Weather Video: Cyclone Oma to affect New Caledonia, 50/50 call for New Zealand this weekend

We have the very latest on Cyclone Oma and its path this week brushing north western New Caledonia with potentially damaging winds and 200+mm of rain, then it may slide into the Northern Tasman Sea where it poses a 50/50 threat to New Zealand.
Computer modelling is not yet in agreement about the tracking of Oma this weekend.

Regardless of Oma, we have a cold southerly on Friday/this weekend for many (+2 Maps)

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A cold southerly change is arriving on Friday and the weekend - but how far north it goes really comes down to how much of an impact Cyclone Oma's remnants may (or may not) have on New Zealand.

Tropical Cyclone Oma's future path not yet locked in

UPDATED 7:41pm --- Tropical Cyclone Oma was upgraded to a Severe Category 3 storm on Saturday evening but has weakened a little back to a Category 2 cyclone as of Sunday PM.

Oma is likely to hover around the Category 2/3 mark for the next few days.

Cyclone Oma expected to strengthen in the days ahead, we track the next 7 days (+3 Maps)

Be prepared for some changeable forecasts over the next 10 days if you live in the North Island of New Zealand as Cyclone Oma continues to churn away well to our north. The very slow moving Category 2 Tropical Cyclone remains west of Vanuatu and will spend the next few days tracking towards north west New Caledonia and then the open waters of the Coral Sea.

Weather Video: Cyclone Oma may become a severe cyclone, we track it for a week

Forecasts are going to be changeable for one week from now across the North Island due to a tropical cyclone that may well be still a long way off from NZ but might still influence our weather.

Latest tracking is good news for Vanuatu and New Caledonia with the storm tracking further west hopefully in the days ahead, pushing it further out to sea.

Where's the Rain? We track forecast rainfall totals across NZ over the next 7 days (+4 Maps)

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If you need rain here's the latest on how much is coming and where it will likely (or not likely) be falling. With so much tropical unrest on our back door stop there are some large totals offshore, but over land high pressure is continuing to dominate this month and is holding a lot of rainmakers away from the North Island and upper/eastern South Island.

Uncertainty about Cyclone Oma's track next week means New Zealanders should monitor

Slow moving Cyclone Oma has strengthened further and is now a Category 2 Tropical Cyclone just west of Vanuatu. The storm will inch slowly towards New Caledonia over the next couple of days and then stall there for much of next week.

Weather Video: The latest on Cyclone Oma and will NZ get any rain next week?

Cyclone Oma continues to lie over Vanuatu and will very slowly drift towards New Caledonia. It may then linger in this area for an entire week.

As for New Zealand we may still be impacted by this but the risk is low, around 30% as of today. We’ll keep you posted.

Thursday's a scorcher for some, while others see a double digit temperature drop

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We have a surge of hotter weather on Thursday ahead of a cooler change sweeping in later for some further south. Daytime highs in some parts of the lower South Island will drop 8 to 12 degrees on Thursday from where you are today.

Cyclone Oma forms, could become bigger storm and linger over 10 days north of NZ (+4 Maps)

The second Tropical Cyclone in days north of New Zealand has formed and been named Oma by the Fiji Met Service. Current forecasts show it slowly tracking over Vanuatu and New Caledonia as a Category 2 storm over the coming days.