Weather Forecast for Invercargill


Invercargill Summary

Light Rain.

Forecast analysed and prepared by The Weather Company

Now

11°c

Observed at 5:37pm from:
Rural (IINVERCA41)

Rain (today)5.08mm
WindSSW 0km/h
Humidex (Beta)12°c
Humidity92%
Pressure1029.8hPa

Current conditions by The Weather Company

Today

14°c
Light Rain.
Rain (chance)62%
WindN 11km/h
UV Index1 (Low)
Sunrise7:29am
Sunset6:01pm

Computer generated forecast by The Weather Company

Tonight

9°c
Partly cloudy.
Rain (chance)20%
WindSSE 11km/h
Moonrise6:49pm
Moonset7:45am
Moon PhaseFull

Computer generated forecast by The Weather Company

Next 24 Hours

6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
74%
chance
of rain
57%
chance
of rain
55%
chance
of rain
64%
chance
of rain
64%
chance
of rain
38%
chance
of rain
18%
chance
of rain
9%
chance
of rain
14%
chance
of rain
12%
chance
of rain
10%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
23%
chance
of rain
22%
chance
of rain
10%
chance
of rain
15%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
E
6km/hr
SSE
6km/hr
SSE
7km/hr
SSE
8km/hr
SSE
8km/hr
SSE
8km/hr
SSE
8km/hr
SSE
8km/hr
SSE
8km/hr
SSE
9km/hr
SSE
9km/hr
SSE
11km/hr
SSE
12km/hr
SSE
12km/hr
SSE
11km/hr
SSE
11km/hr
SSE
11km/hr
SSE
11km/hr
SE
11km/hr
SSE
11km/hr
SSE
11km/hr
SSE
12km/hr
SSE
11km/hr
SE
11km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by The Weather Company

Next 9 Days

Sun 21 Apr
13°c
6°c
Partly cloudy.
SSE
11km/hr
20%
chance
of rain
The Weather Company
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
18%
chance
of rain
9%
chance
of rain
14%
chance
of rain
12%
chance
of rain
10%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
23%
chance
of rain
22%
chance
of rain
10%
chance
of rain
15%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
SSE
8km/hr
SSE
8km/hr
SSE
8km/hr
SSE
9km/hr
SSE
9km/hr
SSE
11km/hr
SSE
12km/hr
SSE
12km/hr
SSE
11km/hr
SSE
11km/hr
SSE
11km/hr
SSE
11km/hr
SE
11km/hr
SSE
11km/hr
SSE
11km/hr
SSE
12km/hr
SSE
11km/hr
SE
11km/hr
SE
10km/hr
SE
9km/hr
ESE
9km/hr
E
9km/hr
E
9km/hr
ENE
8km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by The Weather Company

Mon 22 Apr
14°c
8°c
Partly cloudy.
ENE
7km/hr
10%
chance
of rain
The Weather Company
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
8%
chance
of rain
9%
chance
of rain
9%
chance
of rain
9%
chance
of rain
9%
chance
of rain
9%
chance
of rain
9%
chance
of rain
9%
chance
of rain
9%
chance
of rain
9%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
9%
chance
of rain
9%
chance
of rain
9%
chance
of rain
NE
8km/hr
NE
9km/hr
NE
9km/hr
NE
8km/hr
NE
7km/hr
NE
7km/hr
NNE
8km/hr
NNE
8km/hr
NNE
7km/hr
NNE
7km/hr
NNE
7km/hr
NNE
7km/hr
NNE
6km/hr
NE
5km/hr
ENE
5km/hr
SE
4km/hr
SSE
5km/hr
SSE
6km/hr
SSE
7km/hr
SSE
7km/hr
ESE
6km/hr
NE
6km/hr
N
7km/hr
N
7km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by The Weather Company

Tue 23 Apr
15°c
9°c
Mostly cloudy.
W
15km/hr
20%
chance
of rain
The Weather Company
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
9%
chance
of rain
10%
chance
of rain
10%
chance
of rain
14%
chance
of rain
14%
chance
of rain
14%
chance
of rain
12%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
9%
chance
of rain
10%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
N
8km/hr
N
9km/hr
N
9km/hr
N
10km/hr
NNW
10km/hr
NNW
10km/hr
NW
10km/hr
NW
10km/hr
NW
11km/hr
NW
12km/hr
NW
13km/hr
WNW
13km/hr
WNW
13km/hr
W
13km/hr
WSW
14km/hr
WSW
16km/hr
WSW
16km/hr
WSW
16km/hr
WSW
15km/hr
WSW
14km/hr
WSW
13km/hr
WSW
12km/hr
W
11km/hr
W
11km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by The Weather Company

Wed 24 Apr
15°c
8°c
Mostly cloudy.
WNW
18km/hr
20%
chance
of rain
The Weather Company
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
14%
chance
of rain
14%
chance
of rain
14%
chance
of rain
14%
chance
of rain
14%
chance
of rain
14%
chance
of rain
15%
chance
of rain
15%
chance
of rain
15%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
W
11km/hr
W
11km/hr
WNW
11km/hr
WNW
11km/hr
WNW
12km/hr
WNW
12km/hr
WNW
13km/hr
WNW
13km/hr
NW
14km/hr
NW
14km/hr
NW
15km/hr
WNW
16km/hr
WNW
17km/hr
WNW
17km/hr
W
19km/hr
W
19km/hr
W
18km/hr
W
16km/hr
W
14km/hr
W
12km/hr
WNW
11km/hr
NW
11km/hr
NW
11km/hr
NNW
11km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by The Weather Company

Thu 25 Apr
15°c
10°c
Cloudy.
NNW
19km/hr
20%
chance
of rain
The Weather Company
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
16%
chance
of rain
16%
chance
of rain
16%
chance
of rain
20%
chance
of rain
20%
chance
of rain
19%
chance
of rain
19%
chance
of rain
18%
chance
of rain
16%
chance
of rain
22%
chance
of rain
20%
chance
of rain
19%
chance
of rain
22%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
44%
chance
of rain
45%
chance
of rain
46%
chance
of rain
38%
chance
of rain
37%
chance
of rain
35%
chance
of rain
NNW
12km/hr
NNW
11km/hr
N
11km/hr
N
11km/hr
N
11km/hr
N
12km/hr
N
12km/hr
N
13km/hr
N
14km/hr
N
14km/hr
N
15km/hr
N
16km/hr
N
17km/hr
N
17km/hr
NNW
18km/hr
NNW
19km/hr
NNW
19km/hr
NW
19km/hr
NW
20km/hr
NW
20km/hr
NW
21km/hr
NW
22km/hr
WNW
21km/hr
NW
20km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by The Weather Company

Fri 26 Apr
15°c
10°c
Partly cloudy.
NNW
20km/hr
20%
chance
of rain
The Weather Company
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
18%
chance
of rain
19%
chance
of rain
19%
chance
of rain
18%
chance
of rain
18%
chance
of rain
17%
chance
of rain
15%
chance
of rain
13%
chance
of rain
12%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
10%
chance
of rain
10%
chance
of rain
14%
chance
of rain
14%
chance
of rain
14%
chance
of rain
35%
chance
of rain
36%
chance
of rain
38%
chance
of rain
38%
chance
of rain
37%
chance
of rain
37%
chance
of rain
NW
19km/hr
NW
18km/hr
WNW
19km/hr
WNW
19km/hr
WNW
19km/hr
WNW
18km/hr
NW
18km/hr
NW
17km/hr
NW
17km/hr
NW
18km/hr
NNW
18km/hr
NNW
19km/hr
NNW
20km/hr
NNW
20km/hr
NNW
20km/hr
NNW
20km/hr
NNW
20km/hr
NNW
20km/hr
NNW
20km/hr
NNW
19km/hr
NNW
20km/hr
NNW
20km/hr
NNW
20km/hr
NNW
19km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by The Weather Company

Sat 27 Apr
12°c
8°c
Morning showers.
WNW
29km/hr
30%
chance
of rain
The Weather Company
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
55%
chance
of rain
55%
chance
of rain
56%
chance
of rain
54%
chance
of rain
56%
chance
of rain
58%
chance
of rain
32%
chance
of rain
31%
chance
of rain
31%
chance
of rain
32%
chance
of rain
31%
chance
of rain
30%
chance
of rain
22%
chance
of rain
21%
chance
of rain
20%
chance
of rain
20%
chance
of rain
23%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
33%
chance
of rain
33%
chance
of rain
34%
chance
of rain
NNW
19km/hr
NW
19km/hr
NW
20km/hr
NW
20km/hr
NW
20km/hr
WNW
21km/hr
WNW
22km/hr
WNW
23km/hr
WNW
24km/hr
WNW
25km/hr
WNW
27km/hr
WNW
29km/hr
WNW
29km/hr
WNW
29km/hr
WNW
29km/hr
WNW
28km/hr
WNW
27km/hr
WNW
26km/hr
WNW
25km/hr
WNW
24km/hr
WNW
23km/hr
WNW
22km/hr
WNW
21km/hr
WNW
22km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by The Weather Company

Sun 28 Apr
11°c
8°c
Rain.
WNW
26km/hr
60%
chance
of rain
The Weather Company
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
32%
chance
of rain
31%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
35%
chance
of rain
37%
chance
of rain
38%
chance
of rain
56%
chance
of rain
57%
chance
of rain
56%
chance
of rain
54%
chance
of rain
53%
chance
of rain
53%
chance
of rain
60%
chance
of rain
60%
chance
of rain
60%
chance
of rain
60%
chance
of rain
60%
chance
of rain
60%
chance
of rain
56%
chance
of rain
57%
chance
of rain
56%
chance
of rain
53%
chance
of rain
51%
chance
of rain
49%
chance
of rain
WNW
22km/hr
WNW
22km/hr
WNW
21km/hr
WNW
20km/hr
WNW
19km/hr
WNW
20km/hr
WNW
21km/hr
WNW
22km/hr
WNW
22km/hr
WNW
24km/hr
WNW
25km/hr
WNW
26km/hr
WNW
27km/hr
WNW
27km/hr
WNW
27km/hr
W
27km/hr
W
26km/hr
W
27km/hr
W
27km/hr
W
27km/hr
W
27km/hr
W
26km/hr
W
26km/hr
WNW
26km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by The Weather Company

Mon 29 Apr
12°c
9°c
Rain.
WNW
26km/hr
60%
chance
of rain
The Weather Company
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
35%
chance
of rain
35%
chance
of rain
34%
chance
of rain
37%
chance
of rain
38%
chance
of rain
39%
chance
of rain
60%
chance
of rain
60%
chance
of rain
60%
chance
of rain
60%
chance
of rain
60%
chance
of rain
60%
chance
of rain
60%
chance
of rain
60%
chance
of rain
60%
chance
of rain
59%
chance
of rain
59%
chance
of rain
58%
chance
of rain
32%
chance
of rain
31%
chance
of rain
31%
chance
of rain
31%
chance
of rain
32%
chance
of rain
33%
chance
of rain
WNW
26km/hr
WNW
26km/hr
WNW
25km/hr
WNW
25km/hr
WNW
24km/hr
WNW
24km/hr
WNW
23km/hr
WNW
22km/hr
WNW
21km/hr
WNW
22km/hr
WNW
23km/hr
WNW
24km/hr
WNW
26km/hr
WNW
26km/hr
WNW
26km/hr
WNW
27km/hr
WNW
27km/hr
WNW
26km/hr
WNW
26km/hr
WNW
26km/hr
WNW
27km/hr
WNW
28km/hr
WNW
27km/hr
WNW
26km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by The Weather Company


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Comments

HNY to you too! :) There's

HNY to you too! :)

There's some sun breaking through, I can see bits of blue

http://www.sitecam.co.nz/auckland_webcam/desktop.html

http://greylynnweather.net/jpgwebcam.jpg

It was never going to be a totally sunny afternoon or anything like that, just cloud breaking to "some" sun.

It should improve a little further for the remainder of this afternoon.

Tomorrow sees a similar pattern although hopefully it'll be brighter in the afternoon then it has been today. Thursday and Friday look to have areas of cloud but some sun at times. Saturday may be a bit brighter again. Not a totally sunny week but yeah, tomorrow afternoon will hopefully be better for you.

Cheers
Aaron

Hapy New Year

Happy New Year to you guys at Weatherwatch. Thank you for the awesome job you guys did in 2018. Here's to another equally awesome job of accurate weather forecasting in 2019. Cheers to Phil, Aaron and the rest of the team. A.C.

Thanks A.C! :D Much

Thanks A.C! :D

Much appreciated by the team, you have a great new years and great 2019 :)

Cheers
Aaron

Abel Tasman

Hi, We are planning a Kayaking trip to Abel Tasman for three days from the 15th January. When I looked at the 14 day forecasts they all seem to predict a big drop in temperatures from the 11th. Is this an indication of bad weather coming in? Should I be concerned? Thanks Kaz

Hello there That's half a

Hello there

That's half a month away basically, I can't really give you any useful information at this point in time as to what is going to happen then. The longest of the long range maps show a pattern alternating between anticyclones and then fronts moving through from the west / southwest. The exact timing of these fronts I can't tell you at the moment. As for temperatures perhaps alternating between periods of cool then warm, once again that's very vague and nothing specific.

Have a good holiday, feel free to come back and ask 5 to 7 days out, might have a better idea then.

Cheers
Aaron

Daughter’s 21st on Jan 12th

Hey team, Any chance of a weather forecast for the 12th Jan? My daughter is having her 21st that day/night at our place out by Port Waikato and would prefer to have the people outside

Hi there That's probably a

Hi there

That's probably a bit too far out for me to tell you anything of use at the moment, current indications are there may be some rain around then but that will likely change in model information as the 12th draws nearer. How that will change I'm not sure, it could end up being dry, it could be that rain arrives early on that day but clears by evening, or it could be dry then rain arrives in the evening. It's a bit futile at this point unfortunately.

Come back and ask closer to the time if you like otherwise I hope your daughters party goes well! :)

Cheers
Aaron

Thank you

Thanks heaps Aaron, I thought it might be a bit far off, will check in closer to the date. Happy New Year

Are the any tropical cyclones

Are the any tropical cyclones that are expected to form in the south pacific in the near future?

Keep an eye out for Dave's

Keep an eye out for Dave's comments - he is usually on top of this sort of thing.

Perhaps early January, but at

Perhaps early January, but at this stage it's staying away from New Zealand way up in the tropics.

Cheers
Aaron

Is there the possibilty of

Is there the possibilty of any exciting weather in CHCH in the future (i.e Thunderstorms, heavy rain, extreme heat, extreme wind).

Hi there By the looks of

Hi there

By the looks of things nothing too extreme apart from temperatures, they may be quite warm from tomorrow perhaps getting into the late twenties or early thirties if conditions suit.

Cheers
Aaron

Raglan this weekend

Hi We were thinking of popping down to Raglan from Friday through to Sunday - is the the weather due to improve much do you think? Thanks Des

Hi there Friday looks mostly

Hi there

Friday looks mostly sunny, just watch for the risk of an isolated shower late afternoon / evening.

Saturday sees slightly cloudier skies, some sun still about at times though. Once again an isolated shower or two possible mainly late afternoon / evening.

Sunday sees a mix of sun and cloud, mainly dry with westerlies at this stage.

So it's an improvement over what we have currently that's for sure. Still could be a pesky shower or two about however.

Cheers
Aaron

Thunder

Thunder heard over the Waitakere ranges just after 12:40. Hopefully not a sign of things to come over the next few days. Phil, Aaron and the rest of the WW team, have a great Christmas and New Year. You guys do an incredible job!

Thankyou very much! You have

Thankyou very much!

You have a great Christmas and New Year's too. Could be some thunder Xmas afternoon, but you never know the nature of thunderstorms are they are often quite isolated so no garantuees you will get them, we'll see.

Cheers
Aaron, Phil and WW Team

Grateful Thanks.

To Philip,Aaron and rest of the Staff. My grateful thanks for your continued very professional service presented to us daily during this year. The subject of weather in itself is fascinating and you present it in a way that captures our interest and we are part of it. How do you see the Cyclone Season for New Zealand for next year? And I see that the remnants of Owen still around. Hope your enjoy your break and blessings to you and yours. Regards Pastor Barrie Salvation Army

Hi any good weather for

Hi any good weather for fishing this weekend in Auckland

Hi there Saturday morning

Hi there

Saturday morning looks good, perhaps into the afternoon for a time but late afternoon expect rain to move in.

Sunday sees morning showers clear then a mix of sun and cloud for the rest of the day with southwesterly winds.

Winds are lighter overall on Saturday, a little breezier on Sunday but nothing strong. Temperatures on Sunday may reach into the mid twenties, high's on Saturday will be in the low twenties.

Hope that helps!

Cheers
Aaron

Where is Summer

Will we ever get Summer in Chch ?

Eventually, weather patterns

Eventually, weather patterns are what they are, some summers are dry, some are wet, some are good or bad whatever your interpretation of that is.

Onwards and upwards :)

Aaron

Holidays

Have a great Xmas and New Year team -thank you for all your hard work and lets hope 2019 sees some well deserved funding for you guys!!

Xmas Day

Hi guys What a difference 24 hours can make! We have gone from a mainly fine Xmas Day in the north to rain with easterly Hopefully it may change again but most now seem to be in agreement Thank you for the daily videos & all the best for Xmas & 2019 Regards Dave

Merry Xmas

Thank you team for all the years forecasts, we can always rely on this team to give us the whole reliable picture. regards Jason

Hi Jason! Thankyou very much

Hi Jason!

Thankyou very much for the nice message, is much appreciated by the team.

You have a great Xmas and a happy new year! :)

Cheers
WW

Thunderstorm for Auckland

Are we going to have more thunder cause it very scary

It scares me too

It scares me too

A low chance but more then

A low chance but more then likely no, instability is not looking as good for the Auckland area today. Could be an isolated shower or two perhaps.

Aaron

Beach Haven Auckland Rain Sat ???

I cleared the garden waited for the rain to pour down at some point on Sat so didn't refill pool! None came but seeing everywhere else in Auckland had storms the only one's we got were Friday night hardly any rain. So what happened?

The nature of thunderstorms

The nature of thunderstorms is they are often quite isolated meaning some areas may get heavy rain / downpours while other areas close by may see nothing at all. It depends where convergence lines form (where winds meet) and what side of the convergence is more dominant as to which side of the Auckland isthmus* clouds / storms form. Or winds may be equal either side meaning storms form right in the middle. Sometimes this is able to be sussed out in regards to what breeze may be more dominant but other times it can be a bit up in the air, excuse the pun. So when thunderstorms are forecast they are often mentioned as only a "risk" of happening as it can be hard to pin point where they may form.

*An isthmus is a narrow piece of land connecting two larger areas across an expanse of water by which they are otherwise separated.

Hope that helps!

Cheers
Aaron

Weather in south Auckland

Hi guys what’s the chances of thunderstorms hitting south south Auckland tonight as I work night shift and want to make sure i have the right gears with me

Sorry our reply may be a

Sorry our reply may be a little late, but you've probably realised we do have some thunderstorms - quite a bit flare up at the moment (10pm) but should taper off later. Might be more overnight and tomorrow too (like today, isolated but possibly big).

Cheers and all the best
WW

TOmorrow in Auckland

Hi team between what time can we expect rain tomorrow in West Auckland and what time do you see it easing/clearing?

Hi there, we have the right

Hi there, we have the right ingredients for big downpours, maybe thunder, but like today it may only affect a small portion of the region. This set up is a bit like cooking popcorn in the this analogy!). Keep an eye on our forecasts on Saturday, we tend to live update (which means every 30 mins or so) when the weather becomes unstable/changeable or high demand. 
Cheers :)
Phil D

Thunder

Lots of thunder overhead here in Titirangi in past few mins, no rain as of yet. Is today the highest risk, or is there a higher risk of storms tomorrow?

Hi there, good question as

Hi there, good question as we've had a few risk days this week but the Friday/Saturday period was always most likely to be most active. Still some isolated thunderstorms in West Auckland this afternoon, Saturday has a a similar risk but there may be a few showers with no thunder too. 
- WW

Hedge Trimming

Hi Guys - Ive hired some hedge trimming gear for tomorrow in Auckland...when do you think the worst of the rain will be coming through? Many thanks

Hey there, to be honest with

Hey there, to be honest with you Auckland's forecast tomorrow is very tricky to be precise about as these sorts of downpours can bubble up over quite a large area but only affect a minority. Frustrating! At this stage it looks like there could be both mid to late morning and afternoon isolated downpours, possibly more likely in western Auckland and rural North and South. We'll be likely live updating our Auckland forecast on Saturday to stay on top of this so check back for updates. All the best with the hedge trimming - there should be some good dry spells around.

Cheers

WW

Weather forecasting accuracy

There seems to be a tendency for most forecasts from other providers to be over forecasting .That is they seem to go for the worst case scenario ? Why do they do that ?

NZ Herald are shockers for

NZ Herald are shockers for this. They will "cherry pick" comments from various reputable sources including Metservice and Weatherwatch and report them out of context to suit their dramatic headline.

Hi there, this is due to them

Hi there, this is due to them covering their backs basically, so they can say "see, we warned you" - but the downside is that you become the boy who cried wolf. Thunderstorms in NZ can be especially tricky to be precise about but extra care in the wording of forecasts, plus extra updates, can make a world of difference at reducing "big" forecasts and improving accuracy.

Cheers
WW

Overforecasting.

Thanks for reply. You are correct that they are the boy(s) who cried wolf. Well done Weather Watch

Many thanks :) - WW

Many thanks :) 
- WW

Cyclone Owen

I see the good old NZ Herald has jumped of the deep end again with the bold statement "A tropical cyclone nearing Australia will hit New Zealand just days before Christmas" . What do you guy reckon about Owen?

Hi there, we have a news

Hi there, we have a news story about Owen on our homepage. The remnants may come here but they might only be a few showers or downpours. No storm at all is forecast for NZ at this stage with it likely falling part over eastern Aussie. One to watch though as Owen has reformed and has some potential to reform once again before NZ...but that is currently not what we are forecasting.
Cheers

WW

Thanks guys, nice to see some

Thanks guys, nice to see some sanity prevailing with weather stories compared to attention-grabbing statements with no real substance behind them. Well done.

Sea Breezes

Is not Massey too far from the sea to be bothered with sea breezes and the prevailing SW comes from across the sea anyway

Hi there Not too sure what

Hi there

Not too sure what you are trying to say here. The situation today and again tomorrow for Auckland will be a sea breeze set up. Winds coming from both directions meeting in the middle over the Auckland isthmus.

Cheers
Aaron

Interestingly, Metservice'

Interestingly, Metservice' thunderstorm outlook for tomorrow (wednesday) has 0 risk of thunderstorms for Auckland, with you guys saying they are possible. usually it's the other way around! What's the odds of a t'storm over West Auckland these coming few days (I see you have storms possible wed-fri)