Weather Forecast for Auckland

Hi there, thanks for the question. MetVuw use the same maps we have (and we are looking to display ours in thumbnail style next year as well as other improvements). The biggest problem with the forecast for Saturday (and Sunday to Wednesday for that matter!) is that every day the precise placement of these downpours will shift... so that's why some weather forecasts may show a Rain icon one update, then a Sunny one or sun/showers in the next update. In a set up like this it will be hard to be specific with accuracy until much closer to the time. As it's been for a few days now, this Saturday in Auckland shows a chance of both long dry spells and some heavy slow moving downpours (a bit like today but it could be wetter - or it may be very similar to today, that's what we're yet to lock in due to the slow movement of these very large lows).
Cheers
Phil D

Hi there

It might be a bit wet but it should be ok. If it's not ok they wouldn't fly :)

Cheers
Aaron

Hi there

Probably best to give it a few more days otherwise you'll be asking every day about how it's changed and do we agree with the latest change. Obviously it is changing a fair bit so chances are it'll change again over the next day or two, might be one of those ones where it's better looked at in more detail tomorrow or Thursday.

Cheers
Aaron

Hi there

I think from memory you are right on Sunday we said rain for Monday but then Monday morning we could see it was going to be more of a showery day versus rain. So showers indicate a mix of wet and dry spells where as rain is more persistent all day long sort of stuff. Why the difference? It's just the information we had on hand, it looked more wet (i.e. rain) then it did dry at times. Obviously the dry spells got the better of us.

Overnight tonight looks mostly showery but there's a steady stream of rain that works it's way up to about Banks Peninsula for a time overnight, it could stay just south of the city or it may just move onto the city, a bit 50/50. The morning tomorrow looks showery then rain / shower activity may pick up in the afternoon before clearing later in the evening.

Cheers
Aaron

Hi there

Yes the very latest info says it'll be fairly wet for much of the day, but this could oscillate and change a bit before we get closer to the day in question. It'll naturally get more accurate the closer we get. About 3 to maybe 4 days out is when things start to appear in their final form, if that makes any sense :D

Cheers
Aaron

Not going to happen, there you go :D

Aaron 

G'day there

Metvuw information comes from GFS which is a model we look at also, so you are seeing the same information as us. As you realise and note in your question that is 10 days away so things could change between now and then, closer to the date will give a more accurate outlook naturally. Sorry don't have any magic crystal ball (I wish!) that will tell me the likely hood of it missing Auckland or whether it will be coming in overnight and be gone by Saturday etc. Will just have to keep an eye on things.

Keep checking Metvuw as Saturday get's closer, feel free to come back and ask closer to the time if you like also.

Cheers
WW

Hi there, the forecast at this stage looks a bit patchy for Queenstown this Saturday with maybe the earlier morning having the heaviest rain then it becomes patchy and lighter with increasing dry spells later in the day. Hard to lock in this far out due to this specific set up, so feel free to ask again later in the week. :)

Cheers

WW

G'day Des

Your right it's mostly just a shower or two about.

Friday sees mostly cloudy skies with as you mentioned a shower or two at times during the day, winds from the north. Overnight a band of rain moves through then clearing with sunny spells developing in the morning on Saturday, mainly dry for the rest of the day. Cloud will be thicker towards the eastern ranges when in Taupo, sunnier skies further west.

Sunday looks like cloudy areas, brief sun at times. There may also be a shower or two about, especially late afternoon / evening with long dry spells at other points in the day.

Saturday may be the best day after that early rain clears.

Have a good time! :)

WW

Hi there

There is a Friday 9th November, the 11th is a Sunday.

Either way Friday is looking mostly cloudy, chance of a shower or two otherwise it's looking mainly dry. It's not till late evening / overnight that a front moves in bringing a more period of sustained showers / rain.

So hopefully the concert will be finished before that front moves in :)

Cheers
Aaron

G'day there

The longest of the long range maps indicate it will be very changeable around then, it's a bit up in the air at the moment as to what will happen exactly as it's just too far out as you mention. But I can say it does look changable, either dry or wet potentially??

Sorry not much help right now. Come back and ask closer to the time if you like! :)

Cheers
Aaron

Hi there

I can't tell you anything too exact right now as the dates you mention are a week away. But suffice to say long range maps show anticyclonic conditions around then so it may actually be quite settled which is what you want. We'll have to wait and see how things unfold as those dates get closer.

Cheers
Aaron

Hi there

Weather wise it's looking mostly cloudy, a few spots of rain possible in the afternoon otherwise mainly dry, rain is more likely overnight. Winds from the northwest rising to 30 km/h during the morning, perhaps 35 to 40 km/h at times from afternoon.

A high around 18 degrees. The swell could be up to 2m rolling through the heads, in more sheltered parts of the harbour it may be a 1m swell.

Whether it is safe or not that is a job for your skipper to determine with weather information he has at hand, personally it doesn't look like the best day to go fishing perhaps but I've seen worse.

Cheers
Aaron

Hi and thanks for the question. At this stage it looks as though next Wednesday looks to be the calmest with the windiest weather moving in on Thursday and peaking on Friday.

Cheers

WW

I'm no expert on Waiheke (maybe Phil will chip in here) but overnight temperatures would probably be higher than for Auckland, being a smaller landmass surrounded by water. Being out in the Gulf it can also catch different types of weather that Auckland misses out on, especially in southeasterly airflows.

Daytime high's I wouldn't think would be much higher than elsewhere around Auckland, perhaps a tad cooler on average due to the small landmass in summer. Depending on the wind of the day the sheltered side of the Island would see higher temperatures but that would be the same for anywhere.

It'll be those overnight lows not dipping down as much which may provide a greater variety of plant life perhaps as they are not getting nailed by cold temperatures as often if at all.

Cheers
Aaron

Hi there

Latest information says it's a cloudy day, a burst of rain moves through in the morning with a warm front pushing over then drying out in the afternoon. Winds from the west or northwest with a high of 18 degrees. Overnight a fresh southwest change brings some further rain for a time.

And yes the further you go out into the future things can change with the weather from day to day, then typically as you get closer it narrows down and the forecast can become a bit more reliable.

Hope that helps! :)

Cheers
Aaron

Hi there, no reliable forecaster can give you an answer that far out sorry - try asking us a week or so out :)
Cheers

WW

Hi there, at this stage Saturday starts of fairly calm but Nor'West winds will become gusty later. There may be a late shower, otherwise a dry day at this stage. Showers increase overnight and early Sunday as a cold front moves in (and weakens as it moves in).

Cheers

WW

Hi there

For anything very detailed you are best to look up our forecasts for Queenstown here:

https://www.weatherwatch.co.nz/location/Queenstown

Other then that it's looking like you will probably get alternating days of dry and wet, then towards then end of your holiday from the 7th or perhaps 8th a large high may keep skies settled for the last few days.

Have a good time! :)

Cheers
Aaron