Weather Forecast for Blenheim


Summary of Blenheim

Partly cloudy.

Forecast analysed and prepared by The Weather Company

Now in Blenheim

2°c

Observed at 7:01am from:
Witherlea (IBLENH4)

Rain (today)0mm
WindS 0km/h
Humidex (Beta)1°c
Humidity92%
Pressure1002.37hPa

Current conditions by The Weather Company

Today in Blenheim

14°c
Partly cloudy.
Rain (chance)20%
WindN 9km/h
UV Index2 (Low)
Sunrise7:04am
Sunset5:50pm

Computer generated forecast by The Weather Company

Tonight in Blenheim

1°c
Generally clear.
Rain (chance)10%
WindS 8km/h
Moonrise12:07am
Moonset10:49am
Moon PhaseWaning Gibbous

Computer generated forecast by The Weather Company

Next 24 Hours in Blenheim

8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
0%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
20%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
23%
chance
of rain
20%
chance
of rain
13%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
WNW
9km/hr
NW
9km/hr
NW
10km/hr
NW
10km/hr
NW
9km/hr
N
7km/hr
E
6km/hr
E
7km/hr
ESE
8km/hr
ESE
8km/hr
ESE
7km/hr
SSE
5km/hr
SSE
5km/hr
S
5km/hr
S
6km/hr
SSW
8km/hr
SSW
8km/hr
SSW
8km/hr
SSW
8km/hr
S
7km/hr
S
8km/hr
S
8km/hr
S
7km/hr
S
7km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by The Weather Company

Next 9 Days in Blenheim

Sat 24 Aug
14°c
4°c
Generally clear.
ESE
11km/hr
10%
chance
of rain
The Weather Company
View Blenheim hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
2%
chance
of rain
1%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
1%
chance
of rain
1%
chance
of rain
1%
chance
of rain
2%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
SSW
8km/hr
SSW
8km/hr
SSW
8km/hr
S
7km/hr
S
8km/hr
S
8km/hr
S
7km/hr
S
7km/hr
SSW
5km/hr
S
5km/hr
SSE
4km/hr
E
3km/hr
ENE
5km/hr
ENE
6km/hr
ENE
9km/hr
ENE
12km/hr
ENE
12km/hr
E
10km/hr
E
7km/hr
SE
5km/hr
SSW
5km/hr
SW
6km/hr
WSW
8km/hr
WSW
9km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by The Weather Company

Sun 25 Aug
16°c
5°c
Partly cloudy.
WNW
21km/hr
10%
chance
of rain
The Weather Company
View Blenheim hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
2%
chance
of rain
1%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
9%
chance
of rain
10%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
W
10km/hr
W
11km/hr
W
11km/hr
W
12km/hr
WNW
12km/hr
WNW
13km/hr
WNW
12km/hr
WNW
12km/hr
WNW
13km/hr
WNW
16km/hr
WNW
17km/hr
NW
18km/hr
WNW
20km/hr
WNW
21km/hr
WNW
22km/hr
WNW
22km/hr
WNW
20km/hr
WNW
18km/hr
WNW
16km/hr
WNW
13km/hr
WNW
13km/hr
WNW
11km/hr
W
10km/hr
WNW
9km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by The Weather Company

Mon 26 Aug
13°c
2°c
Partly cloudy.
NE
10km/hr
20%
chance
of rain
The Weather Company
View Blenheim hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
10%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
10%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
10%
chance
of rain
14%
chance
of rain
16%
chance
of rain
20%
chance
of rain
20%
chance
of rain
20%
chance
of rain
16%
chance
of rain
16%
chance
of rain
16%
chance
of rain
13%
chance
of rain
17%
chance
of rain
15%
chance
of rain
14%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
13%
chance
of rain
W
7km/hr
W
8km/hr
NW
7km/hr
NNW
7km/hr
NNW
7km/hr
NNW
8km/hr
NNW
7km/hr
N
7km/hr
N
6km/hr
N
6km/hr
NW
7km/hr
NW
8km/hr
WSW
10km/hr
SSE
10km/hr
E
11km/hr
E
11km/hr
E
10km/hr
E
10km/hr
E
8km/hr
SE
6km/hr
SSE
6km/hr
S
5km/hr
SSW
5km/hr
SW
5km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by The Weather Company

Tue 27 Aug
11°c
0°c
Morning showers.
SE
10km/hr
30%
chance
of rain
The Weather Company
View Blenheim hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
10%
chance
of rain
10%
chance
of rain
10%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
13%
chance
of rain
13%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
35%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
30%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
16%
chance
of rain
17%
chance
of rain
18%
chance
of rain
12%
chance
of rain
12%
chance
of rain
13%
chance
of rain
9%
chance
of rain
10%
chance
of rain
10%
chance
of rain
SW
4km/hr
SW
5km/hr
SW
5km/hr
SW
5km/hr
SW
5km/hr
SW
5km/hr
SW
5km/hr
SSW
4km/hr
S
4km/hr
SSE
4km/hr
SSE
5km/hr
SE
7km/hr
SE
8km/hr
SE
9km/hr
ESE
10km/hr
ESE
11km/hr
ESE
11km/hr
ESE
9km/hr
ESE
7km/hr
SE
5km/hr
SSE
6km/hr
S
5km/hr
SSW
6km/hr
SW
6km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by The Weather Company

Wed 28 Aug
14°c
2°c
Generally clear.
NNW
10km/hr
0%
chance
of rain
The Weather Company
View Blenheim hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
2%
chance
of rain
1%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
1%
chance
of rain
1%
chance
of rain
2%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
SW
6km/hr
SW
7km/hr
SW
6km/hr
SW
6km/hr
WSW
7km/hr
WSW
7km/hr
WSW
7km/hr
WSW
7km/hr
W
6km/hr
WNW
6km/hr
NW
6km/hr
NNE
6km/hr
NNE
7km/hr
NNE
8km/hr
NNE
9km/hr
NNE
10km/hr
N
11km/hr
N
11km/hr
N
11km/hr
N
9km/hr
N
9km/hr
NNW
7km/hr
NW
8km/hr
NW
9km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by The Weather Company

Thu 29 Aug
14°c
6°c
Generally clear.
NW
20km/hr
20%
chance
of rain
The Weather Company
View Blenheim hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
1%
chance
of rain
1%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
2%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
17%
chance
of rain
19%
chance
of rain
21%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
WNW
8km/hr
WNW
9km/hr
WNW
8km/hr
WNW
9km/hr
WNW
10km/hr
WNW
10km/hr
NW
10km/hr
WNW
10km/hr
NW
11km/hr
NW
12km/hr
NW
15km/hr
NW
17km/hr
NW
19km/hr
NW
20km/hr
NW
21km/hr
NW
22km/hr
NW
21km/hr
NW
20km/hr
NW
18km/hr
NW
16km/hr
NW
15km/hr
NW
14km/hr
NW
14km/hr
NW
14km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by The Weather Company

Fri 30 Aug
13°c
3°c
Morning showers.
NNW
17km/hr
50%
chance
of rain
The Weather Company
View Blenheim hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
46%
chance
of rain
46%
chance
of rain
45%
chance
of rain
44%
chance
of rain
44%
chance
of rain
45%
chance
of rain
41%
chance
of rain
43%
chance
of rain
43%
chance
of rain
43%
chance
of rain
41%
chance
of rain
40%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
32%
chance
of rain
21%
chance
of rain
21%
chance
of rain
21%
chance
of rain
20%
chance
of rain
20%
chance
of rain
19%
chance
of rain
NW
14km/hr
NW
14km/hr
NW
13km/hr
NW
13km/hr
NNW
13km/hr
NNW
13km/hr
NNW
13km/hr
NNW
12km/hr
NNW
12km/hr
NNW
13km/hr
NNW
15km/hr
NNW
16km/hr
NW
18km/hr
NW
18km/hr
NW
18km/hr
NW
18km/hr
NW
17km/hr
NNW
16km/hr
NNE
15km/hr
N
13km/hr
NNE
12km/hr
NW
10km/hr
WNW
10km/hr
WNW
10km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by The Weather Company

Sat 31 Aug
13°c
3°c
Partly cloudy.
NNW
13km/hr
20%
chance
of rain
The Weather Company
View Blenheim hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
21%
chance
of rain
21%
chance
of rain
20%
chance
of rain
20%
chance
of rain
20%
chance
of rain
20%
chance
of rain
21%
chance
of rain
21%
chance
of rain
22%
chance
of rain
18%
chance
of rain
18%
chance
of rain
18%
chance
of rain
17%
chance
of rain
17%
chance
of rain
18%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
30%
chance
of rain
22%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
WNW
9km/hr
W
9km/hr
W
8km/hr
W
8km/hr
WNW
8km/hr
W
8km/hr
W
8km/hr
W
8km/hr
WNW
7km/hr
NNW
7km/hr
NW
9km/hr
NNW
10km/hr
NW
11km/hr
NW
12km/hr
NNW
13km/hr
N
13km/hr
N
13km/hr
N
13km/hr
N
11km/hr
N
10km/hr
NNE
9km/hr
NE
7km/hr
E
6km/hr
ESE
6km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by The Weather Company

Sun 1 Sep
14°c
4°c
Partly cloudy.
SE
10km/hr
20%
chance
of rain
The Weather Company
View Blenheim hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
17%
chance
of rain
16%
chance
of rain
15%
chance
of rain
23%
chance
of rain
22%
chance
of rain
21%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
14%
chance
of rain
15%
chance
of rain
16%
chance
of rain
17%
chance
of rain
18%
chance
of rain
19%
chance
of rain
SE
5km/hr
SSE
5km/hr
S
5km/hr
S
5km/hr
SW
6km/hr
SW
6km/hr
SW
6km/hr
SSW
6km/hr
SSW
5km/hr
SSE
6km/hr
S
7km/hr
SE
8km/hr
SSE
9km/hr
ESE
8km/hr
E
10km/hr
ENE
11km/hr
ENE
10km/hr
E
9km/hr
E
9km/hr
E
7km/hr
E
7km/hr
ESE
6km/hr
ESE
7km/hr
SE
7km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by The Weather Company


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Comments

Rain in Waitakere Ranges, West Auckland?

Hi There, Is there any chance of significant rain in the near future? Hoping for a refill to the water tank!

Hi there Looking quite dry

Hi there

Looking quite dry unfortunately, through till mid March from what I can see at the moment. There could be a clearing morning shower tomorrow and perhaps the low risk of one again in the afternoon but they won't amount to anything very much.

Cheers
Aaron

Hi We postponed our

Hi We postponed our community picnic due to rain ,from last Sunday to this Sunday ( 3rd March) . At present the forecast is for a mostly sunny day . So far this week it has been dry but the winds have been very strong . Will the wind die down by Sunday in Paekakariki , Kapiti Coast ?

The weather looks very good

The weather looks very good for you on the 3rd March, winds will not be strong with an anticyclone keeping conditions calm. Have a good one! :)

Cheers
Aaron

Wonderful news . Thank you :)

Wonderful news . Thank you :)

End of March

What will the weather be like towards the end of March for Auckland? Thanks so much :)

Hi there, it's too early to

Hi there, it's too early to see that far out but latest data suggests high pressure is more dominant in the NZ area for most of the month of March. We may see a rainmaker in the middle of the month but not locked in. High pressure is the main feature for the next two weeks though. We'll have a better idea about late March in about a week or so.

Cheers

WW

Cool - I will message again

Cool - I will message again in about a week to see if you have an update :) Thanks heaps for responding. Appreciate it.

Haha

“Sweet as bruh”...Indeed

It's fun to be relaxed with

It's fun to be relaxed with the forecasts when the weather is so awesome :)

- WW

Weather Reports

Hi there, Weatherwatch is my preferred weather site. You people are so accurate with your reporting, you don't scaremonger the public and are pretty much spot on should there be any drastic changes in the weather systems. Love watching Philip Duncan's video's, he explains the different weather patterns so well. In my opinion I think the Government is funding the wrong weather news authority! Keep up the great work Weatherwatch :) cheers JS

Hi JS Thanks very much for

Hi JS

Thanks very much for your kind feedback, we all really appreciate it. We are looking at making some big changes this year to improve our services even further. Appreciate your support, it really does go a long way.

Cheers!
- WW Team

Molesworth Station, Marlborough

Hi, what chances of Molesworth getting decent rain over 1/ next couple of days and 2/ next free weeks?

Tomorrow appears to be just a

Tomorrow appears to be just a few clearing showers. Beyond then it's quite dry looking, there may be a shower or two, perhaps a spot of rain etc as a front or two passes over during the next three weeks but nothing substantial on the way unfortunately.

Aaron

Auckland weather

Why is it so cold in Auckland right now and can we expect any improvement. It felt like the summer has been complete rubbish this year.

We had 26+ days of no rain

We had 26+ days of no rain and high temps in Auckland until last weekend and you think summer has been complete rubbish? You're hard to please...

First decent southerly system

First decent southerly system in a while, that's why I would say. Improvement is coming this coming week, check out our Auckland forecasts which have very recently been updated.

Hope that helps! :)

Cheers
Aaron

El Nino

Are we in an El Nino period? If not, when is the next one expected? Thanks

temperature

has summer ended? the temps feel cooler. i know that heatwave is gone now

We'll still get warm days for

We'll still get warm days for sure, especially into March but naturally as time moves along you can't stop the seasons from happening. Fairly simple really. Perhaps we have had our hottest weather for this summer though you may be right.

Cheers
Aaron

rain

will there be some rain for aucklanx tommorow

Showers, see our forecasts

Showers, see our forecasts and News feed for maps and details.
- WW

thanks

thanks

Chance of rain

Hi guys. I'm trying to understand how your chance of rain forecasts are calculated. Dunedin's Saturday forecast has no mention of rain in the text description, however there's a 25% chance next to this, and then a 59% chance at 5pm in the hourly forecasts. Can you provide some insight? Thanks, Dave.

Hi Dave, good question and we

Hi Dave, good question and we are working to improve the difference. The chance for rain increases in the evening, but our day time forecast is generally for 5am to 5pm where we think it will be mainly dry. Chance of rain increases into the evening. Other forecasters are much more general and just put a rain cloud up - we try to give daytime and night time two distinct sections and ensure the % of rain and icon are as accurate as possible. We don't always nail it perfectly but it's the goal to be better than just slapping a rain icon up each time there is just a general risk of some wet weather at some point in that 24 hour period. So the WW forecast is the main guide, the hourly forecasts help you fine tune it to make it as accurate as possible. This is unique to WW.

Hope that makes sense - happy to follow up if still not making sense, because as we say we want to make improvements in the very near future (next 2 months) so any tips to make this easier to understand will be very welcome by you and any others reading our reply here :) 

Cheers

Phil D

Thanks

Thanks for your answer Phil. I agree that giving the percentage chance of rain is much better than just saying wet or dry. I'm guessing the hourly predictions are all from computer models and the daily forecasts have human input? My only other suggestion would be that perhaps some of the granularity (i.e. hourly forecasts) could be removed for the 6-10 day forecasts as I imagine it's very hard to get these right! Keep up the good work. Dave.

NZ Herald off the deep end

NZ Herald off the deep end again with a hyped up headline. According to them, "MetService is predicting Cyclone Oma will slide past the country". I thought it was coming nowhere near us and staying off the Queensland coast for a few days. Hardly "sliding past". Thankfully you offer us a voice of reason.

Cyclone

Will Cambridge get the cyclone

Hi there, that's an easy one

Hi there, that's an easy one - no it will not :)

Cheers

WW

Feilding

We have a wedding in Apiti Saturday 4pm, what's the weather looking like? Any chance the rain forecast for Sunday comes early?

Hi there, looks like rain in

Hi there, looks like rain in the morning then improving into the afternoon and becoming mainly dry. Yes there is some chance Sunday's rain might come early (or Saturday's rain might run a little later before clearing) but for now it looks like Saturday afternoon and evening may be mainly dry. Keep an eye on the % of rain in the hourly forecasts we have for Apiti, it's the best guide: www.weatherwatch.co.nz/location/Apiti

Have a good time :)
Cheers

WW

Weekend

Hi, How much rain can we expect this weekend at splore festival at tapapakanga national park?

Hi there, we expect Saturday

Hi there, we expect Saturday to be mostly dry but Sunday looks wet and windy.

Have a great time :)
Cheers

WW

Kaikoura Sunday Rainfall

Hi there working on the road rebuilds in Kaikoura,we usually use your site for our weather.Working in a high rockfall area and are just wondering if we should move all our heavy machinery on Friday if the rain is going to be torrential as we can't seem to get an answer from our higher ups.Being a sub contractor we can't afford to lose gear.Any guess on rainfall amounts.

Hi there, at this stage

Hi there, at this stage Kaikoura itself should be dry on Friday. Rain develops on Saturday PM and may become a little heavy for a time. Sunday sees some rain but latest thinking is that the heaviest falls will be in the eastern North Island, but if the low shifts a little further south that heavy rain may come down further. Hard to be too precise with such a big complex/developing low, but keep an eye on the % of rain in our local Kaikoura forecasts for more details. Below is the total rainfall accumulation map between now and Sunday night, showing up to 80mm possible - other modelling suggests half that amount due to thinking that rain may fall further up the country. Sorry we can't be more specific but it's a very large low that hasn't even formed yet - so a little hard to be too precise about where the fine line of heavy rain will be. All the best and thanks for your hard work with the rebuild - we've heard good things about how it's all coming along.

Cheers
Phil D

TOTAL RAINFALL POSSIBLE between Thursday PM and dawn Monday:

 

WAIRARAPA AIR SHOW 22.23.24TH FEB

AS I Live North of Auckland And will be towing a Caravan to the Air show ( Nine hours drive), what are the percentage chances of rain in the Wairarapa or, low cloud ceiling enough to cancel air show? Long way to go if the show is cancelled.

We've been in regular talks

We've been in regular talks with them this week. A few showers on Friday and Saturday, but Sunday looks wet and windy. Not the best forecast but hopefully the first two days are ok. All the best and hope it's not cancelled.

Kind regards
WW

Te Horo - Wellington

Hi there, Are you able to kindly provide an insight into the likely weather on Friday around 3pm at Te Horo Wellington please together with any possibility of this changing? Thank you.

Hi there. It's looking quite

Hi there. It's looking quite wet unfortunately. With that set up I suspect this isnt looking all that likely to change.

Cheers, Aaron

From Doom and Gloom to Warmth and Sunshine?

What are the chances that the high to the East of NZ pushes back on the low / stormy weather front giving us a dry weekend? Or option 2 the High coming across from Australia pushes through any scattered rain faster than expected until midnight Friday, an then sitting over NZ for the weekend.

Hi there, your option 2 is a

Hi there, your option 2 is a possibility. We have seen some 5 day rainfall maps which show some very patchy set ups. There is definitely a possibility the high to our west may grow or push in faster, making that rain move faster away from NZ in the east (or pushing that northern rain further north off land). That's why we are still reserving our thoughts on rainfall totals this week, probably make some decision tomorrow on it. Certainly a complex set up with a number of moving parts!

Cheers

Phil D

Are there any

Are there any more tropical storms that would affect New Zealand over the month of march

Hi there, yes there is the

Hi there, yes there is the potential for another tropical cyclone north of NZ at the start of March but high pressure in the New Zealand area looks very strong and should keep any tropical weather well away from us. Definitely worthy of keeping an eye on, but nothing major on the horizon at this stage in March.

Cheers
WW

Gisborne in march

Hi there, Can you predict anything fo Gisborne between 7th-25th march? Is it mainly rain, cloud or sun and quite a bit cooler?? Thanks

Hi there, it's too far out to

Hi there, it's too far out to lock in at this stage but the general theme we see in early March is more big high pressure crossing NZ from the Tasman Sea. We don't expect it to be significantly cooler at this stage in Gisborne.

Cheers
WW

Pacific Vs Atlantic cyclone categories

Hi there, just wondering why the Pacific and Atlantic cyclone categories are different? Was quite impressed to hear that Oma was a cat 3 then found out that's cat 1 equivalent in the Atlantic. (Just moved from the Caribbean where a Cat 3 would seem not to exist in the Pacific?)

You are preaching to the

You are preaching to the converted here. Personally in this modern day and age the system set up last century no longer applies, instead it causes confusion. In our part of the world the categories are reached much easier - maybe because homes aren't built as well. Either way, we believe there now should be one international standard - but it's all political so who knows if the UN/WMO/MetService would ever support a common sense one high level international standard.

Here are all the different categories in each part of the world:  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tropical_cyclone_scales

Cheers
Phil D

Nelson Tasman

Hard to wait it's so dry water being turned off to businesses in less than 2 weeks around some parts of Tasman area the impact of this will be huge for people. Can you send some rain this way please : )

The latest GFS model looks to

The latest GFS model looks to have aligned with the ECMWF model. Your thoughts?

Hi there, yes we are seeing

Hi there, yes we are seeing GFS, ECMWF, ACCESS G (Australia) and UK Met Office all somewhat aligning. We're likely to make our first detailed call tomorrow on what we think will happen. It's likely Cyclone Oma will entirely miss NZ but it's looking likely it will help fuel a new larger low in the New Zealand area. The modelling was always confident of a new low forming, but GFS in particular was lagging and showing Oma still directly coming in. A lot of moving parts and if we do end up with a very large system it can sometimes create large areas of calm and dry too... so still a lot to fine tune in the days ahead.

Cheers

WW