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Weather Video: Which parts of NZ will Cyclone Pam hit?

A rare and very large severe tropical cyclone is this weekend going to clear Vanuatu and head down towards New Zealand.

It’s expected to weaken a little and shift a little more to our east – but it is far too close for comfort for authorities and forecasters.

For that reason we suggest all North Islanders, particularly those north of Waikato and Hawkes Bay to keep up to date with the changing forecasts.

We also suggest and for weather advice across the weekend.


Annemarie van Heest on 15/03/2015 2:39pm

Hi, i am from Holland in Europe. My doughter and her partner are on holiday in your beautiful country.
They are now in Otorohanga and are going to drive too Rotorua on monday. Are they safe there? In Europe we don t have tropical Storms.
We don t know what to expect.

Guest on 14/03/2015 1:47am

You really sure? last time you said all this I cancelled a major family fuction only to find Lushi was nothing more than  strong wind and our event could have gone head with no problems what so ever.  In fact we were furious at being rarked up.   You seem to cry wolf a lot but then nothing eventuates.  Maybe this is just another curtin flutter like last time? 

hitadmin on 14/03/2015 4:59am

If you don’t understand the variables in the video I cant help you! You don’t seem to understand this storm will pass NZ but we aren’t sure if the damaging winds will hit.  Just like in archery at the Commonwealth Games – they shoot the arrow, you know the target, but no one can say with certainty where the arrow will hit before it’s landed. Same story with this – we know it’s coming, but the target isn’t locked in – because even NASA cannot 100% accurately forecast the target of tropical storms. As I say – can’t help you if you still don’t get it after watching that video, I do all I can do to explain it well – I haven’t said ever that this storm will directly hit NZ, I’ve said it might hit, it might not, I’ve given the chances based on the best facts and data we have – and that’s all any human being can do.

Philip Duncan. 

Guest on 13/03/2015 11:59am


Just wondered what sea temperatures are in the path from NZ to the Cat 5 at the moment. Are they expecting it to still be a cyclone as it passes NZ or an ex-TC? If an ex cyclone are you expecting a massive rain dump over Northland and East Cape as it unwinds?

Guest on 13/03/2015 11:02am

I’m beginning to wonder if Pam might produce the stongest winds the North Island have seen since the Wahine storm (TC Giselle), of April 10th, 1968 ? More so if it tracks directly across East Cape or Eastern BOP … certainly Gisborne/eastern BOP would experience very damaging wind gusts if that occurs. I see the latest Australian BOM map (Friday evening) predicts exactly such a track, with a possible very low 963 hPa at the centre, as it crosses, just west of East Cape. Will be interesting to see what eventually happens, a variation in track of 200-300 km east or west on Saturday/Sunday will make all the difference to how hard we get hit on Monday/Tuesday.


Sam Bearda on 13/03/2015 10:08am

I am following ” Higgins Storm Chasing” and Fiji Met Office for proper details as both WW and Metservice are not ginving enough details.
My opinion – not good enough.
I live near Te Aeoah and likerly to cop it big time as per usual.
Seems to me that you are downplaying this threat.

Allyson on 13/03/2015 10:02am

Anything to be worried about if flying out early Sunday morning from Auckland to Singapore???

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