Weather Forecast for Gisborne


East Cape Summary

Overcast

Forecast analysed and prepared by Weather Underground

Now

22.9°c

Observed at 4:40pm from:
Gisborne West, Gisborne (IGISBORN7)

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Rain (today)0mm
WindNW 9.7km/h
Humidity51%
Pressure1017hPa

Current conditions by Weather Underground

Today

26°c
Overcast
Rain (chance)0%
WindNNW 26km/h
Sunrise6:03am
Sunset8:32pm

Computer generated forecast by Weather Underground

Tonight

18°c
Cloudy with occasional showers overnight
Rain (chance)60%
WindNNW 26km/h
Moon PhaseNew Moon
Moon Illuminated1%

Computer generated forecast by Weather Underground

Next 24 Hours

5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
0%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
32%
chance
of rain
47%
chance
of rain
43%
chance
of rain
40%
chance
of rain
42%
chance
of rain
41%
chance
of rain
40%
chance
of rain
17%
chance
of rain
14%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
NNW
13km/hr
NW
19km/hr
NW
18km/hr
NNW
21km/hr
N
14km/hr
N
14km/hr
N
14km/hr
N
13km/hr
N
13km/hr
N
13km/hr
N
13km/hr
N
13km/hr
NNE
6km/hr
NNE
13km/hr
N
11km/hr
N
16km/hr
N
14km/hr
NNW
19km/hr
NNW
19km/hr
NW
19km/hr
NNW
24km/hr
NNW
16km/hr
NNW
21km/hr
NW
19km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by Weather Underground

Next 9 Days

NEW - Click on each day to see hourly forecasts

Fri 19 Jan
28°c
18°c
Rain showers early with mostly cloudy conditions later in the day
NNW
21km/hr
50%
chance
of rain
Weather Underground
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
6%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
32%
chance
of rain
47%
chance
of rain
43%
chance
of rain
40%
chance
of rain
42%
chance
of rain
41%
chance
of rain
40%
chance
of rain
17%
chance
of rain
14%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
1%
chance
of rain
1%
chance
of rain
2%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
N
13km/hr
N
13km/hr
N
13km/hr
N
13km/hr
N
13km/hr
NNE
6km/hr
NNE
13km/hr
N
11km/hr
N
16km/hr
N
14km/hr
NNW
19km/hr
NNW
19km/hr
NW
19km/hr
NNW
24km/hr
NNW
16km/hr
NNW
21km/hr
NW
19km/hr
NW
21km/hr
NW
21km/hr
NW
19km/hr
NW
19km/hr
NNW
16km/hr
NNW
21km/hr
NNW
19km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by Weather Underground

Sat 20 Jan
29°c
19°c
Partly cloudy skies
N
19km/hr
10%
chance
of rain
Weather Underground
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
1%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
1%
chance
of rain
1%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
NNW
13km/hr
NW
13km/hr
NW
13km/hr
NW
14km/hr
NW
16km/hr
NW
16km/hr
NW
13km/hr
NW
11km/hr
NW
13km/hr
NW
13km/hr
NNW
16km/hr
N
18km/hr
WNW
14km/hr
NW
16km/hr
NNE
18km/hr
NE
21km/hr
NE
21km/hr
N
19km/hr
NNW
19km/hr
NW
24km/hr
NW
23km/hr
NW
18km/hr
NW
21km/hr
NW
19km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by Weather Underground

Sun 21 Jan
28°c
18°c
Sunshine and clouds mixed
N
16km/hr
10%
chance
of rain
Weather Underground
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
2%
chance
of rain
1%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
12%
chance
of rain
13%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
NW
19km/hr
NW
18km/hr
WNW
16km/hr
NW
16km/hr
NW
14km/hr
NW
18km/hr
WNW
14km/hr
NW
13km/hr
NW
18km/hr
NW
18km/hr
NW
16km/hr
NW
8km/hr
WNW
11km/hr
NNE
11km/hr
NE
11km/hr
NE
13km/hr
NNE
14km/hr
NNE
16km/hr
N
16km/hr
N
16km/hr
N
18km/hr
NW
14km/hr
NNW
16km/hr
NW
16km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by Weather Underground

Mon 22 Jan
27°c
20°c
Partly cloudy early followed by increasing clouds with showers developing later in the day
NNW
18km/hr
40%
chance
of rain
Weather Underground
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
6%
chance
of rain
15%
chance
of rain
16%
chance
of rain
16%
chance
of rain
18%
chance
of rain
19%
chance
of rain
19%
chance
of rain
22%
chance
of rain
21%
chance
of rain
19%
chance
of rain
17%
chance
of rain
14%
chance
of rain
17%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
34%
chance
of rain
37%
chance
of rain
39%
chance
of rain
62%
chance
of rain
65%
chance
of rain
67%
chance
of rain
61%
chance
of rain
62%
chance
of rain
NW
14km/hr
NW
14km/hr
NW
14km/hr
NNW
8km/hr
WNW
6km/hr
NW
13km/hr
NW
6km/hr
NNW
11km/hr
NW
11km/hr
NNW
13km/hr
NNW
13km/hr
NNW
13km/hr
NNW
19km/hr
N
14km/hr
NNW
14km/hr
NNW
16km/hr
NNW
18km/hr
NNW
18km/hr
NNW
16km/hr
NNW
16km/hr
NNW
11km/hr
NW
10km/hr
NW
14km/hr
NW
8km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by Weather Underground

Tue 23 Jan
29°c
18°c
Rain and thunderstorms
NNW
16km/hr
80%
chance
of rain
Weather Underground
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
62%
chance
of rain
70%
chance
of rain
71%
chance
of rain
71%
chance
of rain
73%
chance
of rain
74%
chance
of rain
74%
chance
of rain
54%
chance
of rain
52%
chance
of rain
50%
chance
of rain
73%
chance
of rain
73%
chance
of rain
73%
chance
of rain
46%
chance
of rain
45%
chance
of rain
42%
chance
of rain
61%
chance
of rain
62%
chance
of rain
62%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
31%
chance
of rain
32%
chance
of rain
20%
chance
of rain
21%
chance
of rain
NNW
18km/hr
NW
19km/hr
NW
11km/hr
NNW
14km/hr
N
13km/hr
NNW
11km/hr
N
13km/hr
NW
14km/hr
NNW
11km/hr
NW
13km/hr
NW
13km/hr
NNW
11km/hr
NNW
14km/hr
NNW
16km/hr
N
16km/hr
N
13km/hr
NNW
16km/hr
NNW
11km/hr
NNW
6km/hr
SW
6km/hr
W
13km/hr
WNW
13km/hr
WNW
13km/hr
NW
13km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by Weather Underground

Wed 24 Jan
31°c
19°c
Mostly sunny skies
N
11km/hr
20%
chance
of rain
Weather Underground
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
22%
chance
of rain
18%
chance
of rain
19%
chance
of rain
19%
chance
of rain
23%
chance
of rain
23%
chance
of rain
22%
chance
of rain
18%
chance
of rain
16%
chance
of rain
13%
chance
of rain
17%
chance
of rain
16%
chance
of rain
16%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
16%
chance
of rain
18%
chance
of rain
21%
chance
of rain
17%
chance
of rain
17%
chance
of rain
NW
13km/hr
NW
14km/hr
NW
13km/hr
NW
14km/hr
NW
13km/hr
NW
11km/hr
NW
11km/hr
NW
10km/hr
NW
10km/hr
NW
11km/hr
NNW
8km/hr
NNW
11km/hr
NNW
8km/hr
NNE
11km/hr
NNE
10km/hr
ESE
10km/hr
SE
10km/hr
SE
10km/hr
SSE
10km/hr
NNW
11km/hr
NW
13km/hr
NNW
14km/hr
NW
16km/hr
WNW
16km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by Weather Underground

Thu 25 Jan
28°c
19°c
Intervals of clouds and sunshine
ENE
14km/hr
10%
chance
of rain
Weather Underground
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
16%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
10%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
10%
chance
of rain
9%
chance
of rain
9%
chance
of rain
10%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
W
16km/hr
W
10km/hr
WSW
10km/hr
NW
10km/hr
NW
11km/hr
NW
10km/hr
NW
6km/hr
NW
5km/hr
NW
5km/hr
WNW
6km/hr
NE
8km/hr
ESE
10km/hr
SE
13km/hr
ESE
14km/hr
ESE
13km/hr
ESE
13km/hr
ESE
14km/hr
NE
16km/hr
NE
16km/hr
NNE
16km/hr
ENE
18km/hr
NE
16km/hr
N
16km/hr
N
16km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by Weather Underground

Fri 26 Jan
28°c
18°c
Partly cloudy
ESE
13km/hr
20%
chance
of rain
Weather Underground
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
9%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
23%
chance
of rain
22%
chance
of rain
20%
chance
of rain
19%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
10%
chance
of rain
10%
chance
of rain
10%
chance
of rain
10%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
9%
chance
of rain
14%
chance
of rain
N
8km/hr
NW
16km/hr
NW
16km/hr
NW
16km/hr
NW
16km/hr
NW
16km/hr
NNW
10km/hr
N
5km/hr
N
5km/hr
ENE
3km/hr
SE
6km/hr
SE
10km/hr
SE
14km/hr
ESE
14km/hr
SE
13km/hr
E
14km/hr
E
14km/hr
ESE
14km/hr
ESE
13km/hr
ESE
11km/hr
ESE
11km/hr
E
10km/hr
ESE
8km/hr
ESE
8km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by Weather Underground

Sat 27 Jan
29°c
18°c
Partly cloudy early followed by mostly cloudy skies and a few showers later in the day
E
10km/hr
30%
chance
of rain
Weather Underground
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
16%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
17%
chance
of rain
15%
chance
of rain
13%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
9%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
32%
chance
of rain
33%
chance
of rain
14%
chance
of rain
15%
chance
of rain
16%
chance
of rain
17%
chance
of rain
19%
chance
of rain
E
8km/hr
ESE
8km/hr
ESE
8km/hr
ENE
8km/hr
NE
8km/hr
NNE
6km/hr
N
8km/hr
N
6km/hr
N
6km/hr
NE
6km/hr
ENE
5km/hr
ENE
6km/hr
E
10km/hr
E
11km/hr
ESE
11km/hr
E
11km/hr
ESE
11km/hr
ESE
11km/hr
ESE
8km/hr
E
6km/hr
E
6km/hr
ENE
5km/hr
E
3km/hr
SW
3km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by Weather Underground


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Comments

Hi there, we don't receive

Hi there, we don't receive any government funding so have to cover the costs of all centres ourselves - not made easy when MetService tries to block us from growing (for example, lifting the cost of the daily highs - how hot it was at your place - went from $1200 a year to 30K a year back in April!  We have 2 complaints with the Commerce Commission about this under anti-competitive behaviour.  The Commission has been investigating since April).  

We hope to include Masterton and Blenheim in 2013 and we also have plans to roll out our detailed forecasts for Wellington and Dunedin in the coming couple of months.

Cheers

WW

Abuse of monopoly

Make a complaint to the Regulations Review Select Committee...

Here's one relating to Medsafe's attempted rort...

http://www.parliament.nz/NR/rdonlyres/3D43BE54-D2AF-4169-AA51-843B5FFD8C...

metservice pessimists

Can't believe how often over the past few years I've looked at the metservice long range forecast for days 6 to 10 and seen rain on all 5 days.
They obviously take this as there stock position.
If they're right then no one can blame them.
If they're wrong we're just happy because it's sunny and so we don't blame them for getting it wrong (apart from the poor farmers)
Glad to see you guys call it as you see it.

Merry Christmas to you all at Weather Watch!

I've been following your forecasting with Evan right from the beginning as I have family camping in the North. You have been very accurate, and the family has been well informed.Thank you!

I hope you all have a blessed Christmas and a great year ahead.

You guys are awesome!

I love how your accuracy has forced MetService to drop their rain warnings! Based on MS forecasting, we received Civil Defence alerts of a severe rain warning in our area from 6pm last night ... at midnight last night we hadn't had a single drop of rain for days ... and we only had a few brief showers overnight. No rain yet today! Thanks for getting it right yet again, WW. Merry Christmas!

Evan Remnants

What to expect in South Auckland today and tomorrow please. Currently very calm, overcast and very little wind in Manukau City.

The same forecast as above -

The same forecast as above - the risk is fairly high for showers or drizzle, but dry spells expected too.

Cheers

WW

Where's the rain?

Rain forecast for Friday... no rain
Rain forecast for Saturday... no rain
Rain forecast for Sunday... no rain
Rain forecast overnight... no rain
Rain forecast for Monday... no rain so far...

Please forecast rain for Xmas day... :-)

Let's be clear,

Let's be clear, WeatherWatch.co.nz hasn't been predicting rain like that - we did predict today would have the highest chance for rain, but Boxing Day may now be more likely once the remnants of Evan move back over the country.  We're hoping dry regions should get another shot at rain - but our forecast hasn't changed in a number of days, we aren't predicting widespread rain, we are predicing a few areas of heavy rain (Far North and East Cape) with only showers, drizzle patches and dry spells in between - which includes Auckland.  Fingers crossed for you!  Evan is very hit and miss but we've stuck to our guns and gone against the govt forecaster for the past two days so far.

- Cheers
WW

You guys rock!

Just wanted to say Merry Christmas. You guys are the best weather guys. I can't believe more people don't know about you! I've been checking everyday in the hope that tomorrow's 50% chance of rain has dropped 0% ( wishful thinking!!!).
Have a great christmas!

cyclone

will there be a cyclone in auckland?

Not in the way a cyclone is commonly thought of

The former Tropical Cyclone Evan will affect Auckland today with rain and some rather breezy conditions.  There could also be a bit of heavy rain.

Many times people associate the word "cyclone" with storm and that is not the case here.  Flooding rains and damaging winds are not expected.

Cheers

WW 

accurate forecasts

excellent forecasting guys.
hope you guys have a great and safe christmas and keep up the good work.

Thank you very much

A happy and safe Christmas to you and yours as well! 

Waitoki/ kaukapakapa

Can we expect any rain? Our tanks are near dry!

The heavy showers/areas of

The heavy showers/areas of rain are very hit and miss - we are mostly predicting showers across Auckland for the next couple of days.  Sorry we can't be more concrete but the rain clouds are physically broken up with this low, it's not one big wall of rain coming in sadly (for those that need the water - those camping don't mind!).  Hopefully you'll get something over the next few days which helps out your tanks, but don't bank entirely on that happening, that's how fragmented the rain bands are.

- WW

When will this humidity be

When will this humidity be gone? Had enough of it can't hardly sleep and its hot and sticky

Hi there - should ease on

Hi there - should ease on Thursday as a westerly change moves through. Next couple of days will get worse sorry!

- Phil

Today's Weather

Weather Watch - 1
Metservice - 0

Most accurate. Keep up the work.
Merry Christmas!

Weather Watch All year Long.

To Phillip & The A Team
Thank you so very much for the most informative Weather service in or around the Auckland Area. The only one we trust to supply us with WHAT WILL ACTUALLY HAPPEN. Not a presuption as to what could happen. Like a life jacket, VHF, GPS and a Flare Pack, dont go boating with out first checking.
Many thanks for our safeness,
Merry Christmas Hapy NEw Year and Festive season.
Bon Appetit
Derek the Chef.
www.derekthechef.co.nz

Hi Derek, Thanks heaps for

Hi Derek,

Thanks heaps for taking the time to send us that nice comment - very much appreciated.  We hope you have a safe and fantastic Christmas period, enjoy the Christmas lunch tomorrow - I'm assuming you're doing the cooking? Anything special in mind?

Have a great one and, as always, thanks for your support!

Merry Christmas to you
Phil

p.s.  www.weathermap.co.nz also has great marine info

Piha on Christmas Day

Piha on Christmas Day? Same forecast as for Auckkand

I'd say so. Piha is not far

I'd say so. Piha is not far from Auckland. It is more out west though, so perhaps the chance of a brief sunny spell or two in the afternoon otherwise the weather will more then likely be similar.

Cheers
Aaron

Todays Weather - Sunday 23rd December

We were wondering whether to head out fishing today in Auckland harbour.

Below is the Met Service recreational boating forecast for today (Sunday 23rd December).

For Waitemata Harbour
Sunday : Southeast 15 knots rising to 20 knots gusting 30 knots this morning, and to 25 knots gusting 35 knots this afternoon. Slight sea becoming moderate this morning, and rough this afternoon. Poor visibility in rain developing this morning.

Your forecast says wind this afternoon 20kph (11 knots) which is pretty light compared with 25knots gusting 35 knots advised by the Met Service.

This seems pretty typical and rather frustrating but I suppose we have to err on the side of caution.

It would be good if there was some consistency / similarity in the forecasts - why so different.

DC

I still find this so weird,

I still find this so weird, that so many people want us and M/S to have the same forecast!  But totally understand your frustration DC.  The simple answer is, we use different sources - but WeatherWatch.co.nz makes a bigger effort to describe the type of weather we are having.  So we don't just say "Rain" for an entire day unless we believe it will rain for an entire day (which is rare for Auckland).  Today is a great example, other forecasters make it sound like we're in for a very wet afternoon.  We feel that today will be mostly dry - and while the risks for rain do increase this afternoon, we've chosen to not say rain and to say risk of showers developing.  That's usually our biggest difference.  I also think , quite simple, we are more accurate for Auckland in the long run.  We wouldn't have the continued support of Auckland Civil Defence and the media if we didn't have something special about what we were doing.

As for marine - please go to weathermap.co.nz (they provide us with our great maps).  We don't yet have the resources for marine (we don't get government funding for it like MetService does) but Weathermap is brilliant from what we've heard (I personally don't check marine forecasts as I don't have a boat).  Generally speaking winds will build today and swells will also rise.  We think it will be cloudy with showers, turning to rain out at sea especially north of Auckland later today. But like I say, check with Weathermap

Personally I hope we continue to have different forecasts from MS - as I believe we are more accurate, so the more who notice the difference the better it is for us and eventually the more services we can provide!

Have a great, safe, Christmas

Cheers
Philip Duncan

Historical analysis

It would be very interesting to see some analysis on how much more accruate the WW forecasts are compared with Metservice. Is this data being compiled?

did you get it wrong?

the weather looks beautiful today in Pukekohe.

Our forecast is totally

Our forecast is totally accurate so far!  High clouds thickening, winds building, risk of a late shower.

- WW

strong wind?

we are in east auckland and were hoping to be able to put the gazebo have xmas lunch outside. any idea on how bad the wind is going to be? gazebo or no gazebo? cheers

I would be going with no

I would be going with no gazebo personally. Winds will be a bit brisk from the north or northeast.

20 to 25 knot winds which is 37 to 46 kph, gusting 55 kph at times. Of course winds will not be gusty all the time and it may drop out now and then, that's the nature of weather though. No doubt it would spring up fairly quickly again though.

Cheers
Aaron
 

Winds are SE today.

Winds are SE today.

Correct. Person above was

Correct.

Person above was asking about xmas day.

Cheers
Aaron

flying from auckland to aussie on monday (christmas eve)

My parents have a flight booked to Australia on christmas eve, from the auckland airport. My daughter will be flying over with them. What is your opinion on international flights from auckland with cyclone evan looming? I understand that Airports have the final say on flights whatever the conditions, but I would rather know what advice they have gotten or are likely to get from an actual weather forecaster. hope that makes sense?

oh and merry christmas! :) I love that your page is interactive, I've been looking up weather forecasts all night, and I find your page to be the most accurate and user friendly I've come across so far. thanks for that :)

They don't get that

They don't get that information from us. They would be getting it from Metservice's aviation forecasting division.

Either way even though it will be a bit windy with gusty easterlies things should be operating as normal I would imagine. Just a windy day. And this system is no longer a tropical cyclone, just a tropical low.

Thanks for the comments and merry xmas to yourself also! :D

Cheers
WW

Its an extra tropical low now

Its an extra tropical low now,also a cutoff low.

Rain

If the rain radars are right there is a decent amount coming for auckland and northland

Perhaps for eastern areas

Perhaps for eastern areas like the Coromandel and eastern Northland, Auckland may remain largely dry with perhaps a few scattered areas of rain later today. The low still isn't close enough yet really. Monday should see some good rain in Northland with Auckland getting some too but not as bad.

Cheers
Aaron

Daylight

What time does it become light before sunrise?

I'm not sure exactly, sort've

I'm not sure exactly, sort've like twilight I guess your reffering to?

Here's some reading for you! http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Twilight

Seems it could vary depending where you are in the world, I'm not sure how long it would be for Auckland or here in Chch for that matter, I'm never up early enough to find out :D

Cheers
Aaron

 

Just Wondering

Hi there :)
I was just wondering, why isn't Evan a tropical cyclone still? Isn't it generally as a cyclone moves over warmer waters, it gains energy and becomes stronger? Is the water between New Zealand and Fiji not warm enough?

Anyway Merry Christmas. I find your weather forecasts very accurate.

Correct. The water between

Correct. The water between Fiji and NZ is still too cool at this time of year to support it as a TC all the way from Fiji to the tip of NZ so it loses strength and is now a tropical low.

Merry xmas to yourself also and thankyou very much!

Cheers
WW

Auckland

Wow weatherwatch changes the forecasts so often at the moment.why is this?find it hard to plan

Hi there.  As we've been

Hi there.  As we've been saying in every single news update and interview for the past 2 weeks almost, any tropical storm adds massive amounts of uncertainty to a forecast - especially an ex-cyclone that is fizzling out right over the top of us.  The computer models are flip flopping wildly and it's our job to try and find the middle ground or most likely ground - and we have all been working extra hours (and a lot of extra stress!) just trying to keep on top of the massive uncertainty around this low.

I don't believe our forecasts have changed a great deal - the icons may have but the forecasts have been fairly consistent for a few days now that Monday had the highest rain risks and that Tuesday will be very humid with only moderate rain/shower risks.  The following days have barely changed.   You need to appreciate the huge difficulty of predicting tropical storms, if you think our forecasts have changed you should take a look at the numerous other weather websites for NZ - they have gone from sun to rain back to sun back to rain every 6 to 12 hours!  Others are predicting rain almost nonstop all next week.

Add to that the recent data updates in the past half hour now show almost no rain for Auckland on Tuesday and only moderate risks on Monday. 

Understand the frustration, but it's the reality of having an ex-tropical cyclone in the picture and forecasters even at the Weather Channel in the US have the exact same problems with tropical storms - and that's with billions of dollars of research!

- PD

A tough job!!!!

What can one say..... Ya job ain't easy. I have been watching very close all the forecasts that the different agencies put on the table and I think weather watch is the closest to the mark.

In my humble opinion my thoughts for Xmas day are ( and I'm hosting 20 family members on the 25th- indoors will be cosy, outdoors is what I'm hoping for).

- Fine weather in the Auckland region, or the Mayans got it wrong by 4 days.....

Seriously, humid, overcast, but fortunately not bucking down with rain, so I can entertain outdoors on Xmas day.

merry Xmas to all, and to you guys at weather watch. ( you need some kind of App for 2013)......

I like Christmas day... 50%

I like Christmas day... 50% chance of a chance!!

I know it's really early but how is the week after next shaping up for the Upper North Island - off caravanning in Mangawhai and hoping for better weather than last year!!

An annoying typo that popped

An annoying typo that popped up yesterday too - gone now, for GOOD!  Sorry about that :)

As for next week, still a bit of uncertainty - your best bet is to keep an eye on our rain maps (top of the site) as they go out 2 weeks and give you a much better understanding of the rain risks (ie, you can see if any predicted rain is related to a big storm or just a low shower risk).  Think there will be some great camping weather this summer but a few wet days in the mix over the next 2 weeks ahead.

Cheers

PD

Rain for the next week?

Hi there

Is it as dire as it looks with the rest of the year forecasted for rain, rain and more rain?

Thanks :-)

Cloudy spells with the risk

Cloudy spells with the risk of a shower (around 20 to 40% most days).  Not solid rain every day though.  Quite often in summer showers  are much drier than in winter - in other words, when showers are predicted on a day in summer it's quite often shorter lived than in winter which tends to see a lot more of the wet stuff

- WW

Confused

Hi there!
I'm a little confused because TVNZ and Metservice are saying there are severe weather warnings for Auckland because of Evan. But on here, you guys have now said that Auckland may not be hit at all.
Help?

Merry Christmas however :)

There are no warnings for Auckland

MetService has a watch in effect for Auckland, Northland and a few other areas about the north and east of the NI.

This can often trip up people up, but there is a big difference between the two terms.  A "watch" means that conditions are favourable for the development of severe weather.  A "warning" means it is actually happening or is immnent.

However, MetService appears to be forecasting a greater likelihood of severe weather for Auckland than we are.  It's simply a difference in forecasters, models, etc.  They see it unfolding a bit different than we do.

We believe that the majority of the heavy rain and severe gales will stay north of Auckland, if they hit New Zealand at all.

Cheers
Howard