Weather Forecast for Auckland


Auckland Summary

Mostly cloudy with the odd remaining shower, dry spells start to become longer during the day. Nor'East winds.

Forecast analysed and prepared by WeatherWatch.co.nz

Now

19.7°c

Observed at 2:54am from:
Newmarket Primary School, Auckland (IAUCKLAN623)

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Rain (today)6mm
WindNNE 4.3km/h
Humidity86%
Pressure1013hPa

Current conditions by Weather Underground

Today

24°c
Mostly cloudy with the odd remaining shower, dry spells start to become longer during the day. Nor'East winds.
Rain (chance)50%
WindNE 25km/h
Sunrise6:21am
Sunset8:40pm

Forecast analysed and prepared by WeatherWatch.co.nz

Tonight

20°c
The odd shower, Nor'East winds.
Rain (chance)40%
WindNE 20km/h
Moon PhaseNew Moon
Moon Illuminated2%

Forecast analysed and prepared by WeatherWatch.co.nz

Next 24 Hours

3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
68%
chance
of rain
62%
chance
of rain
56%
chance
of rain
54%
chance
of rain
46%
chance
of rain
46%
chance
of rain
39%
chance
of rain
40%
chance
of rain
34%
chance
of rain
36%
chance
of rain
15%
chance
of rain
14%
chance
of rain
13%
chance
of rain
15%
chance
of rain
15%
chance
of rain
16%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
14%
chance
of rain
14%
chance
of rain
14%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
13%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
NNE
19km/hr
NNE
19km/hr
NNE
21km/hr
NNE
26km/hr
NNE
24km/hr
NNE
24km/hr
NNE
24km/hr
NNE
24km/hr
NNE
26km/hr
NNE
29km/hr
NNE
29km/hr
NNE
29km/hr
NNE
29km/hr
NNE
27km/hr
NNE
27km/hr
NNE
26km/hr
NNE
24km/hr
NNE
23km/hr
NE
21km/hr
NE
21km/hr
NE
19km/hr
NE
18km/hr
NNE
18km/hr
NNE
18km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by Weather Underground

Next 9 Days

NEW - Click on each day to see hourly forecasts

Sat 20 Jan
26°c
20°c
A mix of sun and cloud, chance of an evening shower. Nor'East winds.
NE
20km/hr
30%
chance
of rain
WeatherWatch.co.nz
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
8%
chance
of rain
13%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
14%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
NE
18km/hr
NNE
18km/hr
NNE
18km/hr
NNE
16km/hr
NNE
16km/hr
NNE
16km/hr
NNE
14km/hr
NE
14km/hr
NNE
16km/hr
NNE
19km/hr
NNE
19km/hr
NE
21km/hr
NE
21km/hr
NE
21km/hr
NE
21km/hr
NNE
21km/hr
NNE
21km/hr
NNE
23km/hr
NNE
21km/hr
NNE
21km/hr
NNE
21km/hr
NNE
19km/hr
NNE
19km/hr
NNE
18km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by Weather Underground

Sun 21 Jan
27°c
21°c
Sunny areas and increasing cloud, chance of a shower. Nor'East winds.
NE
20km/hr
35%
chance
of rain
WeatherWatch.co.nz
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
8%
chance
of rain
16%
chance
of rain
16%
chance
of rain
17%
chance
of rain
36%
chance
of rain
42%
chance
of rain
50%
chance
of rain
54%
chance
of rain
50%
chance
of rain
37%
chance
of rain
35%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
34%
chance
of rain
34%
chance
of rain
35%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
35%
chance
of rain
36%
chance
of rain
23%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
NNE
16km/hr
NNE
16km/hr
N
14km/hr
N
13km/hr
N
11km/hr
NNE
11km/hr
N
11km/hr
NNE
11km/hr
NE
11km/hr
NNE
14km/hr
NE
16km/hr
NNE
18km/hr
NE
19km/hr
NNE
21km/hr
NNE
21km/hr
NNE
21km/hr
NNE
21km/hr
NNE
21km/hr
NNE
21km/hr
NNE
21km/hr
NNE
19km/hr
NNE
19km/hr
NNE
19km/hr
NNE
18km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by Weather Underground

Mon 22 Jan
25°c
20°c
Showers, some sun may break through later in the day. Nor'East winds.
NE
15km/hr
70%
chance
of rain
WeatherWatch.co.nz
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
30%
chance
of rain
35%
chance
of rain
35%
chance
of rain
39%
chance
of rain
59%
chance
of rain
54%
chance
of rain
47%
chance
of rain
38%
chance
of rain
37%
chance
of rain
35%
chance
of rain
33%
chance
of rain
34%
chance
of rain
38%
chance
of rain
34%
chance
of rain
37%
chance
of rain
42%
chance
of rain
43%
chance
of rain
58%
chance
of rain
67%
chance
of rain
54%
chance
of rain
43%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
NNE
16km/hr
NNE
14km/hr
NNE
14km/hr
NNE
13km/hr
NNE
13km/hr
NNE
13km/hr
NNE
11km/hr
NE
11km/hr
NE
13km/hr
NE
14km/hr
NE
14km/hr
NE
16km/hr
NE
16km/hr
NE
16km/hr
NE
18km/hr
NNE
16km/hr
NNE
16km/hr
NNE
18km/hr
NNE
18km/hr
N
18km/hr
N
16km/hr
N
14km/hr
N
13km/hr
N
11km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by Weather Underground

Tue 23 Jan
27°c
20°c
Sunny spells and a few showers, light winds tend Sou'West.
SW
15km/hr
60%
chance
of rain
WeatherWatch.co.nz
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
24%
chance
of rain
60%
chance
of rain
58%
chance
of rain
53%
chance
of rain
39%
chance
of rain
39%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
46%
chance
of rain
59%
chance
of rain
65%
chance
of rain
56%
chance
of rain
60%
chance
of rain
62%
chance
of rain
54%
chance
of rain
47%
chance
of rain
23%
chance
of rain
31%
chance
of rain
44%
chance
of rain
51%
chance
of rain
42%
chance
of rain
38%
chance
of rain
33%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
35%
chance
of rain
N
10km/hr
N
10km/hr
NNW
10km/hr
NNW
10km/hr
NNW
8km/hr
NNW
8km/hr
NNW
8km/hr
NW
6km/hr
NW
8km/hr
NNW
10km/hr
NNW
10km/hr
NW
11km/hr
NNW
11km/hr
NNW
13km/hr
N
13km/hr
N
16km/hr
N
18km/hr
N
18km/hr
NNW
18km/hr
NW
18km/hr
NW
16km/hr
NNW
18km/hr
NNE
16km/hr
N
14km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by Weather Underground

Wed 24 Jan
27°c
19°c
Partly cloudy in the morning
WSW
16km/hr
40%
chance
of rain
Weather Underground
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
43%
chance
of rain
36%
chance
of rain
31%
chance
of rain
13%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
10%
chance
of rain
9%
chance
of rain
14%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
33%
chance
of rain
30%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
22%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
12%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
N
13km/hr
NNE
14km/hr
NNW
13km/hr
WNW
10km/hr
SW
8km/hr
SW
6km/hr
SSW
5km/hr
SSW
6km/hr
SSW
6km/hr
SSW
10km/hr
SSW
10km/hr
SSW
10km/hr
SSW
11km/hr
SSW
11km/hr
SSW
13km/hr
SW
14km/hr
SW
18km/hr
SW
19km/hr
SW
19km/hr
SW
21km/hr
SSW
19km/hr
SSW
18km/hr
SSW
16km/hr
SSW
16km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by Weather Underground

Thu 25 Jan
27°c
19°c
Sunshine and clouds mixed
SSW
18km/hr
10%
chance
of rain
Weather Underground
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
9%
chance
of rain
9%
chance
of rain
9%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
10%
chance
of rain
10%
chance
of rain
9%
chance
of rain
9%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
SSW
13km/hr
SSW
13km/hr
SSW
13km/hr
SSW
11km/hr
SSW
11km/hr
SSW
10km/hr
S
10km/hr
S
10km/hr
S
10km/hr
S
11km/hr
S
11km/hr
S
13km/hr
SSW
13km/hr
SSW
13km/hr
SSW
14km/hr
SSW
16km/hr
SSW
16km/hr
SSW
18km/hr
SSW
18km/hr
SSW
18km/hr
SSW
18km/hr
SSW
16km/hr
SSW
14km/hr
SSW
13km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by Weather Underground

Fri 26 Jan
27°c
19°c
Intervals of clouds and sunshine
SSW
14km/hr
10%
chance
of rain
Weather Underground
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
7%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
2%
chance
of rain
2%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
SSW
10km/hr
SSW
10km/hr
SSW
10km/hr
SSW
10km/hr
S
10km/hr
S
11km/hr
S
10km/hr
S
11km/hr
S
11km/hr
S
14km/hr
SSE
16km/hr
S
16km/hr
S
16km/hr
S
16km/hr
SSW
16km/hr
SSW
16km/hr
SSW
16km/hr
SW
16km/hr
WNW
16km/hr
W
14km/hr
SSE
14km/hr
ESE
13km/hr
E
13km/hr
E
13km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by Weather Underground

Sat 27 Jan
26°c
19°c
Partly cloudy
E
14km/hr
10%
chance
of rain
Weather Underground
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
7%
chance
of rain
15%
chance
of rain
15%
chance
of rain
15%
chance
of rain
15%
chance
of rain
15%
chance
of rain
14%
chance
of rain
17%
chance
of rain
16%
chance
of rain
16%
chance
of rain
15%
chance
of rain
14%
chance
of rain
14%
chance
of rain
18%
chance
of rain
18%
chance
of rain
17%
chance
of rain
17%
chance
of rain
18%
chance
of rain
18%
chance
of rain
12%
chance
of rain
12%
chance
of rain
13%
chance
of rain
13%
chance
of rain
13%
chance
of rain
E
14km/hr
E
14km/hr
E
14km/hr
ENE
13km/hr
E
13km/hr
E
11km/hr
E
10km/hr
E
10km/hr
E
10km/hr
E
13km/hr
E
14km/hr
E
14km/hr
E
14km/hr
E
14km/hr
E
16km/hr
ENE
16km/hr
ENE
14km/hr
ENE
14km/hr
ENE
13km/hr
ENE
14km/hr
E
13km/hr
E
11km/hr
E
11km/hr
E
11km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by Weather Underground

Sun 28 Jan
26°c
18°c
A few clouds early, otherwise mostly sunny
E
19km/hr
20%
chance
of rain
Weather Underground
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
13%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
E
11km/hr
E
11km/hr
E
10km/hr
E
10km/hr
E
10km/hr
E
10km/hr
E
10km/hr
E
10km/hr
E
10km/hr
E
13km/hr
E
13km/hr
E
14km/hr
E
14km/hr
E
14km/hr
E
18km/hr
ENE
18km/hr
ENE
18km/hr
ENE
19km/hr
NE
19km/hr
ENE
19km/hr
ENE
18km/hr
ENE
18km/hr
ENE
18km/hr
ENE
18km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by Weather Underground


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Comments

Hi there Difficuilt. For the

Hi there

Difficuilt. For the most part it's looking a bit wet unfortunately, patchy showers etc. But Auckland is right on the edge of a narrow front which has stalled across the upper North Isand, if this front moves a little further south then conditions could end up being fairly dry, a touch more northwards and you get end up seeing more frequent showers, perhaps even a downpour in the afternoon.

So not straight forward exactly, hope your game goes well should you get the go ahead :)

Aaron 

Met Service

Wonderful..I go to check the rain radar..supposed to be heavy rain.. And the site is down.. Weather watch severely needs a rain radar..

Of course, it could have been

Of course, it could have been down for maintenance or a balloon release (depending which site).

Not sure what the reason is

Not sure what the reason is there. But if we did have access to their radars on this site and it went down for them then more then likely it would affect us too.

Only other option is to invest a fair few million dollars in a radar network but that probably won't happen any time soon.

Aaron

Gloom!

Welcome back Phil - hope you hoildayed somewhere where the sun shone, cause it ain't be shining here! Can you give us something to look forward to in the Akl region? - after a gloomy Dec 16/Jan 17, then a rubbish summer, followed by mid Feb/Mid March big rain events, constant rain from Apr until Sept, then gloom and cloud with wind, the balance of Sept & all October - i am depressed! Forecast for next two weeks no change! Would love to see the sunshine hours for 2017 - be about 100 hours i reckon. Vitamin D levels low - Seasonal Affective Disorder (SAD) peaking! Cheer us up please!!!!!!!

hot?

41* Question Mmmmmm! TYPO

41*

Auckland Friday late afternoon but reckon typo

Perhaps it was in the "Now"

Perhaps it was in the "Now" readings from a miss reporting weather station?

Hi there, where does it say

Hi there, where does it say 41 degrees?

Aaron 

Waiheke

Hi - heading to Waiheke tomorrow and will be outdoors all day, I know Waiheke often has its own little micro climate - can we expect any sunshine or should we be packing rain gear? Thanks!

Hi there Looks like the

Hi there

Looks like the chance of an early morning shower then clearing, cloud breaks to sunny spells by midday. Southwesterly winds and a high around 18 to 20 degrees :)

Have a good day! :)

WW

Humidity

Is the humidity in Leamington, Auckland, unbearable. I am going there on holiday and can't take extreme humidity. Will I be able to function outdoors??

Hi there Ummm is it

Hi there

Ummm is it unbearable? I wouldn't think so. In summer with northerly quarter airflows you can get higher humidity then in winter but it's not going to be like the tropics.

That's a question with too many possible answers depending on what you deem to be high humidity etc. Hope your trip goes well anyway!

Aaron

personal home humidity instruments

i am pleased to note your humidity reading was 61%RH around midnight 11.10.17 Ive been wondering if theirs a calibration issue with mine as Ive seen so many other weather sites in AKL stating figures such as 77% to 82% over the last few days.I take my readings inside the house and i woundnt have thought the outside reading would be much different maybe lower if anything due to wind whats your comment BILL

Hi there Readings should be

Hi there

Readings should be taken outside for a reliable reading. Readings from in a house will be different as the temperature will often be warmer then outside (in the winter) and cooler in summer perhaps, this will cause a variation in RH readings compared to readings taken outside. Unless that's what you are looking for.

As for the "Now" readings on this site they come from private weather stations mostly, there is no guarantee those readings will be spot on accurate although most should be pretty good.

I'm seeing 69% currently for Auckland on our site, 74% from a properly calibrated station. But across Auckland figures will be different as the temperature also affects the RH as mentioned above, and there will be heavier areas of moisture in some spots then in others.

Here's some info on how to set up a weather station to get accurate figures:

http://www.weatherstations.co.uk/gooddata.htm

Cheers
Aaron

predicted weather for summer 2017 for Tauranga area

Hello I would like to know if we are expecting wind, rain whichever, for this summer, thanks. El Nino or La nina ? Regards, Robyn

Hi Robyn If I knew I would

Hi Robyn

If I knew I would let you know, bit out of my field of experience I must say. Phil is currently on holiday and due back about the 26th October. Could you come back and ask again then if possible?

Many thanks
Aaron

Passenchendaele Mt Maunganui to Commerate the Battle

Need a good day Sat 14th for Commemoration at the Mt Tauranga to take my Sepcial Red Cross Trike to the Cenotaph, can you fix it?? Cheers Ron

A little far away so a bit

Hi Ron

A little far away so a bit hard to make a fix right now but suffice to say conditions are pointing towards it being more settled than unsettled due to high pressure hanging around New Zealand at the time. Lets hope that line of thought holds out in your case! Current forecast would be morning cloud breaking to mostly sunny weather, light west to northwest winds and a high in the afternoon around the early to mid 20's mark :)

Aaron

Christchurch sunday forcast

So hello, in christchurch it has been raining and its ugly haha but for sunday willl the rain stop because im attending a car show and i dont know if its gonna rain or stop but hopefully it wont rain, but will it be fine tomorrow thanks.

Hi there Looking wet tomorrow

Hi there

Looking wet tomorrow unfortunately. Rain or drizzle all day long :(

Aaron

Flung fronts

low brews in the Tasman Sea flinging out a warm front which moves onto the West Coast of the South Island overnight. I wonder if there is fence (like the bra fence) where they could put flung fronts

Who knows, will look into it.

Who knows, will look into it. :D

WW

Waitakere Weather on Saturday?

Hiya I am getting married on the 7th near Bethells Beach, what are the chances of getting a sunny Saturday afternoon? Or Is there a chance of rain? Cheers

Hi there Saturday should be

Hi there

Saturday should be fairly good, expect plenty of high cloud though which is streaming out of a front in the Tasman Sea, luckily not due to move over the North Island till overnight / dawn on Sunday.

Winds light to moderate from the northeast and afternoon high's around 19 to 20 degrees.

Have a great day! :)

Aaron

Chance of rain today

Hi there, could you please explain why the chance to rain today is 40% but in hourly forecast the chance max today (from 9am to 6pm) is only 3%. Thanks.

Hi there, the hourly

Hi there, the hourly forecasts are by Wunderground and are auto updated every hour. The WeatherWatch forecasts are prepared by us and manually updated and we add another layer over the top of the Wunderground data. We sometimes hold a higher or lower chance of rain because we are actaully watching an area of rain or showers that we can physically see, so we push the % chance of rain up or down based on that. You'll find the higher percentage this morning was due to an area of showers brushing the western side of Auckland which we thought deserved a much higher risk than 3%. However they are only very light/fine showers. Some barely enough to be detected. If the hourly data was perfect then there would be no need for forecasters at all anywhere in the world! (which one day may happen).

Cheers

WW

What does "chance of rain" mean?

I've been using you guys for a little while now, so I just want to clarify what "chance of rain" means. I can think of at least three different meanings! Here's an example - the forecast for 5pm is 24% chance of rain. 1) The probability of rain at 5pm is 24% 2) The probability that it rains at all between 5pm and 6pm is 24% 3) It will be raining about 24% of time between 5pm and 6pm (so about 14 minutes of rain in the hour). I'm guessing it's probably more complicated than any of these!

Hi there, it's basically

Hi there, it's basically working out the odds using a grid system (area covered). If it's 24% then over that hour they expect 24% of the grid to be wet. So if you're using the WeatherWatch Auckland forecast, for example, and we have 70%, then we expect 70% of the city to be affected at any given time. If you're using the Wunderground forecast it is based across the hour for the forecast area (that 'area' may be Auckland, or it may be your local suburb - depends on what forecast you have selected).

It's a useful guide to get a general feeling on the amount of moisture coming and the general risk of wet weather. Clearly if it rains at your house you think it was 100% chance of rain, but forecasters don't produce a forecast for one house, we produce it for a suburb or city or region. We find most people get the idea of the % of rain chances. The higher the chance of rain the more likely it is to be wet for more people. It's not perfect though, sometimes showers can be hard to get high accuracy with in an island nation like ours - this is why WeatherWatch produces our own detailed forecasts for the 6 main centres - and our 'grid' is the entire city. It's a general guide that most people tell us is very helpful, especially farmers and those in the rural sector.

Hope that helps!
Kind regards
WW

metric scale

Congratulations for using the metric measurements and not the Imperial measurements,which other forecasters use.

New Zealand forecasters would

New Zealand forecasters would use metric wouldn't they? Anyway, thanks I think! :)

WW

October 7 - weather

What are the chances of the weather changing between now and October 7? Hopefully the rain goes away!

Hi there The weather will

Hi there

The weather will likely be constantly changing between now and then - rain, sun, showers, strong winds, calmer periods. A whole mixed bag. I'm hoping though early to mid October we might start to see more influence from high pressure meaning calmer weather in general.

Cheers
Aaron

Sunday/Monday

Hi Guys, How windy do you see it getting around Auckland this coming Sunday and Monday? Your opposition are talking about gales but I don't see that in your maps and also you are talking "breezy" around 30 - 40 kph in your forecast. Are we like to see gale gusts?

Whomever the opposition is,

Whomever the opposition is, looks like that called it.

I'm one guy versus a huge

I'm one guy versus a huge team up in Wellington, apologies I didn't react the split second a model changed. Give me a break.......

Hi there Models change and

Hi there

Models change and yes they are showing stronger winds now for Sun / Mon. It just happened the run I landed on didn't show winds as strong at the time but provided things stay consistent I may well increase the wind speeds too, I like to see a few runs when it's concerning weather a few days away. Gale gusts do indeed look possible Sunday afternoon onwards, easing Monday evening. We'll see how things go later on.

WW

Saturday

Hi guy - hows the weather looking for Saturday Central Acukland? When would we expect rain/showers?

Hi there - the best way to

Hi there - the best way to monitor it is to look at our HOURLY forecasts for Saturday and focus on the % of rain. There are a few showers about on Saturday - can't really time them this far out but it looks like a higher chance of wet weather early in the morning at this stage, then mainly dry as the day goes on. Hourly forecasts are updated every hour so it's always up to date/best thinking.

Cheers

WW

Sun

HI any thoughts regarding decent sunny weather I'm sick of the rain papatoetoe garden is soaked please give me when we will see a change I wore my shorts and on the understanding spring warmth was here but ended up in.Hospital Always use your weather service really appreciate the accuracy.1myky

Hi there, take a look at

Hi there, take a look at Phil's latest weather video out today (Wednesday) as it talks about the dry spells coming up. Spring is typically changeable so no sudden end to the wet weather sorry, but we will have a gradual increase in drier days and those wet days should have lower rainfall totals. (Hopefully!). Slowly sliding towards summer now so drier weather usually kicks in gradually, especially around November.

Kind regards
WW

Tiritiri Matangi visit Saturday 30th Sep

Hi there, we're looking to book a trip out to Tiritiri Matangi Island this Saturday. Being in the northwest with the showers and wind forecast to come from the southwest, do you think we should be able to avoid the showers and enjoy a mostly sunny day? Thanks

Should be mostly dry on

Should be mostly dry on Saturday out there with passing clouds and a west to south west wind. Better than Friday and Sunday which have a fairly high chance of showers! 

All the best and double check the forecast before heading out, just in case anything changes between now and then.
Have fun!
- WW

Thunder

Heaps of thunder and lighting starting in Dunedin

Hail Don't forget the hail.

Hail Don't forget the hail. Rain, hail, thunder and lightning. All down here in awesome. Dunedin. A great day for studying for exams. Cat is a little freaked but it's all good.

Trying to save a shortcut to your website to my desktop....

Can't get it done somehow. Any help with that guys? Cheers, Lee, Tauranga

Hi there Depends which

Hi there

Depends which browser you are using. A search on google will help more then I will :D

https://www.google.co.nz/search?q=creating+a+website+shortcut+to+desktop...

Good luck!

Aaron

Fog

Hi guys - you are doing such a brilliant job - thank you!! is there any possibility of fog in Auckland Saturday morning? Flying to Wanganui to see my elderly MIL?

Hi there, the good news is

Hi there, the good news is that fog isn't too common at this time of the year unless under calm conditions and we have plenty of windy weather moving around the country this weekend. It won't be stormy but it won't be calm enough for fog at this stage. Happy flying - and keep up to date with our forecasts in case anything changes between now and then.

Cheers and thanks for the kind comment!!
- WW

Do we know if this year summer is El nino or la nina?

Hey Wondering if you know whether this summer season pattern is looking El nino or La nina (ie good summer or shite summer?)