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Punxsutawney Phil predicts more winter weather for US (+ short video)

“6 more weeks of winter it must be…” — If Americans were hoping to be done with winter, Punxsutawney Phil had some bad news for them today.

After the groundhog was summoned from his burrow at the Gobbler’s Knob hill in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, observers proclaimed that “the prognosticator of all prognosticators” had seen his shadow.

“Many shadows do I see, six more weeks of winter it must be,” a member of Phil’s “Inner Circle” said as a crowd erupted in boos.

The tradition goes back to medieval times when there was a superstition that all hibernating animals emerged from their caves and dens to check the weather on Candlemas, which is halfway between the winter solstice in December and the vernal equinox in March. If the animals saw their shadows, winter would go on for another six weeks, and they could go back to sleep, according to the tradition.

But if there was no shadow, spring would come early, according to the tradition.

Not every groundhog agreed with Phil on Thursday. At New York’s Staten Island Zoo, for example, New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg told several hundred observers that Staten Island Chuck didn’t see his shadow, and that therefore an early spring was on its way.

The Staten Island event has happened for 31 years. Punxsutawney’s celebration goes back 126 years.

Up to 18,000 people attended the Punxsutawney event Thursday, CNN affiliate WTAE-TV in Pittsburgh reported. The annual celebration 65 miles northeast of Pittsburgh, starting with various events the weekend before Groundhog Day, provides a sizable boost to the local economy. As many as 30,000 visitors come to town for the event on any given year, the Pennsylvania Tourism Office’s Quinn Bryner said.

The 2,600 rooms available for guests in Jefferson County and surrounding counties usually sell out, Bryner said. And the event adds $1 million to the area each year, according to the Punxsutawney Chamber of Commerce.

Much of the United States has seen an unseasonably warm winter, so Phil’s prediction may come as a surprise to some.

How much stock would you put in this year’s prognostication?

Here’s what Phil indicated in the last few years, according to Groundhog.org:

  • 2011: “No shadow, spring is near!
  • 2010: “Phil saw his shadow and told his prediction to new Inner Circle President Bill Deeley.”
  • 2009: “Phil saw his shadow and Inner Circle President Bill Cooper completed his final interpretation and retired at Gobbler’s Knob. It was 7:26 a.m.”
  • 2008: “It was 29 degrees. In front of one of the largest crowds ever at Gobbler’s.”
     

– CNN

Comments

RW on 3/02/2012 6:05am

PP’s “predictions” are hopeless – considerably worse than random guessing. Good movie though, as someone else said.

Refer the entry in this blog!

http://blog.chicagoweathercenter.com/

All in all a tired ritual.

michael on 3/02/2012 4:16am

What a dodgy thing that is. …Ive never really understood it anyway…

If its sunny on groundhog day he sees his shadow and that means winter goes on for 6 weeks? which seems a bit crazy…so if its fine theres 6 more weeks of winter?

Or does the groundhog whisper some secret messge to someone somehow?

Or if its snowing or raining or cloudy then no shadow and that means winter is finished? I would say winter was still going if thats the case…

Anyway you look at its seems like it rubbish…was a good movie though….

WW Forecast Team on 3/02/2012 5:18am

There was a story on Fox News today that said apparently Punxsutawney Phil has only been right a few times in the last 25 years and that the flip of a coin is more accurate!

– WW

Rumbelly on 3/02/2012 5:50am

…Maybe we are overdue a critter creature of weather prediction proportions here in good ol’ NZ? How about a kiwi called Kaikoura Kevin? An eel called Eketahuna Ernie? A weta called Winton Wally? … It would be a curious distraction from guessing the weather outcome ourselves.

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