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VIDEO: Tropical Cyclone to form in Coral Sea, may track towards NZ area

Showers will be spreading around NZ for the next day or two but all eyes are to our north with a sub-tropical low and a tropical cyclone both expected to form in the coming days.

The sub-tropical low will be around the upper North Island this weekend and depending on how strong the high is further south will make a difference as to how much rain or showers spreads down the dry island.

After this a cyclone is likely in the Coral Sea and may then drift towards the NZ area.

Comments

Michael Horne on 10/03/2020 11:31am

Apologies, Watched the video again. Still interested in your insights.

Michael Horne on 10/03/2020 11:29am

I know it’s too early to tell but based on BOM, Auckland may get a potential hit around 23rd. I know it’s too early to tell but I’m interested to heat your ideas about that one.

Im not a doomsday person but it’s tracking on their forecasts as being 956hPa just before the top of NZ. And we have warmer seas and possibly a high from Tasmania pushing it back up.

Of course I know it’s projections far more than we can even try and predict.

Your thoughts however?

Paul Jackson on 10/03/2020 2:50am

Have a lot of faith in your predictions, modelling, forecasting etc. Just a question, what criteria do the folk at BOM use to post a heads up of Tropical Cyclone formation in their area of responsibility. At present they don’t appear to have posted anything.

WW Forecast Team on 10/03/2020 7:28pm

Hi Paul, thanks for the message. BoM, Fiji Met, MetService etc, all only focus on about 3 days out. Sometimes 5. WeatherWatch goes out to 15 days in some rare instances. You’ll find the latest Aussie info here: http://www.bom.gov.au/qld/forecasts/cyclone.shtml They have today shifted the risk to “high” matching what we forecast yesterday.
Cheers
WW

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