Weather Forecast for Alexandra

Hi DJ, there is a good chance some parts of inland and rural Auckland will be similar to Waikato (so yes, late 20s and even 30 possible). But many suburbs that are coastal will be cooler. I think our forecast highs may creep up a degree or two but generally Auckland isn't quite so hot as other regions (but it will still feel hot to those who don't like hot weather!).

Cheers
Phil

Hi Jayne, you'll need to contact MetService or NIWA for rainfall figures as even though us Kiwis tax fund this system, we can't then actually share that tax owned data without paying a significantly astronomical fee to do so. However we can tell you forecast-wise, at no charge :), that rainfall in your area looks below average for the next week or two ahead, in fact it may be very dry. Sorry I know that's not the answer you're probably wanting - here's hoping for a rain maker from the north in mid to late Feb. Hope that is of some help to your decision making.

All the very best,
Phil D

Morning Simon, cheers for the questions.

At this stage we see no significant change in this pattern - meaning February looks drier than average for Auckland unless we get a tropical/subtropical rainmaker. The tropics don't look active north of NZ until mid-Feb while the series of big highs from Aussie look set to continue. Perhaps in mid Feb there is a chance these highs could sink further south (which Southland, Otago and the West Coast would like) and this might see a shift to more easterlies in northern NZ. Drier than normal for the next week or two ahead. No storms at this stage but maybe a cyclone near Vanuatu in two weeks time.

Cheers
Phil D

It will move onto Auckland today but in a much more weakened state compared to what it was like over the South Island, there will probably be no thunderstorms.

Aaron

Hi there

Yes it looks like some very warm temperatures next week, mid to late thirties looks possible!

Cheers
Aaron

Hey Paul, thanks for the question and you raise a great point. Basically the Southern Ocean is quite windy and stormy at the moment. The belt of highs - the centres of them - aren't lying perfectly over NZ so we're not in that nice calm zone. Over the South Island and lower North Island today winds are very strong/gale in some areas and so these winds basically fade away the further north you go, but places like Auckland are wind tunnels for sou'westers and westerlies when the South Island has gale Nor'Westers. We have a calmer week next week and more nor'easters and nor'westers in the mix. NZ is so small that highs and lows can easily dwarf us and weather patterns around NZ are chaotic - so every year is usually different :)

Cheers
Phil D

Friday and the first half of Saturday may see a few showers.

Saturday afternoon conditions start to dry out a bit then Sunday and Monday look dry, have a good one! :)

Aaron

Hi there, looks like a better chance for calmer conditions and northerly quarter winds next week :)

Cheers

- WW

Depends on where you are in NZ. If in Auckland a few light showers now but breaks in the clouds if you look east.

Cheers and good luck!
- WW

Hey there, great question 'Hopeful' ! For the next week there are two storms in the Southern Ocean, both are bringing wind and rain to parts of the South Island and around Cook Strait. The North Island is on the outer edges of both of these storms but we're getting a little bit of the wake from it all, some extra cloud, sometimes a bit windy and perhaps a shower or two - especially on Thursday. Next week looks more settled at this stage :)

Cheers
WW

Hi there, thanks for the question but it's too early to know sorry. The current pattern certainly favours more settled weather in northern NZ and the Far North is one of the driest parts of the country right now. The tropics are pretty quiet directly north of NZ but a small low will be forming around late Jan/early Feb. As for late Feb or March itself we can't give forecasts until about 14 to 10 days out so perhaps ask us again in mid Feb.

Cheers and all the best
WW 

Hi there

We go through patterns, some are quiet like we have been having recently (generalising here), some are unstable and an unstable pattern can often involve thunderstorms. More specifically what caused those storms? Thunderstorms require warm surface temperatures / humidity and relatively colder air aloft, often a trigger is involved also like converging winds. More info here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thunderstorm

Cheers
Aaron

Hi there, if your phone isn't automatically doing it you can type the suburb name into the search bar on the homepage or by clicking here. We overide some of the data if we think we can do better, but anything from TWC will be local (including the hourly forecasts within our WW ones). We are making improvements this year to our entire website and layout to make this a little easier to find - and to improve suburb forecasting with special lightning data and eventually rain radar too.

Cheers

WW

Hi Mel - great question! Firstly, WeatherWatch offers FAR more forecast locations than both tax funded NIWA & MetService combined. They offer a handful, we have localisd forecasts for every single suburb in the city and small town within the big Auckland region. However, our general Auckland forecasts are more localised than the MetService "local" forecasts. For example in Kumeu's MetService forecast we have often seen references to Great Barrier Island, which is odd. In our "general" Auckland forecast we already pinpoint local suburbs like yours - on top of that we also add a local layer of live information when a major event happens, such as a severe thunderstorm and we will specifically mention your area if need be. Our hourly info in our forecasts is specific too. Watch this space in 2019 - we're stepping up our Local and Live updating even more!

Cheers :)
WW Team

Hi there

Possibly but not a high chance, the risk is greater about the Waikato and Bay Of Plenty.

Cheers
Aaron

When the next supercell thunderstorm occurs :)

Aaron

Hey there, Monday is the wettest day over the week but most other days aren't looking very wet - but some nearby rain to the east means there is 'some chance' there may be a few spits over in Rotorua Tues/Weds. Cheers :)

- WW

Hi there, we thought the rain might be earlier than dawn but that is now unlikely so we've matched (or near) the hourly data now. Afternoon looks drier but will be a front moving through in the morning. Apologies for any confusion.

Cheers

WW

Hi there

Yeah is a bit far out at the moment, come back 10 days out if possible?

HNY to you too! :)

Cheers
Aaron

Hi there Ross, the pattern we have now across New Zealand looks set to be with us into the start of February. As for mid Feb onwards it's harder to tell. We may see an early Autumn pattern kicking into the lower South Island, or we may see the tropics waking up and influencing the north...but for now the tropics north of NZ doesn't look too likely to influence our weather this month and the belt of highs from Australia looks likely to keep on coming. Looks like an extended dry period for some parts of NZ while the odd rain band and cold front occasionally moves into the South Island from the south west.

Cheers
Phil

Hi there,

Hmm a slightly frustrating forecast to clarify perfectly but the positive at this stage is that the showers do look most likely in the early morning rather than later in the day. Take a look at our Poraiti forecast and the hourly chance of rain on Saturday - it shows a 70% chance around 9am to 10am but only 30% to 20% during 2pm to 6pm.

All the best!
- WW

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Cheers

WW