Weather Forecast for Auckland

Hey there, thanks so much for your message, we love getting ones like this one that drill down. Firstly, we're hugely disappointed Labour Minister Megan Woods said to us in a Beehive meeting in October that MetService/NIWA making profits for them to spend was much more important than making data (we all collective tax fund) being freely available. Personally, I was gutted by that as she is supposed to be the Minister for "Innovation" and "science". 

NZ is the only country in the western world to be like Russia/China in the weather world where the people are taxed to create a weather observations they cannot then openly use.

That aside, we are very grateful to the hundreds of hard working tax paying Kiwis who have uploaded their data. However you're slightly wrong that it's all amateur - yes there is definitely a majority of private weather stations run by 'amateurs' but we also have Govt airport data in the mix and professional private vineyard stations too. The truly "amateur" ones are sometimes quite obvious - they tend to be different to the many around them. We have no support from NZ Government - in fact 2 (of 3) Government run commercial competitors (NIWA, MetService) have been trying hard (including sending us legal threats from tax-funded-lawyers for daring to use public tax funded data and weather observations) to stop us. We have made complaints to the Commerce Commission which they are currently now investigating. So we're doing our best to share more data - and our advice to those who see incorrect readings is to take a look at the totality of stations around them and see the average.

It was WeatherWatch directly that made the changes to the Weather Company stations and we're working hard to improve our services this year, including adding some (delayed sadly) Government/tax payer owned data.

Hope that helps :)
Cheers and thanks again for the message and support.
Phil Duncan

PS - If you see a weather station you think is consistently or extremely out of touch, simply give us the full STATION ID (in the app and website in the "NOW" section) or from the Observations page directly - and we will block it until they reach the right standards. 

Hi there

Not sure on March 4th, that's too far beyond any crystal ball I have unfortunately. Hopefully it is settled for you!

As for the 16th to 23rd, there are hints of tropical activity around then bringing in easterly quarter winds. There doesn't look to be any direct hits from lows at this stage but there may be a few periods of rain / showers. But there appears to be days of dry with sun / cloud also. It's probably going to be more dry then it is wet but prepare for a few wet periods I would say. Keep an eye on this if you like: https://www.weatherwatch.co.nz/location/Russell

Hope that helps, have a great time away! :)

Cheers
Aaron

Hi there, at this stage there may be a cold front moving up the country around Feb 21 and 22 bringing a south to south west change and showers to Kapiti. Not locked in being so very far out but that's the latest.  In a few days time we'll have a better idea. 
All the best :)
- Aaron

At some point in the future, sure there will probably be a risk of some sort. In the near future? Doesn't seem to be any big risks at the moment. Tropical activity seems to be staying to the north at this stage.

Use these maps here: http://weathermap.co.nz/forecast-maps

Click on "Rain", you can scroll through the next couple of weeks using those maps. As you'll see, no tropical cyclones coming down near NZ at this stage.

Cheers
Aaron

Hi there

When you click on those beach locations a box will pop up and it does have tide information. :)

Cheers
Aaron

Hi there

The later in the day you can book that cruise the better from what I can see. Looks quite wet in the morning and for a fair amount of the afternoon to be honest, there is a chance it could break in the afternoon perhaps so you never know.

Have a great day either way! :)

WW

Conditions look to be anticyclonic around then so that should mean settled and hopefully mostly sunny weather.

Good luck and wishing you the best for the big day :)

Cheers
Aaron

Have just done a string of updates for Auckland through to Saturday, is looking mainly dry for most of this coming week. That tropical low (which it will be by then) looks to pass just too far to the east of the North Island next weekend, but you never know, will be something to keep an eye on.

Cheers
Aaron

Hi there, 

We understand your frustration. Unfortunately Auckland is stuck *between* two highs next weekend which means if there is no high pressure over us that tropical low you're seeing may well drag down tropical rain clouds. But the highs in summer are powerful and may dominate, keeping the rain offshore to our north. That's why you're seeing some confusion and every model update every few hours may be quite dramatically different (due to some updates making those highs bigger and closer to NZ, which can have a big impact on how far south that rain might go. We've just put up a detailed story on it here: www.weatherwatch.co.nz/content/cyclone-neil-forms-poses-direct-threat-tonga-sunday-another-bigger-storm-possible-days-later

All the best and check back for our daily news and video updates about it next week.
Cheers

WW

Hi there, interesting timing as we've just put up this news story here about that very topic (no storm, but the leftovers or some affects may impact us): We'll know more on Monday but here's the latest on the new cyclone that has today formed and another one that might follow it: www.weatherwatch.co.nz/content/cyclone-neil-forms-poses-direct-threat-tonga-sunday-another-bigger-storm-possible-days-later

Cheers

WW

It should stay mainly dry, there is a chance of a shower or two but it's on the low side. A slightly higher chance exists overnight.

Cheers
Aaron

Hi there - we are currently in talks with IBM about getting better historical data for NZ as well as building our own network with Amazon purely so people like you can easily do this - check the history to match with the forecasts. Sadly we all have to tax fund both NIWA and MetService which keep observations but make it very cluinky and hard to access to retain their commercial monopolies. We're fighting the good fight but currently have no Free historical data, so your best bet is to email NIWA and ask them for access to tax funded observations for that location over that period of time. Sadly Minister Megan Woods in this current Government recently refused to support open weather data because, as she said to us in a meeting at the Beehive, 'We want to spend their profits'.

We wish you all the best
Cheers
Phil D

Hi there - we have a really indepth news story about this now on our homepage and our just updated weather video with Phil D also covers this. Has all the info we currently know about these tropical lows.

Cheers
WW

Hi there

Must admit turbulence and figuring out whether it is likely or not is not my expertise, but suffice to say the weather doesn't look unstable for Auckland around then so my opinion is turbulance would be a low'ish risk I'd imagine. But best bet would be to chat to your pilot before the flight, they'll have that worked out much more then I would know.

Good to hear you and your cat like our forecasts, is much appreciated by the team! :)

Have a great trip.

Cheers
Aaron

Thank you for the thank you! We're making quite a few improvements behind the scenes right now, that issue was a top priority for us though. Thanks for contriubuting your data to the network for us to share too!

Cheers

Phil, Aaron and the team

Hi there, it's quite a complicated set up around the 16th, it may easily swing dry with SE winds, or we may end up with wetter weather with easterlies - only a slight shift makes a big difference. Keep an eye on our Rain Maps as they now go out to Feb 16 and you can see what is happening. There is also a tropical storm well to the north of NZ on that date but this may also have some influence on that weather... in other words, expect more chopping and changing as this forecast gets fine tuned.

Cheers
WW

Hi there, no we actually drew a line between us and MetService this week, saying while we agree rainmakers are more likely they may NOT actually bring relief to the regions that need it most. Sorry to be a "Debbie Downer". We're closely watching the tropics and hope to find some relief for you - watch our latest weather video with Phil Duncan as he has a special 14 day rainfall update.

All the best and ahead if you need help please don't hesitate to reach out and ask us here, we're here to help!

Cheers,
Aaron W

No worries for all the questions :) . A) That temperature gauge is being removed today, as it's been a problem off and on for a while now. Dozens more we can choose from in the city so thanks for pointing out. B) Shouldn't be any hail and thunder, the cold change is slow and doesn't bring big downpours at this stage. C) At this stage the tropics won't be impacting the eastern South Island to any significant degree other than wind flows being warm/humid at times - but the rainmakers and storms will be well away from the South Island over the next week or two.

All the best :)
Cheers
WW Team

It looks mainly dry for most of the day in Auckand, it's in the evening when a small easterly surge comes in that there may be a few showers, even then those showers could stay in northern parts of Auckland depending on the strength of this small surge.

Cheers
Aaron

Thankyou very much Paul! :)

Yes there does appear to be minimal rain for Auckland for the next we while. You are right at this stage a large high is looking to keep any tropical activity away to the north around the 15th. If you go here: http://www.weathermap.co.nz/forecast-maps

Then look at the rain maps they go out a little further then our ones do, they are the same maps from the same company.

Cheers
Aaron

Thankyou! :)

WW

Hi there

Yeah that is quite a while away, an anticyclone is moving in then. Looks fairly dry, winds from the southerly quarter so that could be good.

At this stage it's looking more positive for dry / sunnier weather then it is wet weather.

But of course, closer to the time a better understanding of what will happen will develop.

Cheers
Aaron

The 10th / 11th February could be a time to keep an eye on, a tropical low is forecast to come down but it's to the east of New Zealand. So nothing impacing New Zealand at this stage but if there were a chance it might be around then.

Cheers
Aaron