to get an idea as to what more exposed areas might be getting.
Our data also updates each hour, which on the day itself can be very helpful – and also can see our own numbers lift as data gets more locked in.
– WW
Reply
Jo on 9/04/2026 9:25pm
Hi, is the wind for tomorrow afternoon in North Auckland likely to increase above predicted levels? Are you seeing the cyclone tracking faster than predicted? I see warnings got moved from early Sunday morning to 9pm Saturday.
Reply
WW Forecast Team on 10/04/2026 1:28am
Hi Jo, we haven’t seen much change in the forecast for this weekend with strong winds developing on Saturday and peaking going into Sunday. Check our latest video today for full details.
– WW
Reply
Jason on 9/04/2026 8:46pm
HI Phill, why are we not getting predicted wind speeds for the incoming storm. the forecasts are showing only 38km
Reply
Jacques on 9/04/2026 11:24pm
It’s a cyclone – no one can predict their path 100%. If it moves more east or west than predicted then your winds where you are go from 150km/h to 50km/h and they come from the opposite direction, or vice versa
Reply
josh on 31/03/2026 9:21pm
i just saw the rain accumulative maps for next week on your site and it says 100mm is possible for auckland next monday/tuesday!!!!
wheres el nino?
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