NZ


Cyclone Oma is NOT coming to NZ, meanwhile new tropical energy forms next week (+3 Maps)

Cyclone Oma is not coming to New Zealand, despite some news headlines still saying otherwise. Latest data suggests Oma is now trapped in the Coral Sea well away from New Zealand and will likely remain there for a week.


Don't listen to all the hype, not everyone has a stormy weekend - Here's where the wind, rain & cold will be:

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Not everyone this weekend in New Zealand has a storm coming, despite some dramatic headlines and forecasts elsewhere. While we are in for a rough patch of weather in the days ahead most regions will be storm free and severe weather free.


Just how much rain is coming to New Zealand next few days? (x2 Rain Accumulation Maps)

A cold front and a large area of low pressure will affect the country this weekend, especially on Sunday/Monday as this new low deepens east of New Zealand, dredging up a cold southerly for some too.


Weather Video: Wind, rain and cold coming for parts of NZ, Cyclone Oma remains at sea

We have humid northerlies around northern New Zealand right now but that is about to change as a southerly moves in on Friday and over the weekend.

Saturday may not be as wet as forecasts earlier indicated, we track the rain bands and showers.


Confused about Cyclone Oma, or the severe weather forecast for NZ this weekend? 10 FAQ's answered...

Cyclone Oma is again a Severe Category 3 tropical storm in the Coral Sea but there is now finally increasing confidence Oma will not directly hit New Zealand and will weaken in the days ahead. It's been a long time coming but finally forecast computer models are aligning to suggest Cyclone Oma won't directly hit New Zealand but instead may offer some help at creating an even larger low in


Weather Video: Severe Cyclone Oma less likely to hit NZ, severe weather still possible

Cyclone Oma made it back to “severe” Category 3 status overnight and this morning as it moves further away from New Caledonia and out into the open waters of the Coral Sea.


Wintry temperatures this weekend for some parts of NZ (+2 Temperature Maps)

As WeatherWatch.co.nz forecast yesterday a colder change arrives this Friday and may be enhanced further over the weekend depending on what specifically unfolds in the New Zealand area. Either way, the data supports temperatures dropping significantly this weekend, some may have daytime highs down 20 degrees on where they were in recent weeks.


Uncertainty continues about Cyclone Oma's track to NZ, uncertainty around rainfall totals too (+12 Maps)

Areas of rain are coming to New Zealand but the jury remains out on whether or not Cyclone Oma will directly impact the country this weekend and early next week. As hundreds of computer models continue to try and crunch the data the globe's two most trusted sources for cyclones, GFS and ECMWF are still totally disagreeing about Oma's future track beyond the northern Tasman Sea this Friday.


Weather Video: The latest on Cyclone Oma and possible tracking in to the New Zealand area

Large amounts of uncertainty remain over the weekend tracking of Cyclone Oma but for Tuesday and Wednesday the tropical cyclone will be tracking past the north western tip of New Caledonia bringing over 200mm of rain in the coming days and possibly damaging winds for a portion of the island.
 
Over the next few days Oma tracks south towards the Tasman Sea area while o

Cyclone Oma's future track remains uncertain, 50/50 chance NZ has severe weather (+19 Maps)

Cyclone Oma is stumping some computer models with two of the most trusted cyclone forecast models taking oposing views about the future track of the storm. It places New Zealand in a frustrating 50/50 position with one model (GFS) showing a direct hit while ECMWF shows Oma doing a 180 turn and backtracking north again.