Christmas Day crystal ball - It's looking colder for some (+2 Maps)

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Updated Wednesday AM --- The latest for Christmas Day shows some parts of NZ will likely be colder than normal with showers still possible but high pressure also growing.

Christmas Day appears to be a colder one along the eastern side of New Zealand where showers still look likely to form.

VIDEO: Spring weather pattern with NZ right up until Christmas

We have three surges of colder weather coming for NZ. The first is today, the second is Friday and the third is next Monday.

We take a look at the forecast right up until Christmas Eve as we track airflows, rainclouds and temperatures.

Sub-tropical deluge drifting slowly down the upper North Island has put out an alert for slow moving intense bands of rain this afternoon which are sub-tropical fuelled. Downpours heavy enough to cause localised flooding on roads, in basements and overwhelm gutters are a possibility across Northland, Auckland, Waikato and Coromandel Peninsula this afternoon and into early evening in some areas.

VIDEO: Spring-like weather pattern for NZ for a week

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We have an unsettled weather pattern leading up to Christmas with a low today crossing the country bringing rain and some heavy falls.

We have colder changes moving through over the next week which will stop the Aussie heatwave from reaching us.

Colder than normal weather spreading across New Zealand (+4 Maps)

Australia has a heatwave while New Zealand is slipping back to spring with below average temperatures moving in.

If you live in the lower eastern South Island today you can be forgiven if you're frustrated the weather isn't very summer-like, and may not be right up until about Christmas.

Dry northern NZ has better chances of rain today, Canterbury too

Every rain cloud and rain event is as unique as a finger print which is why forecasters need to closely examine each set up and what that means for you. It's why forecasting rain isn't always as easy as some might think.

NZ to miss out on Australia heatwave with temps forecast to hit 50C there

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The heatwave spreading across Australia this week is only just starting but New Zealand looks likely to miss out on the extra heat due to cooler airflows coming out of the Southern Ocean.

VIDEO: Rain clouds gather over NZ, Aussie deals with extreme heat

A low on Tuesday will bring much needed rain to both islands of New Zealand as high pressure over Australia expands bringing a heatwave.
We break down which regions in NZ are most exposed to the warm and wet airflows to kick off this week - then who is more exposed to the cooler changes.
This week in NZ will feel more spring-like with wind

Rain is coming this week - we have latest total estimates (+4 Maps)

Rain is coming over the next two days bringing some relief - but it won't be the silver bullet that ends the big dry. The rain will, however, be a very welcome early Christmas present for those who very much need rain following on from a  dry and warm November - and a fairly dry 2019 overall.

Christmas Day crystal ball - How's Dec 25th looking weatherwise? (+2 maps)