Weather Forecast for Alexandra


Central Otago Summary

Cloudy with rain likely early

Forecast analysed and prepared by Weather Underground

Now

23.1°c

Observed at 6:31pm from:
Central Otago, Alexandra (IOTAGOAL8)

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Rain (today)0mm
WindSSW 24.1km/h
Humidity59%
Pressure1022hPa

Current conditions by Weather Underground

Tonight

13°c
Rain ending this evening. Partial clearing overnight
Rain (chance)80%
WindSSW 11km/h
Moon PhaseWaxing Crescent
Moon Illuminated27%

Computer generated forecast by Weather Underground

Tomorrow

25°c
Partly cloudy early followed by increasing clouds with showers developing later in the day
Rain (chance)40%
WindENE 16km/h

Computer generated forecast by Weather Underground

Next 24 Hours

7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
82%
chance
of rain
78%
chance
of rain
77%
chance
of rain
67%
chance
of rain
49%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
9%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
12%
chance
of rain
13%
chance
of rain
14%
chance
of rain
22%
chance
of rain
36%
chance
of rain
38%
chance
of rain
SSE
19km/hr
SSE
16km/hr
SE
11km/hr
SSE
6km/hr
SE
6km/hr
ESE
6km/hr
E
5km/hr
E
3km/hr
ENE
3km/hr
ESE
3km/hr
NE
3km/hr
E
2km/hr
ESE
3km/hr
ENE
3km/hr
NE
5km/hr
NE
6km/hr
ENE
10km/hr
ENE
8km/hr
ENE
10km/hr
ENE
10km/hr
ENE
11km/hr
ENE
11km/hr
E
13km/hr
E
16km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by Weather Underground

Next 9 Days

NEW - Click on each day to see hourly forecasts

Sat 25 Nov
25°c
13°c
Partly cloudy early followed by increasing clouds with showers developing later in the day
ENE
16km/hr
40%
chance
of rain
Weather Underground
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
24%
chance
of rain
9%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
12%
chance
of rain
13%
chance
of rain
14%
chance
of rain
22%
chance
of rain
36%
chance
of rain
38%
chance
of rain
44%
chance
of rain
43%
chance
of rain
46%
chance
of rain
32%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
ESE
6km/hr
E
5km/hr
E
3km/hr
ENE
3km/hr
ESE
3km/hr
NE
3km/hr
E
2km/hr
ESE
3km/hr
ENE
3km/hr
NE
5km/hr
NE
6km/hr
ENE
10km/hr
ENE
8km/hr
ENE
10km/hr
ENE
10km/hr
ENE
11km/hr
ENE
11km/hr
E
13km/hr
E
16km/hr
ESE
16km/hr
ESE
14km/hr
ESE
10km/hr
SE
8km/hr
ESE
6km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by Weather Underground

Sun 26 Nov
26°c
13°c
Partly cloudy early followed by increasing clouds with showers developing later in the day
ENE
16km/hr
60%
chance
of rain
Weather Underground
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
23%
chance
of rain
19%
chance
of rain
20%
chance
of rain
20%
chance
of rain
13%
chance
of rain
14%
chance
of rain
15%
chance
of rain
13%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
12%
chance
of rain
19%
chance
of rain
17%
chance
of rain
15%
chance
of rain
37%
chance
of rain
39%
chance
of rain
43%
chance
of rain
43%
chance
of rain
50%
chance
of rain
58%
chance
of rain
53%
chance
of rain
49%
chance
of rain
54%
chance
of rain
44%
chance
of rain
36%
chance
of rain
ESE
5km/hr
E
3km/hr
ENE
3km/hr
ENE
3km/hr
E
3km/hr
NE
5km/hr
ENE
2km/hr
ENE
3km/hr
NE
3km/hr
NNE
3km/hr
NNE
5km/hr
NE
5km/hr
NNE
5km/hr
ENE
5km/hr
ENE
5km/hr
E
10km/hr
ESE
11km/hr
SSE
13km/hr
SSE
16km/hr
SSE
16km/hr
SSE
18km/hr
S
13km/hr
S
11km/hr
S
10km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by Weather Underground

Mon 27 Nov
26°c
14°c
A mix of clouds and sun in the morning will give way to cloudy skies and light rain during the afternoon
ENE
11km/hr
60%
chance
of rain
Weather Underground
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
30%
chance
of rain
21%
chance
of rain
22%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
18%
chance
of rain
13%
chance
of rain
13%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
12%
chance
of rain
10%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
47%
chance
of rain
64%
chance
of rain
56%
chance
of rain
57%
chance
of rain
56%
chance
of rain
73%
chance
of rain
65%
chance
of rain
53%
chance
of rain
30%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
S
8km/hr
SSE
5km/hr
S
3km/hr
S
5km/hr
S
5km/hr
SSE
3km/hr
SE
2km/hr
E
3km/hr
ENE
2km/hr
NE
5km/hr
NE
6km/hr
NE
8km/hr
NE
6km/hr
NE
6km/hr
ENE
6km/hr
ENE
10km/hr
E
10km/hr
SE
10km/hr
SSE
13km/hr
S
13km/hr
SSE
11km/hr
SSE
8km/hr
SSE
5km/hr
S
5km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by Weather Underground

Tue 28 Nov
26°c
14°c
Partly cloudy early followed by increasing clouds with showers developing later in the day
ENE
16km/hr
40%
chance
of rain
Weather Underground
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
22%
chance
of rain
18%
chance
of rain
18%
chance
of rain
10%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
13%
chance
of rain
11%
chance
of rain
12%
chance
of rain
21%
chance
of rain
21%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
39%
chance
of rain
42%
chance
of rain
42%
chance
of rain
55%
chance
of rain
46%
chance
of rain
35%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
SSE
5km/hr
SE
5km/hr
SE
5km/hr
SSE
5km/hr
SSE
5km/hr
S
3km/hr
SE
2km/hr
W
3km/hr
NNE
3km/hr
NNE
6km/hr
N
6km/hr
NE
6km/hr
NE
6km/hr
ENE
6km/hr
E
6km/hr
SE
11km/hr
SSE
14km/hr
SSE
16km/hr
SSE
18km/hr
SSE
16km/hr
SE
13km/hr
SE
10km/hr
SSE
8km/hr
SSE
8km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by Weather Underground

Wed 29 Nov
24°c
13°c
Mostly cloudy with some showers in the afternoon
SE
18km/hr
40%
chance
of rain
Weather Underground
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
24%
chance
of rain
21%
chance
of rain
21%
chance
of rain
21%
chance
of rain
18%
chance
of rain
18%
chance
of rain
18%
chance
of rain
21%
chance
of rain
19%
chance
of rain
16%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
20%
chance
of rain
15%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
30%
chance
of rain
32%
chance
of rain
38%
chance
of rain
38%
chance
of rain
39%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
17%
chance
of rain
18%
chance
of rain
SSE
8km/hr
SE
6km/hr
SE
3km/hr
SE
3km/hr
SSE
3km/hr
S
3km/hr
SSE
3km/hr
S
3km/hr
SE
3km/hr
ESE
3km/hr
SE
5km/hr
ESE
6km/hr
SE
8km/hr
SE
10km/hr
SE
11km/hr
SE
14km/hr
SSE
16km/hr
SSE
18km/hr
SSE
19km/hr
SSE
16km/hr
SE
14km/hr
SE
11km/hr
SE
10km/hr
SE
8km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by Weather Underground

Thu 30 Nov
27°c
13°c
Partly cloudy early followed by increasing clouds with showers developing later in the day
ENE
13km/hr
40%
chance
of rain
Weather Underground
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
17%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
12%
chance
of rain
9%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
34%
chance
of rain
36%
chance
of rain
38%
chance
of rain
19%
chance
of rain
20%
chance
of rain
22%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
SE
8km/hr
ESE
6km/hr
E
5km/hr
E
5km/hr
E
5km/hr
NE
5km/hr
NE
3km/hr
NNE
5km/hr
NE
5km/hr
NE
6km/hr
NE
6km/hr
NE
6km/hr
NNE
6km/hr
NE
8km/hr
NE
8km/hr
E
10km/hr
SE
10km/hr
SSE
10km/hr
SSE
13km/hr
SSE
13km/hr
SSE
13km/hr
SSE
10km/hr
SSE
8km/hr
SSE
6km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by Weather Underground

Fri 1 Dec
28°c
12°c
Generally sunny despite a few afternoon clouds
NNW
16km/hr
10%
chance
of rain
Weather Underground
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
7%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
1%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
0%
chance
of rain
1%
chance
of rain
1%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
1%
chance
of rain
1%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
S
5km/hr
SE
3km/hr
WNW
5km/hr
NW
5km/hr
NW
6km/hr
NW
6km/hr
NW
5km/hr
NW
6km/hr
NNW
5km/hr
NNW
8km/hr
NNW
10km/hr
N
11km/hr
NNW
11km/hr
NNW
13km/hr
NNW
13km/hr
N
14km/hr
NNW
14km/hr
NW
14km/hr
NW
16km/hr
NW
14km/hr
NW
13km/hr
NNW
10km/hr
NNW
10km/hr
NNW
10km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by Weather Underground

Sat 2 Dec
26°c
13°c
Intervals of clouds and sunshine
N
19km/hr
10%
chance
of rain
Weather Underground
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
10%
chance
of rain
10%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
18%
chance
of rain
18%
chance
of rain
19%
chance
of rain
13%
chance
of rain
12%
chance
of rain
10%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
7%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
2%
chance
of rain
2%
chance
of rain
N
11km/hr
N
10km/hr
N
10km/hr
N
10km/hr
N
8km/hr
N
8km/hr
N
6km/hr
NNW
8km/hr
N
10km/hr
N
11km/hr
N
14km/hr
N
16km/hr
N
16km/hr
N
18km/hr
N
18km/hr
NNE
19km/hr
NNE
21km/hr
NNE
21km/hr
NNE
21km/hr
NNE
19km/hr
N
18km/hr
N
14km/hr
N
13km/hr
N
11km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by Weather Underground

Sun 3 Dec
24°c
13°c
A shower or two around the area in the morning, then partly cloudy in the afternoon
NNW
23km/hr
30%
chance
of rain
Weather Underground
View hourly forecast ▼
12:00
AM
1:00
AM
2:00
AM
3:00
AM
4:00
AM
5:00
AM
6:00
AM
7:00
AM
8:00
AM
9:00
AM
10:00
AM
11:00
AM
12:00
PM
1:00
PM
2:00
PM
3:00
PM
4:00
PM
5:00
PM
6:00
PM
7:00
PM
8:00
PM
9:00
PM
10:00
PM
11:00
PM
2%
chance
of rain
15%
chance
of rain
23%
chance
of rain
34%
chance
of rain
37%
chance
of rain
43%
chance
of rain
45%
chance
of rain
33%
chance
of rain
30%
chance
of rain
24%
chance
of rain
17%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
8%
chance
of rain
2%
chance
of rain
3%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
4%
chance
of rain
5%
chance
of rain
6%
chance
of rain
9%
chance
of rain
9%
chance
of rain
13%
chance
of rain
13%
chance
of rain
15%
chance
of rain
N
11km/hr
N
11km/hr
N
10km/hr
N
10km/hr
N
10km/hr
N
10km/hr
N
10km/hr
NNW
11km/hr
N
11km/hr
N
13km/hr
NNW
14km/hr
NNW
16km/hr
NNW
18km/hr
NNW
18km/hr
NNW
19km/hr
NNW
23km/hr
NNW
23km/hr
NNW
23km/hr
NNW
23km/hr
NNW
21km/hr
NNW
19km/hr
NNW
18km/hr
NNW
16km/hr
NNW
14km/hr

Hourly forecast analysed and prepared by Weather Underground


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Comments

Low cloud

Hi Philip, you may call it "wet air without precipitation" but I would call it damn damp. Vegetation is just as wet as if we had had drizzle. What is the cause of the fog/low clouds that makes everything so wet. Thanks Ross Oamaru

Hi there Ross, great local

Hi there Ross, great local update thanks very much. Amongst this large high over NZ we've also had a small area of sinking air pressure in the east. That coupled with a slight easterly flow and the daytime heating further inland is creating for some interesting conditions - especially as the hot weather inland draws in this more humid airflow from the sea in coastal parts of the east. We've seen a lot of fog and low cloud in the mornings and with overnight cooling and calmness all the moisture sinks and settles around the coastal areas - Dunedin had fog and low cloud all yesterday and again this morning. A drizzly calm or foggy morning on a calm day at this time of year can also be a signal of larger cloud build ups with downpours in the afternoon once the daytime heating kicks in, inland. It warms up a little more and dries out a bit further tomorrow by the looks of it where you are.
Kind regards
Philip Duncan

Weekend

Hi Team, Early I know but How are we looking in Auckland for Saturday and Sunday?

Looks pretty good to me,

Looks pretty good to me, mainly settled with anticyclonic conditions. Mostly sunny but some cloud at times especially in the afternoons. Winds are light. High's in the low to mid twenties.

Cheers
Aaron

Why is it so cold in

Why is it so cold in Whangarei this spring? We had a fire going last night!! ( 18/11/ 17)

Just the way the lows are

Just the way the lows are rolling in, southeasterly airflows and Northland catches it. It should warm up soon enough as summer comes along :)

Aaron

Next Monday and Tuesday in Mt Cook area

Hi. We plan to do hiking in Mt Cook next Monday or Tuesday. May I know which day is better? I noticed you said there will be afternoon downpour around south island on Tuesday. May I get more information? Thanks!

For safety it is probably

For safety it is probably best to refer to a specific forecast for a mountain area. http://www.metservice.com/mountain/aoraki-mount-cook-national-park

Provided MetService is

Provided their forecast is accurate of course...

But yes - definitely check the tax funded Government forecasts too, at MetService. Always worth checking with a state forecaster when heading into National Parks.

- WW

Hi there. We have forecasts

Hi there. We have forecasts for Pukaki which is the nearest settlement to Mt Cook. It's not a mountain forecast but it gives you a basic foundation for general conditions in the area: http://www.weatherwatch.co.nz/weather-forecasts/Pukaki.   We also have forecasts for nearby Lake Tekapo for double checking/more info: http://www.weatherwatch.co.nz/weather-forecasts/Lake-Tekapo

Both Monday and Tuesday do look similar athough perhaps a slightly higher chance of isolated downpours around the South Island ranges on Monday. 

Have a great time! 

- WW

Saturday 9 December

Hi Weather Watch You have successfully forecast a long range prediction for our annual Life Education Charity Day at Ellerslie Racecourse What are your thoughts for Saturday 9 December?, Cheers & Thanks...we will have 320+ people on the Champagne Lawn for Lunch!

Hi there, I wish we could

Hi there, I wish we could help you but it's still too far out! Ask us again 10 to 14 days out from Dec 9 and we can give you a good rough idea :) 

Cheers - and wow 320+ is a LOT of people, no wonder you want to know the forecast!!
Phil D

9 December

Thanks Phil! Look forward to your prediction when you are able! Cheers

Auckland weather today

No rain here in Helensville. Can see the black clouds to the east of us.

Rain

A little rain drizzles down in New Lynn. Most welcome!

Bad weather

Hi Phil/Aaron, Our weekends in auckland have tended to be the most affected by bad weather with lows and bad fronts creeping by. I know its a long way out but anything bad potentially brewing for this saturday? I know you guys provide a free service and some of the comments below are absolutely shocking! Poor feeling of entitlement when you guys are just trying to do a good job and to be fair you stuck by your guns last week when the rest of NZ predicted rain,showers and all sorts. I remember Aaron re iterating that S/E winds dont bring rain so it will be dry. For that I want to say that there are quiet a few of us that love your work and follow you religiously so please keep at it! You guys are awesome.

Hi there - wow - what a

Hi there - wow - what a lovely message to get and it definitely more than makes up for the odd grumpy one we get! :) Thanks! Yes the SE wind flow is quite predictable, so with these lows what we're really looking for isn't the CHANCE of rain, we're looking for the actual middle of the low to reach land. Even when Cyclone Cook came in (and remember it made landfall in BOP) but despite flooding rains in Coromandel Peninsula and eastern Waikato it was almost bone dry in Auckland. So even in intense lows this set up can be a dry one - but not if the centre of the low comes in, then rain is likely. At this stage this weekend looks like a repeat (Latest news here: http://www.weatherwatch.co.nz/content/another-sub-tropical-low-weekend-what-will-it-mean-nz-2-maps) but it's worth monitoring as still 5 days out or so. There may be more blocking highs around NZ to influence this next low.

Thanks again for taking the time to write in with something supportive, we hugely appreciate it.
Kind regards
Phil, Aaron and the small team :) 

Weather Mount Manganui this weekend

Could you please advise what the weather may be like at the Mount this weekend. Met service says rain on Saturday and Sunday . Where as yours is looking more favorable!

Hi there, at this stage New

Hi there, at this stage New Zealand looks to have a repeat performance with another sub-tropical low BRUSHING the upper North Island. This means 80 or 90% of the rain and wind will be out at sea, but close enough to brush you with some rain (as we saw this past Saturday). We probably won't be able to lock in with certainty until about Thursday, but at this stage it's not looking overly wet (but remains one to watch due to the fine line between wet and dry, as we just saw!).

Cheers

WW

Sat weather

Yesterday and pre days you forecasted a wet weekend Beach Haven and Auckland so I cancelled my break but now we have sunshine and warmth. Understand that weather can move very quickly but even last night between news it said wet day. Nice one AGAIN!

Get a grip buddy

Get a grip buddy

All week long the guys at WW

All week long the guys at WW were saying it was going to be very difficult to forecast...and could be wet or dry depending on a slight shift so blaming them for a decision you made is pretty crappy. Maybe try reading more than the first sentence in a report/forcast next time...

That's pretty harsh

Out of the 3 weather sites I follow YR Wunderground and weather watch. I must say that weather watch this time as it is most times was the most accurate. It's pretty easy to sit behind a keyboard and bring people down.

Hi there - every one of our

Hi there - every one of our videos this week and many of our news stories mentioned that Auckland was borderline for rain and may even have a dry weekend. Our detailed Auckland forecasts also didn't say it was going to be overly wet for most of the week for today. We can't help you with the news last night you watched and the other weather provider that said that. We suggest you look at all our sources if you really depend on the weather that much. The bigger picture can help explain uncertainty which is a very big part of forecasting.

Your taxes actually pay for/own 3 other forecast providers (MetService, Niwa and MetOcean) which you're more than welcome to use.

Kind regards and thanks for using our entirely free service.
WeatherWatch

Wintery feeling

Amazing difference in temperature this morning. Feels very autumn/winter like in Newl Lynn. It is dry with a very chilly wind. Had to water pots and sheltered garden spots last night.

That's the freshening south

That's the freshening south to south east wind flow today (and tomorrow). Does feel Autumn like acually, a bit like around Easter time! 

Warms up next week :) 
Cheers

WW

Superb forecasting, Weatherwatch scores again!

Hi Philip and the Weatherwatch team - Congratulations, you have scored again! I wish more people trusted your forecasting, or even that more people are aware of it as an alternative. An outdoor activity for today north of Auckland was cancelled and now the sun is shining (watery, but it is there). Even if the sun doesn't last, cloud, wind and a little rain, as your forecast was saying all week, would be acceptable. I imagine the organisers are feeling rather frustrated about the forecasting on which their decision must have been based. Take an A+ Weatherwatch!

Hi there, wow what a lovely

Hi there, wow what a lovely message to get on a Saturday morning. Thank you very much for taking the time to write in. These set ups can be very frustrating to forecast but we've been established in Auckland for close to 20 years now so we're starting to really pick up in advance the systems that typically don't produce much (even though there may be a high potential for adverse weather). Appreciate your email - and word of mouth is the best thing you can do to help get our brand out there :) Thanks so much for your support!

Kind regards
Philip Duncan.

Sub tropical lows on weekly cycle

Am I imagining it or are these sub tropical lows hitting very early?? Normally if we get them I remember them hitting well after Xmas when things are hotter. Cant believe the upper North getting these weekend after weekend...2017 weather for Auckland has been just plain miserable. I really hope 2018 wont be a repeat - any positive news?

Hi there, no we can get

Hi there, no we can get sub-tropical lows in November as this is the start of the cyclone season so usually we start to see some life to our north. These lows are fairly weak and actually tie back into the pattern we were in back in early spring and winter. As for 2018 - yes can't lock in just yet! Stay optimistic if ya can!

- WW

Weather for Saturday

Hi, your rain maps are now showing rain over Auckland for Saturday, despite your weather video saying rain should dodge Auckland, we have our school fair from 11am to 4pm in Mt Eden....do you think it is likely we will see rain and if yes, how much!!??? Thanks

Hi there, the rain maps still

Hi there, the rain maps still are the same as from the video :) Definitely a chance of some patchy rain in Auckland but still based on this evening's maps/models we don't expect anything major. We'll have a much clearer idea on Friday about totals - with such a fine line between drizzly rain and heavy rain it's one to keep an eye on. While the %/Chance of rain may be high, the amount of rain forecast may not be. We'll have more details across Friday about this incoming low and rain chances.

Cheers!
- WW

Re

Thanks guys looks like a lot of people are keen to find out what is happening Saturday. Big ask but can you post a bit of a summary as to what to expect when in Auckland when you do find out on Friday? Thanks a lot Phil/ Aaron

Hi there - we have a story up

Hi there - we have a story up on our homepage right now about Auckland and other northern areas re: Saturday's rain risks. Rainfall totals look varied and we're not going as wet as other forecasters are but still a chance of some heavy downpours around. We'll have even clearer forecasts by dawn on Saturday (but granted that may be too late for some people trying to plan things today!). Historically set ups like this don't produce a lot of rain for Auckland city - but with such a fine line between rain and dry it's certainly harder to lock things in, in advance, much more so than usual :)

Cheers
Phil

Saturday 11th Nov

This is so important for me too. I need to find out if Auckland Central will dodge the rain as well.

Saturday

Hi team hows Saturday looking for Auckland as of now ? Every other forecast website is predicting rain, what do you guys reckon ? Cheers Thanks Sami

Hi Sami Still thinking along

Hi Sami

Still thinking along the lines our forecast for Auckland is currently. Check out Phil's latest video also as he talks about Saturday and what he thinks, re it being a fine line between it possibly being wet or totally dry.

Cheers
Aaron

Thanks Aaron, the hourly

Thanks Aaron, the hourly forecast is showing 50-70% precipitation ??

It's a model. Not saying

It's a model. Not saying showers won't happen but they typically don't happen in a southeast flow for Auckland but we'll have to see as the days come along how things are narrowing down.

Cheers
Aaron

Thanks Aaron ! Keeping my

Thanks Aaron ! Keeping my fingers crossed for a dry day !

Next weekend

Hi Phil The models are picking a sub troppo coming down next weekend. I know that is fair way out but have you got any thoughts on the timing of it? It looks potentially a bit nasty Cheers Dave

Hey Dave, it's still a bit

Hey Dave, it's still a bit too far out to work out what will happen due to the very large high around New Zealand next week. It may end up chopping and changing quite a bit so we're not really sure at this stage - also mainly focusing on the subtropical low brushing by THIS weekend! It may follow a similar track (from NW to SE). ECMWF is placing the low you're talking about slightly further east than GFS so perhaps 10 days from now either northern NZ or just NE of northern NZ. Anything could happen between now and then though! We'll probably have something about it in our news feed either Thursday or Friday. 

Cheers
Phil.

 

Hi Minimum Temps for

Hi Minimum Temps for Middlemarch seem a bit high for now last night showed 12 it got down to 1 with snow flurries.

Hi there, thanks very much

Hi there, thanks very much for reporting this. Let us know if it continues to miss the mark. Forecast currently shows a low of 3 for tonight. Most likely the colder air came in just a little earlier than forecast last night, which can sometimes happen when the centre of a deep low moves in, can be a little tricky to work out with precision. If you see further issues don't hesitate to let us know. We are soon updating our data sources and we hope this will improve our forecasts even further.

Cheers
WW

Hourly forecast

Hi there from Whangamata - the hourly forecast is not showing, everything else works fine - can you assist?

Hi there, it seems to be

Hi there, it seems to be working at our end. Perhaps try turning your computer/device off and on again, it may well work after a reboot. Let us know if know luck!
Cheers
WW Team

Saturday in Auckland

Hi Whats the weather looking like for this Saturday in the Auckland airport area?

Please see our detailed

Please see our detailed Auckland forecasts which cover this area including hourly forecasts as well. Looking like SE winds and mostly dry, chance of a shower maybe. 
Cheers
WW

Re

Is this confirmed team in Auckland? Love your work and you are usually the go to but Niwa and Metservice have it as torrential rain.

Saturday is currently a

Saturday is currently a southerly or southeast airflow over Auckland, it's almost like a northwest in Canterbury. Not much rain will really push through in those conditions. Might be a shower, further updates will come as Saturday ticks closer where we can refine our thoughts. Keep an eye out :)

Aaron