Weather Forecast for Invercargill

Hi there

Could be perhaps, the best thing is to use this site here:

http://www.weathermap.co.nz/forecast-maps     then click on "Rain"

Those maps go out a bit further then ours and will let you see into the future most, but bear in mind the further you go out generally speaking the less accurate models become.

Hope that helps! :)

Cheers
Aaron

Good morning - and good question to ask. We had a 25% risk of showers which which lifted at 2am to 70%. The reason why it's wetter is due to the centre of a small area of low pressure crossing Auckland right now - and as it does so it flicks up a small area of showers behind it and triggers brand new downpours. It can be one of the most unpredictable parts of weather - forecasting what is happening precisely in/around the centre of a weak spinning low. The reason why weren't bigger with the risk yesterday (for today) was due to thinking this small cluster of showers would be nudged a little further north of the city, as is often the case...but clearly it didn't pan out that way. It's a fairly small area of wet weather but it's perfectly lined up with the city. It's disappointing when we don't perfectly nail a forecast but we do have a unique policy of admitting when we're wrong and why we were wrong as a sign we are always trying to do better. 

Kind regards

WW

Hey there, timing of Southern Ocean cold fronts reaching Auckland is often a frequent 'recalculating' job - our latest update matches the hourly forecasts, so that makes answering your question much easier now :) Thank you for your question and sorry for any confusion.

Cheers

WW

Hi there, at this stage it's looking mostly dry with patchy showers around Cook Strait and Wellington, but looks cloudy but dry in Picton itself. Winds may be a little brisk around Wellington and the Strait, but nothing stormy. All the best!

- Cheers WW

Hi there, please see our latest weather video and take a look at our recent news stories on this - we're covering this as detailed as we can about who may get rain and who may miss out. All the details can be found in our Videos and News stories today.

Cheers

WW

Hey Brock - congrats for the 16th! It's a little too far out to lock in, but right now it's a mostly dry forecast but a small low to the north and some rain makers in the Tasman Sea are close enough to mean this forecast may change. Keep an eye on our rain maps - and from tomorrow our specific Clevedon/Maraitai 10 day hourly forecasts as well.

Cheers and all the best!

- WW

The night before:

Sorry to hear it's so dry, hopefully some wet stuff coming for you on Friday. Are you seeing Benneydale spelt otherwise on our site? We have specific forecasts for you and it appears to be spelt correctly here: www.weatherwatch.co.nz/location/Benneydale%2C%2520Te%2520Kuiti

All the best for Friday - it's the best chance we've seen in a while for some actual rain.

Cheers

Phil D

Hi there, the general trend is for high pressure to continue dominating but with perhaps a few more cloudy days and a couple of showery days in the mix. We see no major shake up of the current pattern in the next few weeks, but perhaps a slight uptick in small rain/shower makers.

Cheers

WW

Hi there, thanks for the great question! It's to do with the fact New Zealand is quite small globally, so large highs in summer can dominate while in winter we can get one low after the other ... many of these air pressure systems dwarf our nation. This year the highs have been streaming from Australia, mostly centred just south of Aussie which perfectly lines them up to cover NZ...one after the other, after the other. When we have an uptick in high pressure over/from the Tasman Sea we tend to get fewer rain events in NZ - as the rain makers often come out of the Tasman Sea or down from the tropics, but with high pressure covering this zone since the start of 2019 it's kept NZ mostly dry. This pattern is easing back a tiny bit this month - but is still dominating overall. Hope that is helpful!

Cheers
Phil D

Hi there, what a beautiful place for a wedding! Friday looks wet, but the good news is showers early on Saturday look to clear (and they may clear Opito Bay before dawn even). Here's our exclusive Opito Bay forecast: www.weatherwatch.co.nz/location/Opito%2520Bay%2C%2520Whitianga 

All the best

- WW

Hi there, we have a new area of low pressure forming over the North Island on Friday. It's not 100% locked in yet so you may find the forecasts change a little further (as it's not a big system, it's more on the margins so it can tip wetter or tip drier with each update - a little frustrating when you're trying to plan! We don't exoect solid rain - in fact most likely set up is for a band of rain on Friday PM moving down from the north, clearing Saturday AM then mainly dry for Sunday and Monday.

All the best!
Cheers
WW

Hi there

Our latest thoughts regarding what you are after is in the Auckland forecast. A morning shower or two then cloudy areas and some occasional sun from afternoon. Hope that helps! :)

Cheers
Aaron

G'day there

That far out you are often going to get variances in forecasts unfortunately. At this stage from what I'm seeing it looks like a mostly cloudy day, a few scattered areas of rain developing in the afternoon, winds from the north.

I wouldn't like to get into any more specifics then that as there will no doubt be changes within the day itself and perhaps by the time the 11th comes around it could be fairly different to what I've said above.

Hope you have a great day anyway and please message us back closer to the time if you can for a further update.

Cheers
Aaron

Hi there

Where is the wedding going to be held?

Cheers
Aaron

Hi there, thanks very much! We're an entirely free public service. Both NIWA and MetService collectively receive more than 200 million dollars a year from taxpayers, so your compliment means a great deal to us. Have a great weekend. :) 

Cheers

WW Team

Hi there, thanks for the question! When it comes to long range forecasting it's better to look at the general trends after 10 days, rather than the actual forecasts. For example, you might notice in week 3 they are forecasting a drop in temperatures - but the actual highs forecast for those specific days all this way in advance may be wrong. So they are helpful to see some long range trends, but after 10 days most weather forecasts get pretty changeable and unreliable. In New Zealand even more so due to our location on earth, and being such small islands compared to the oceans around us, it's very hard to precisely forecast for specific locations that far out. If any rain does eventuate in mid-March we don't expect it to be long lived, high pressure seems very dominant so far this year.

Cheers :)

- WW

Hi there

Looking quite dry unfortunately, through till mid March from what I can see at the moment. There could be a clearing morning shower tomorrow and perhaps the low risk of one again in the afternoon but they won't amount to anything very much.

Cheers
Aaron

The weather looks very good for you on the 3rd March, winds will not be strong with an anticyclone keeping conditions calm. Have a good one! :)

Cheers
Aaron

Hi there, it's too early to see that far out but latest data suggests high pressure is more dominant in the NZ area for most of the month of March. We may see a rainmaker in the middle of the month but not locked in. High pressure is the main feature for the next two weeks though. We'll have a better idea about late March in about a week or so.

Cheers

WW