Weather Forecast for Napier


Hawke's Bay Summary

Mainly cloudy

Forecast analysed and prepared by Weather Underground

Now12:04am Mon

11°c
Rain (today)0mm
WindW 16.6km/h
Humidity49%
Pressure1016hPa

Current conditions by Weather Underground

Today

14°c
Mainly cloudy
Rain (chance)10%
WindSSE 10km/h
Sunrise6:40am
Sunset5:47pm

Computer generated forecast by Weather Underground

Tonight

8°c
Partly cloudy
Rain (chance)10%
WindSSE 10km/h
Moon PhaseWaning Crescent
Moon Illuminated16%

Computer generated forecast by Weather Underground

Next 9 Days

Tue 30 Aug
15°c
6°c
Partly to mostly cloudy
S
14km/hr
10%
chance
of rain
Weather Underground
Wed 31 Aug
14°c
4°c
Intervals of clouds and sunshine
SSE
11km/hr
10%
chance
of rain
Weather Underground
Thu 1 Sep
17°c
8°c
Sunny
SE
11km/hr
10%
chance
of rain
Weather Underground
Fri 2 Sep
20°c
10°c
A few passing clouds, otherwise generally sunny
NW
13km/hr
10%
chance
of rain
Weather Underground
Sat 3 Sep
19°c
8°c
Partly cloudy skies in the morning will give way to cloudy skies during the afternoon
SW
13km/hr
10%
chance
of rain
Weather Underground
Sun 4 Sep
18°c
11°c
Sunshine and clouds mixed
NE
11km/hr
10%
chance
of rain
Weather Underground
Mon 5 Sep
19°c
9°c
Cloudy skies early, then partly cloudy in the afternoon
N
16km/hr
20%
chance
of rain
Weather Underground
Tue 6 Sep
18°c
10°c
Mostly cloudy early with showers developing later in the day
NNE
13km/hr
30%
chance
of rain
Weather Underground
Wed 7 Sep
16°c
9°c
Mostly cloudy skies with a few showers later in the day
SSW
14km/hr
30%
chance
of rain
Weather Underground

Before asking us a Question:

We love to have comments and questions posted here at WeatherWatch.co.nz - but before you ask a long range weather question (ie, beyond our 10 day forecast above) please check our interactive maps page first! This link will take you to our Rain, Wind, Swell, Temperature maps and more - going out 14 days.

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Comments

Spring

G'day,

Thankyou for your thoughts and views on the coming spring for canterbury.

One final question.

This time last year most if not all nz weather agencies were advising the entire east coast of the Sth island and parts of the nth island to start giving thought to de stocking because of the view of a very dry spring/summer coming. Is that more or less the same view held for this spring/summer or are we hopefully heading for something not quite so severe given the current neutral weather pattern?Appreciate your thoughts.

 

cheers

Hi there - not a problem :)

Hi there - not a problem :) With regards to NZ weather agencies (both of them) yes they warned of big dry weather, they also warned of it for 2 years and most regions weren't so badly impacted. It's a very very hard question to answer - as NZ is so small that one single low or high pressure system can dwarf us and totally reverse whatever pattern is "set in". Neutral patterns (like now) are more chaotic - meaning anything can happen, from the north, east, south and west.   In winter it means we get subtropical weather and antarctic blasts - but in summer things slow down so much that "chaos" isn't quite so chaotic! (if that makes sense!?). Basically, what we're saying is, in summer the chaos factor can be slow so we could have a few weeks of rain and then two months of dry - or the other way around. It's not changing every day or two like it is right now.  If we're heading towards La Nina that might support a few more rain makers in the sub-tropics and Tasman Sea area too this summer (a bit like what we're seeing at the moment).

When the weather agencies make their calls it's important to look at their track record over the past decade (about 50/50), along with the history of where you live - and then take a look at what has been happening recently. All of that info is helpful. We look forward to seeing the tax funded NIWA & MS predictions for summer, but as we do every year we come to our own conclusions and share them with you all. Each forecaster has strengths and weaknesses in every region - but we believe being independent and not just copying and pasting Government forecasts makes us a good place to come for a second opinion, or to double check your own opinions/theories.  

It's this strong Independence that has landed us 3 contracts with the Ministry for Primary Industries over the past five years for drought reporting - which is stunning when you consider 125 million dollars a year of tax funding goes to NIWA and Metservice...so we must be doing something right!

Kind regards

Philip Duncan

Spring weather

G'day Phil,

Do you guys see any clear trends in your opinion developing for Canterbury for the coming spring.

Obviously we are miles and miles behind on our average rainfall and have had an extremely dry winter.

There is varying opinions out there with of some of your rivals saying that we are heading into another drought this spring while others are picking a wetter and cooler spring for Canterbury.

What are your thoughts? 

Be interesting to hear.

cheers

Hi there, thanks for the

Hi there, thanks for the important question. We've been very public about our disagreement with NIWA's winter forecasts for Canterbury, to the point we contacted MPI back in Autumn to say we disagreed with their wet winter forecast. We came to this conclusion not because a computer told us a forecast to read out, but because we looked at the big picture, looked at the pattern over the past 6 months and looked at our forecast for the month ahead. From that we could see the westerly flow continuing over winter which would limit your rainmakers. Unfortunately we still see this westerly flow continuing - and probably enhancing a bit in spring (which is normal). However - we do have some positives: 1) Recent rains have actully boosted some parts of Canterbury back into healthy - it's not for everyone, but it's not as bleak as it was even a month ago - something is better than nothing right?  2) We have a chance of some wet weather over the next few days. 3) The neutral pattern at the moment encourages lows to cross Canterbury bringing in rain or showers.  4) There is some talk of La Nina coming in - but not until next year, and this can bring in wetter NE winds.

With NZ being two small islands in the roaring forties it's hard, perhaps impossible, to lock in a full seasonal forecast with accuracy. The late great Augie Auer said NZ's seasonal forecasts were as accurate as the flip of a coin.

So while not overly positive with plenty of dry weather still coming, it's also not a complete doom and gloom forecast - especially while we remain in a neutral pattern (ie no La Nina or El Nino) and that encourages more chaos - which can give you a better chance of a rain maker in our view.

Sorry we can't be more specific or certain than that at this stage.

Kind regards
Philip Duncan

Saturday

Hi Phil

what is your take on the wind on Saturday in the Coro?

The reason I ask is our friends at MS are saying 5kt variable but all the maps suggest 25kts

That is a big variation for a fisherman

Cheers Dave

Hi DaveAt this stage it's

Hi Dave

At this stage it's looking like strong west to south west winds of 25kts gusting higher, but Sunday may be closer to 5 to 15knots. Certainly doesn't look calm on Saturday at this stage, in our view - we'd agree with your assessment!

Cheers

Phil

Saturday

Yeah it isn't good enough frankly

I shouldn't bag them on your site but we all deserve better than that

Cheers Dave

snow

Hi,

We plan to come to Christchurch in September with the grand kids, will there be any snow left by then.

Would love to hear from you when you get the time

 

Thank you

Elaine

Hi ElaineThere is no snow to

Hi Elaine

There is no snow to speak of in Christchurch itself. There should be snow in the Southern Alps / mainly about ski fields when you come down.

You never know we could get a cold snap move through but as we move on in the year the chance of that gradually becomes less and less.

Thanks for writing in! :)

- WW Team

Cloud types

Do you state what type of clouds as part of the daily information. My son is doing a scout badge and they need to know what type of clouds are in the sky.

The cloud chart on the internet is only a little helpful. It would be nice if this information was included wiht the daily weather info.

 

Cheers

Fiona

Today's rain

A few flecks of rain in the breeze felt in New Lynn today.

Breeze from various directions blew rain clouds apart!

Why no images with stories, only graphics?  Images brighten and enhance the site. 

 

Temperatures

I have wanted to go to Cromwell in Cental Otago for the last few weeks so have been checking your expected temperatures which have been telling us to expect temperatures of around the 6,7,8 degrees.

Last week on thursday I went only to find the temperatres had been considerably higher than those stated and on the 3 days I was there 14 and 15s were the norm, the upcoming 9 days temperatures listed today 21st August are all 7 apart from Friday which is 8.

Can you please explain who or where you get these expected temperatures from.

Hi there - the temperatures

Hi there - the temperatures and forecasts we have for Cromwell come from Weather Underground (Wunderground). Cromwell, being so far inland and with mountains nearby can be a tricky place to forecast temperature-wise. Today and tomorrow there are northerlies which really can warm up locally. This is the first issue we've had with the Cromwell forecast so if there is a problem with it we will definitely take note and let Wunderground know. It was Wunderground that accurately nailed the snow and temperatures across the South Island during the recent cold blast, but it's possible it may not be doing such a good job with these warmer than usual northerlies (as 14s and 15s aren't the norm for Cromwell in August usually!) for your specific location.

New Zealand tax payers fund MetService and NIWA (120 million dollars annually) - not sure if they provide a Cromwell forecast (don't think so?) so hopefully we at least give you a fairly accurate general forecast at absolutely no cost. The recent 14s and 15s are definitely above average - and perhaps there is a bug with the Cromwell forecast with some of the higher peaks in temperatures, we can certainly look into it.

Kind regards

WW

Fog

Do you include fog forecasts for Milford?

Alan

Hi there, do you mean Milford

Hi there, do you mean Milford in Auckland? Or Milford Sound? Our Auckland forecasts usually cover fog, but not always as sometimes small pockets can appear in a valley within just one or two suburbs. Fog is simply cloud at ground level - so imagine having to forecast where a few isolated small clouds might form! The automated Wunderground forecasts generally don't cover fog. Our InfoGraphics at 7am and 5pm Mon to Fri also cover fog.

Kind regards
WW Weekends

Milford Sound

I meant Milford Sound!  We plan to be there in March - just like to be able to check before going from Queenstown! We have a few days and it would be good to pick the best day!

Ah! Well, typically Fiordland

Ah! Well, typically Fiordland has more low cloud than fog. It's one of the wettest places on the entire planet so any given week of the year may have a low cloud and heavy rain warning event. There is absolutely no way to answer your question in advance sorry - but fog is less common than low cloud/heavy rain for Milford Sound. Many say the rain actually makes the area more beautiful. As for time of day - again the frequency of rain bands means it's down to the luck of the draw on those few days you have!  Our 10 day forecasts have a very acurate % of rain for Milford Sound so use that to help you closer to the time. All the best!

Cheers

WW

Magnificent Weather

A golden glow as the sun sets, turning orange and a smudge of white cirrus in West Auckland; while soft pink tinges appear in Southern skies.

Love the warmth of the sun with the fresh Southern breeze!

Is that it?

Hi Guys  -with the cold snapped gone - is that it for winter do you think?

Hi there - ohhh that's the

Hi there - ohhh that's the million dollar question! Put it this way, the coldest time of the year is traditionally July and the first half of August. But snow storms and heavy frosts can occur right through until October. So we're not out of the woods, but the chance of seeing such a brutal and long lasting cold snap gets less likely with every passing week now. If we had to bet money we'd probably say the worst has been - but never say never in early spring as September can throw some very cold days, and a few Octobers ago Auckland broke a daytime high record (the lowest Oct high) of just 9 degrees. The difference between now and spring, however, is the length of the cold snap - August they can linger but in September they tend to race through with warmer weather returning by the next day or so.

Cheers
- WW

Snowman building

Hi I know you are probably bored of this subject but we will be in North Island for 9 nights from 24th August and my 8 year old is desperate to build a snowman.

Hi there - snow will be

Hi there - thanks for your question.

Snow will be around the central Plateau (Mt Ruapehu) and depending on how much snow is around then you may be able to build a snowman.  It's probably the easiest place to get to - but you might want to check snow reports at Whakapapa or Turoa skifields up on the mountain.  Keep up to date with forecasts here: http://www.weatherwatch.co.nz/weather-forecasts/Whakapapa-skifield and http://www.weatherwatch.co.nz/weather-forecasts/Turoa-Mt-Ruapehu.  Also here is Waiouru: (at the base of the mountain) http://www.weatherwatch.co.nz/weather-forecasts/Waiouru

Cheers

WW

Is there any apps for

Is there any apps for mobile?

 

The FREE WeatherWatch App

Hi there - yes we have a free app for android available at Google Play by clicking here, and we also have an app available for iPhones and iPads available here from the Apple Store.  Both are free.  The Apple Store rating for our App is 4+ and 3.8 for Google Play (out of 5).

Cheers :)

WeatherWatch

Big ups to the people of

Big ups to the people of Auckland.  Just seen your weather history for the last month.  I can't believe how often it rains up there!  No way I could handle the wet and traffic - you guys would have to have one of the worst climates in the country.  But enough people stay there and put up with it.  Toughness I never realised Aucklanders had!!

rain.

yep it rains quite a bit in aucks that's what makes it so verdant & going into summer with a full tank is great, esp. when we can face 6 wks of dry stuff.

currently the daffs, hibiscus, magnolia, cherry blossoms et al are loving the dampness & warmth of late winter.

how do you

how do you know what the wether is really going to be and it's dgrees

Hi thereHow do we forecast?

Hi there

How do we forecast? Using various computer model outputs, they suck in information from around the world / NZ via weather stations and satellites etc then extrapolate that information into the future. So there's that, plus general experience and sometimes a gut feeling as to what may happen with a particular situation.

That's the basic formula for how we go about it.

Hope that helps?

- WW Team

must be

magic

There's that too :D- WW Team

There's that too :D

- WW Team

Temp drop

bbbrrr temperature has dropped in New Lynn. Inactivity doesn't help watching Olympics :)

A little more sunshine would be welcome!

rain

Hi There,

 

In Auckland it seems from memory that its virtually been non stop rain since end of May, when is this likely to let up for longer than a day.

 

G'day thereA totally dry day

G'day there

A totally dry day with no sign of rain or showers? Hmm hard to say, it's the nature of Auckland that the weather can come from all directions. And currently the pattern isn't all that settled apart from the odd day here and there. Auckland isn't like Canterbury where we have the Southern Alps blocking weather coming in from the west.

Suffice to say perhaps Friday coming up? Today and Tuesday will likely have long dry periods but there may be the odd shower at times too.

Keep an eye on our detailed Auckland forecast to see what's coming up :)

- WW Team

When can we expect better weather

Hi there when can we expect all this rain to stop and better weather to appear

 

Xmas maybe.

Xmas maybe.could be the new year if in Auckland

Hi thereWhere for exactly?

Hi there

Where for exactly? lol. You can always type your location into our search box on our homepage which will give information for you :)

- WW Team

Any chance of snow in Christchurch lately?

Is there any chance of snow in Christchurch over the next couple of days? 

Hey there will there be any

Hey there will there be any chance of snow in Palmy?

Hi there, probably not enough

Hi there, probably not enough moisture in your area for rain or snow - but you'll find more info here: http://www.weatherwatch.co.nz/content/10-faqs-about-incoming-polar-blast

Cheers

WW

Flight

My flight has now been delayed, it is due in at 1:40 and leaving at 10 Your time what is the expected weather via bne to dud , especially the tasman sea

Hi there - the Tasman has a

Hi there - the Tasman has a fair bit of high pressure towards Dunedin. A bit of turbulence but generally not too bad. Below zero in Dunedin overnight with ice on the runway the only concerns, which the airport and airline will be monitoring. 

Have a good flight
WW

auckland snow??

Any chance of auckland snow, like a few years ago!!!!

Not from this event sorry! -

Not from this event sorry!

- WW

Travelling from Invercargill to Queenstown this weekend

Hiya am driving from Invercargill to Qtown Saturday morning returning Sunday afternoon - any word on road conditions to watch out for - snow, ice etc?

Hi there - for roading

Hi there - for roading information you need to visit the NZTA website. For all other questions about this polar event take a look at our Frequently Asked Questions, it should cover what you're looking for here: http://www.weatherwatch.co.nz/content/10-faqs-about-incoming-polar-blast

Traveling to napier from AKL int airport

Hi

Im driving from Auckland to Napier Friday 12th...Arrive in NZ around 1330...Will this be pretty clear of snow?

 

 

Hi there - it's a long way

Hi there - it's a long way out so we can't know for sure, but at this stage yes it looks ok to drive through around then.
Cheers
WW

Snow in Wellington

Will there be snow in Wellington any time soon reaching places like Karori??

Hi there - we have detailed

Hi there - we have detailed Wellington forecasts which have snow levels - see our FAQ page for more: http://www.weatherwatch.co.nz/content/10-faqs-about-incoming-polar-blast

Cheers
WW