Showers will be spreading around NZ for the next day or two but all eyes are to our north with a sub-tropical low and a tropical cyclone both expected to form in the coming days.
The sub-tropical low will be around the upper North Island this weekend and depending on how strong the high is further south will make a difference as to how much rain or showers spreads down the dry island.
After this a cyclone is likely in the Coral Sea and may then drift towards the NZ area.
on 10/03/2020 11:31am
Apologies, Watched the video again. Still interested in your insights.
on 10/03/2020 11:29am
I know it’s too early to tell but based on BOM, Auckland may get a potential hit around 23rd. I know it’s too early to tell but I’m interested to heat your ideas about that one.
Im not a doomsday person but it’s tracking on their forecasts as being 956hPa just before the top of NZ. And we have warmer seas and possibly a high from Tasmania pushing it back up.
Of course I know it’s projections far more than we can even try and predict.
Your thoughts however?
on 10/03/2020 2:50am
Have a lot of faith in your predictions, modelling, forecasting etc. Just a question, what criteria do the folk at BOM use to post a heads up of Tropical Cyclone formation in their area of responsibility. At present they don’t appear to have posted anything.
on 10/03/2020 7:28pm
Hi Paul, thanks for the message. BoM, Fiji Met, MetService etc, all only focus on about 3 days out. Sometimes 5. WeatherWatch goes out to 15 days in some rare instances. You’ll find the latest Aussie info here: http://www.bom.gov.au/qld/forecasts/cyclone.shtml They have today shifted the risk to “high” matching what we forecast yesterday.