Weather Forecast for Nelson


Nelson Summary

Partly Cloudy.

Forecast analysed and prepared by The Weather Company

Now

9°c

Observed at 5:24pm from:
Cohen place (INELSON26)

Rain (today)1.78mm
WindE 0km/h
Humidex (Beta)8°c
Humidity72%
Pressure1010.16hPa

Current conditions by The Weather Company

Today

12°c
Partly Cloudy.
Rain (chance)10%
WindWSW 13km/h
UV Index1 (Low)
Sunrise7:35am
Sunset5:11pm

Computer generated forecast by The Weather Company

Tonight

2°c
Generally clear.
Rain (chance)10%
WindS 9km/h
Moonrise2:02pm
Moonset12:18am
Moon PhaseWaxing Gibbous

Computer generated forecast by The Weather Company

Next 24 Hours

6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
1%
chance
of rain
1%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
22%
chance
of rain
21%
chance
of rain
37%
chance
of rain
48%
chance
of rain
30%
chance
of rain
22%
chance
of rain
23%
chance
of rain
34%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
SSW
12km/hr
S
10km/hr
SSE
10km/hr
SSE
9km/hr
SSE
8km/hr
SSE
6km/hr
SSE
5km/hr
S
4km/hr
SSW
4km/hr
SSW
4km/hr
SW
4km/hr
SW
5km/hr
WSW
5km/hr
W
7km/hr
W
7km/hr
WNW
8km/hr
WNW
12km/hr
WNW
17km/hr
WNW
18km/hr
W
21km/hr
W
22km/hr
W
22km/hr
WNW
23km/hr
W
18km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by The Weather Company

Next 9 Days

Thu 24 May
15°c
1°c
Morning showers.
W
23km/hr
50%
chance
of rain
The Weather Company
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
5%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
22%
chance
of rain
21%
chance
of rain
37%
chance
of rain
48%
chance
of rain
30%
chance
of rain
22%
chance
of rain
23%
chance
of rain
34%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
38%
chance
of rain
37%
chance
of rain
63%
chance
of rain
63%
chance
of rain
SSE
5km/hr
S
4km/hr
SSW
4km/hr
SSW
4km/hr
SW
4km/hr
SW
5km/hr
WSW
5km/hr
W
7km/hr
W
7km/hr
WNW
8km/hr
WNW
12km/hr
WNW
17km/hr
WNW
18km/hr
W
21km/hr
W
22km/hr
W
22km/hr
WNW
23km/hr
W
18km/hr
W
16km/hr
W
14km/hr
WNW
13km/hr
WNW
12km/hr
WNW
10km/hr
W
8km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by The Weather Company

Fri 25 May
13°c
1°c
Mostly cloudy.
SW
9km/hr
20%
chance
of rain
The Weather Company
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
44%
chance
of rain
36%
chance
of rain
34%
chance
of rain
33%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
13%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
10%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
17%
chance
of rain
19%
chance
of rain
17%
chance
of rain
12%
chance
of rain
15%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
2%
chance
of rain
2%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
WSW
8km/hr
WSW
7km/hr
WSW
7km/hr
WSW
9km/hr
WSW
8km/hr
WSW
7km/hr
WSW
7km/hr
SW
6km/hr
WSW
6km/hr
WSW
6km/hr
W
7km/hr
W
8km/hr
W
6km/hr
W
5km/hr
NW
6km/hr
SSW
7km/hr
SSE
9km/hr
S
9km/hr
SSE
10km/hr
SSE
11km/hr
SSE
12km/hr
SSE
12km/hr
S
11km/hr
S
9km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by The Weather Company

Sat 26 May
14°c
5°c
Partly cloudy.
WSW
13km/hr
10%
chance
of rain
The Weather Company
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
7%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
1%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
2%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
S
10km/hr
S
10km/hr
S
9km/hr
S
9km/hr
SSW
8km/hr
SSW
8km/hr
SSW
7km/hr
SSW
6km/hr
S
7km/hr
S
6km/hr
SSW
5km/hr
WSW
8km/hr
WSW
8km/hr
W
9km/hr
W
10km/hr
W
11km/hr
W
13km/hr
WSW
13km/hr
WSW
12km/hr
WSW
12km/hr
SW
11km/hr
SW
11km/hr
SW
10km/hr
SSW
8km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by The Weather Company

Sun 27 May
15°c
3°c
Partly cloudy.
S
9km/hr
10%
chance
of rain
The Weather Company
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
6%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
10%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
10%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
13%
chance
of rain
12%
chance
of rain
12%
chance
of rain
12%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
SW
9km/hr
SSW
9km/hr
SSW
9km/hr
SSW
8km/hr
S
7km/hr
SSE
7km/hr
SSE
7km/hr
SSE
6km/hr
SSE
7km/hr
SSE
6km/hr
SSE
7km/hr
SSW
7km/hr
SSW
7km/hr
SSW
7km/hr
SSW
8km/hr
SSW
9km/hr
S
9km/hr
S
8km/hr
S
8km/hr
S
8km/hr
S
8km/hr
S
8km/hr
SSE
8km/hr
SSE
8km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by The Weather Company

Mon 28 May
14°c
3°c
Partly cloudy.
SE
8km/hr
10%
chance
of rain
The Weather Company
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
9%
chance
of rain
9%
chance
of rain
9%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
1%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
1%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
S
8km/hr
S
8km/hr
S
7km/hr
SSE
7km/hr
SSE
6km/hr
SSE
6km/hr
SSE
5km/hr
SSE
4km/hr
SSE
5km/hr
SE
4km/hr
SSE
4km/hr
SSE
6km/hr
SSE
5km/hr
SSE
7km/hr
SSE
7km/hr
SE
8km/hr
ENE
9km/hr
E
7km/hr
ESE
6km/hr
ESE
5km/hr
SE
6km/hr
SE
6km/hr
SE
6km/hr
SSE
5km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by The Weather Company

Tue 29 May
14°c
4°c
Generally clear.
ESE
6km/hr
10%
chance
of rain
The Weather Company
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
2%
chance
of rain
1%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
1%
chance
of rain
2%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
S
5km/hr
S
5km/hr
SSE
5km/hr
SSE
5km/hr
SSE
4km/hr
SSE
5km/hr
SSE
4km/hr
SSE
3km/hr
SSE
3km/hr
SSE
3km/hr
SSE
4km/hr
SW
5km/hr
ESE
5km/hr
N
5km/hr
N
6km/hr
N
6km/hr
NNE
6km/hr
NE
6km/hr
ESE
5km/hr
ESE
5km/hr
SE
6km/hr
SSE
6km/hr
SE
7km/hr
SSE
6km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by The Weather Company

Wed 30 May
14°c
5°c
Partly cloudy.
NE
7km/hr
10%
chance
of rain
The Weather Company
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
2%
chance
of rain
2%
chance
of rain
2%
chance
of rain
2%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
SSE
6km/hr
SSE
6km/hr
SSE
6km/hr
SSE
6km/hr
SSE
5km/hr
SSE
5km/hr
SSE
4km/hr
SSE
3km/hr
SSE
4km/hr
SE
4km/hr
ESE
5km/hr
N
6km/hr
N
5km/hr
N
5km/hr
N
6km/hr
N
7km/hr
N
7km/hr
NNE
7km/hr
NE
6km/hr
ENE
5km/hr
E
6km/hr
SE
6km/hr
SE
6km/hr
SSE
6km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by The Weather Company

Thu 31 May
15°c
6°c
Partly cloudy.
NW
11km/hr
20%
chance
of rain
The Weather Company
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
10%
chance
of rain
10%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
13%
chance
of rain
15%
chance
of rain
16%
chance
of rain
22%
chance
of rain
22%
chance
of rain
22%
chance
of rain
22%
chance
of rain
22%
chance
of rain
22%
chance
of rain
SSE
7km/hr
S
6km/hr
S
6km/hr
S
6km/hr
S
5km/hr
S
5km/hr
S
4km/hr
SSW
3km/hr
SSW
4km/hr
SSW
4km/hr
NNW
6km/hr
NW
8km/hr
NW
9km/hr
NW
10km/hr
NNW
11km/hr
NNW
11km/hr
NNW
12km/hr
NNW
11km/hr
NNW
9km/hr
NNW
8km/hr
NNW
8km/hr
NW
8km/hr
WNW
8km/hr
WSW
7km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by The Weather Company

Fri 1 Jun
15°c
7°c
Partly cloudy.
NNW
9km/hr
20%
chance
of rain
The Weather Company
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
18%
chance
of rain
18%
chance
of rain
18%
chance
of rain
17%
chance
of rain
17%
chance
of rain
17%
chance
of rain
16%
chance
of rain
16%
chance
of rain
15%
chance
of rain
14%
chance
of rain
13%
chance
of rain
12%
chance
of rain
20%
chance
of rain
21%
chance
of rain
21%
chance
of rain
23%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
W
7km/hr
W
7km/hr
W
7km/hr
W
7km/hr
W
6km/hr
WSW
6km/hr
WSW
6km/hr
WSW
5km/hr
W
5km/hr
NW
5km/hr
NNW
7km/hr
NNW
8km/hr
NNW
8km/hr
NNW
9km/hr
NNW
9km/hr
NNW
9km/hr
N
9km/hr
N
8km/hr
NNE
6km/hr
NE
5km/hr
NE
6km/hr
ENE
6km/hr
E
6km/hr
ESE
5km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by The Weather Company


Before asking us a question:

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Comments

By the time it gets to NZ

By the time it gets to NZ Hola will loose it's tropical cyclone status so will drop below cat 1 although that is more a technicality, it will still retain winds equal to a cat 1 for some offshore islands etc.

WW

Reading NZH website this

Reading NZH website this morning, Metservice meteorologist April Clark said there would be heavy rain and severe gales above 90km/h, with even stronger gusts of up to 180km/h when the remnants of Hola reach NZ. 180 km/h ? That sounds a bit ridiculous when JTWC forecasts maximum gusts of 50 knots (or 93 km/h) by Monday AM and it will be an ex-cyclone by then. Do you reckon 180 km/h gusts are likely?

180 km/h might be pushing it,

180 km/h might be pushing it, that sounds more like a theoretical upper limit, so it's not to say winds couldn't happen up to that speed but really upper limit stuff. But gusts of only 93 km/h may be under baking it for offshore eastern parts of the upper North Island like Great Barrier Island etc. Gusts upwards of 140 to 150 km/h would be our pick and have a fair chance of happening.

WW

Hola

It is so refreshing to read your calm, rational and interesting commentary on this event compared to the fearmongering hype served up in some of the mainstream media who seem intent on causing mass panic. Keep up the good work guys.

here! here!! great work yet

here! here!! great work yet again guys!

Hi there, thank you both for

Hi there, thank you both for your supportive words! We try very hard to be accurate, to be passionate, but also to keep the hype down and the facts first and foremost... even if that means a headline that doesn't give us as many clicks.

Thanks for your support, helps us know we are on the right track!
Cheers

WW

Bay of Islands

Hi there, Can you let me know your thoughts on the weather this coming Monday-Friday for Bay of Islands (12th-16th)? At this time, do you think the anticipated storm will have much of an impact? Cheers

Hi there Monday looks

Hi there

Monday looks definitely set to get some heavy rain and gale force winds. Tuesday is drier with sunny spells, winds strong from the southwest at first then easing from afternoon.

Wednesday and Thursday look relatively calmer, a mix of sun and cloud with southerly qaurter winds. A shower or two possible later on Thursday then on Friday afternoon southeasterlies freshen bringing some rain.

Hope that helps! :)

Cheers
Aaron

Hello Philip, I really

Hello Philip, I really appreciate your weather analysis , here in Gisborne the weather forecasting appears hit and miss with the big players, your forecasting is very inclusive Yours faithfully Kieran Pollard

Weather

Can you please add weather from previous days?

Hi there Can't at the moment

Hi there

Can't at the moment unfortunately, cost / other issues involved. Hopefully in the future though!

Thanks for writing in :)

WW

Holiday

How many layers of jumpers do we need? Arriving Fri 9th for 2weeks Nth Island #7girls

if you're coming from temps

if you're coming from temps above 30c you might need a light sweater !

Simply outstanding question

It's early to mid-March champ, the question isn't how many layers, but more whether or not to even bring a top layer. Temps still in the mid-20's

Layers of jumpers? I'd just

Layers of jumpers?

I'd just take one jersey incase there might be a cold'ish day or two I guess? :D Enjoy your holiday!

Aaron

Auckland Forecast

Hi Guys, The forecast for Auckland is changing by the hour. You previously mentioned a big high rolling in after the remnants of the last storm. Now you are talking about a big low that is not moving anywhere fast. How can this be missed? What happened to the high?

Hi there, the low was in the

Hi there, the low was in the forecast last week for northern NZ but was expected to form just east of Northland, instead it formed just west - a small change to the models but has a significant impact on our weather. There's no forecaster on earth that is 100% accurate, the highs and lows are moving and changing shape daily and we do our best to be as accurate as possible about their placement. The high is here and is large and covers parts of NZ but basically this low has given the high pressure "a puncture" which is why the forecast has changed. It's a sign that Autumn is moving in too. The Chatham Islands is under this ridge of high pressure until Monday but not the mainland, we're now just a tiny bit too far west. 

Cheers

WW

Saturday In Auckland

hi, I see a similar question was asked on this but just wondering if Satuday is now a sunny/cloudy day in Auckland? Dont mind the odd shower but as long as the main part of the day is dry. Thanks Phil/Aaron.

G'day there Latest update is

G'day there

Latest update is picking showers to develop in the morning, there should be some dry spells at times during the day but showers now and then also. Winds from the north.

Apologies it isn't exactly what you are after.

Cheers
Aaron

Saturday weather in Wellington

Hi There I'm organising an outdoor event on Saturday 2pm-10pm - hows the weather looking for that period, I'm unsure if the rain showers forecast will be a big issue or not as we don't have a marque and a lot of things including music are outside. Thanks for your help Kate

For the most part it looks

For the most part it looks mainly dry, the shower risk is fairly minimal, just a low risk for a time early afternoon is what I'm currently seeing.

Being 5 days out this could change up a little but I can't see much drastically changing between now and then but we'll see. Keep an eye on our Wellington forecasts for updates each morning :)

Cheers
Aaron

Thank you for your reply!

Thank you for your reply!

Saturday 3/03

Hi team, Looks like a bit of rain this week. How are we looking for Saturday in Auckland at this stage?

Hi there Looks like morning

Hi there

Looks like morning sunny areas then cloud increasing and isolated showers developing in the afternoon, possibly heavy then clearing in the evening. Being isolated means you may see showers you may not but the risk period will be mid afternoon through till early evening. :)

Cheers
Aaron

Paraparaumu weather

Thank you for the coverage -- excellent detail and highly accurate. Specially like the % chance of rain.

Phil put in plenty of hours

Phil put in plenty of hours with Gita so thankyou very much for your kind words, is much appreciated! Glad the percentage chance of rain worked out well for you :)

WW

What will the weather be for

What will the weather be for kaikoura coast for March 16th and 17th as I have an event planned and need to know whether the coast roads will likely to be open or closed if the weather is bad? Thankyou

H there, it's too far out to

H there, it's too far out to lock in sorry, we only go 10 days out for specific forecasting.
Cheers
WW

swell and wind maps

As aCommercial cray fisherman on the west coast SI do you have detailed maps of Kahurangi area Thankyou Nick Hansen

Hi there Currently the best

Hi there

Currently the best we have is if you go here: http://www.weatherwatch.co.nz/maps

Then choose the type of map you want to look at be it rain, wind etc. Then use the zoom fucntion to zoom in closer to where you want to look at and there you go.

Hope that helps.

Cheers
Aaron

Chch

I'm taking it the winds are not gonna hit chch.. because they're not here yet..and rain is just "steady" not "torrential"..advise please..also well done to Phil..think he's the only forecaster who actually predicted the "split" in the storm..kudos to him..

Key word being "chance" of

Key word being "chance" of torrential falls, "chance".

Strongest winds weren't meant to hit Chch, they will be out on Banks Peninsula.

Thanks for the comment re Phil, he's much appreciative :)

Aaron

Yes Christchurch missed the

Yes Christchurch missed the worst of the torrential rain (it fell just up the road in Kaikoura instead), very very hard to precisely forecast a low that is splitting apart and reforming while going over a mountain range! Tried to do the best we could. Thanks for the kind words - our data showed the 'split' happening a number of days ago. Quite fascinating watching it happening. The winds may still ramp up on Wednesday AM, but hopefully nothing too extreme.

Cheers
WW

cyclone effects

hi, Iam flying out to dunedin on the 25 th of february ! Will there be any affects of the cyclone?

You should be fine :) WW

You should be fine :)

WW

Wairarapa coast weather ahead

Hi, I will be doing the Tora walk the first weekend in March. I am really looking forward to it. Is there anything brewing in the Pacific which might make it miserable? Ordinary weather I think I can deal with. Thanks very much

A bit too far out to lock in

A bit too far out to lock in sorry, but a glance at the extra long range maps shows the first week of March may be ok. The second week may turn sub-tropical.

Cheers and all the best! 
WW

Thank you

Thank you

Eye of the storm or has it passed?

Hey Ho from Takaka, Golden Bay, it has been still for about nearly an hour now, forecasts said it would be nasty to at least 10pm here ... are we in the eye of the storm, or ......

Hey there - yes you are! It's

Hey there - yes you are! It's passing over you now. Because the cyclone is now 'extra-tropical' the rain has shifted to the southern side so you should find conditions ease for you.  Strong winds are nearby - out in the Strait - but for now the upper South Island may be entering a calmer, drier, phase. 

All the best

WW

Thank You

Phew ... Thank you. I love Weather Watch, you guys rule :) KEEP UP THE FAB WORK! Miss Black

No worries Miss Black

No worries Miss Black :) 

Phil D

Concrete pour tomorrow Coatsville

Hi Have been dying to get my driveway poured tomorrow Wednesday in Coatsville what are the chances of rain ?? Marty

Hi Marty Chances of rain are

Hi Marty

Chances of rain are fairly low but there is the risk of a shower or two across the day, any shower acitivity will likely be brief but they may just pop up now and then. Expect long dry periods also.

Hope the pour goes well!

WW

The weather

Above it says 60% chance of rain? Really? Knowing that this storm system was coming this way? When you give the weather the day after you guys are spot on. The day before you really are guessing aren't you?

Hi there What centre are you

Hi there

What centre are you talking about?

WW

Auckland Tues Evening

Wanting to take a cycle out by Maraetai this evening - is the rain likely to be light?

It won't be heavy but it

It won't be heavy but it won't be drizzle, somewhere in between. Winds will be a bit blustery from the north.

Have a good one :)

WW

Hi there, how come some maps

Hi there, how come some maps on your page have TC Gita crossing NZ as a Category 1 tropical cyclone, but other info on your site says it won't be a tropical cyclone anymore? Is it going to weaken? Thanks.

Hi there, good question! This

Hi there, good question! This is because the transition into ex-tropical takes some time (a day or so) and with the much warmer than usual sea conditions there is uncertainty about when precisely this happens. Either way, it's only a technicality and will have the same strength/power equal to Cat 1 or 2. The reason why it is fluctuating between 1 and 2 is because for the past day or two the storm has been just a few km/h into the Category 2 range...meaning it only needs to weaken by several km/h (sustained winds around the centre) and it becomes a high end Category 1 and the best computer modelling is contantly crunching the data. As far as the public is concerned it will likely have Cat 1 strength when it comes in - regardless of if it's tropical or extra-tropical.

Cheers

WW