Weather Video: Cyclone Gita’s precise track to NZ still not locked in

Severe Tropical Cyclone Gita is closing in on eastern New Caledonia then it will move out into the Tasman Sea this weekend before curving around to New Zealand next week.

The storm will likely bring rain heavy enough for flooding in the New Zealand area but the computer modelling still isn’t on the same page about timing, exact location and intensity.

Cyclone Gita currently Category 5, to likely make landfall in NZ next week

Updated: Severe Tropical Cyclone Gita remains Category 5 status as of 4pm today over warm ocean waters 1800kms north of Auckland, New Zealand. The Fiji MetService confirmed this in their 3pm advisory, saying the air pressure is at 928hPa, tracking west at 9 knots.

Stormy cold front swiping Tasmania & Melbourne, temp drops ahead for lower South Island

A sharp cold front has passed across Tasmania and the southern coastline of Victoria today bringing a period of heavy rain and gale force winds. 

Strong winds are expected across the state today.

Also expect a temperature drop behind the front. Maximum temperatures in areas between Melbourne and Adelaide will be mostly under 20C, significantly cooler than usual.

Weather Video: Cyclone Gita likely to make landfall in NZ next week

The forecasters and computer models are increasingly lining up and in agreement that next week Cyclone Gita will make a direct hit on New Zealand as a wind and rain event bringing a risk of flooding and wind damage.

Northern NZ feels like the tropics + Cyclone Gita's possible future track (+10 maps)

The upper North Island is officially wetter than it should be for this time of the year (no kidding!) as humidity up to 100% along with heavy rain and isolated thunderstorms continues today and to a lesser degree on Wednesday.

Water vapour satellite maps show the exceptionally damp airflow connecting to the tropics and even around the area Cyclone Gita is in.

VIDEO: NZ’s weather up until Sunday plus the possible future path of Cyclone Gita

Heavy rain and very high humidity continues to affect the upper North Island with Auckland experiencing some very tropical conditions and thunderstorms also popping up here in there in the upper north.

VIDEO: Philip Duncan talks to Jack Tame from TVNZ's Breakfast about Cyclone Gita's future

Jack Tame from TVNZ's Breakfast Show chats to head forecaster Philip Duncan as Cyclone Gita moves westwards away from Tonga on a several day track into the Tasman Sea.

Powerful Gita crosses southern Tonga, now out to open waters and later the Tasman Sea

Powerful Cyclone Gita is now starting to move away from Tonga after a night of ferocious weather with winds estimated to be sustained at 230km/h and gusts to 280km/h at the centre of the storm and huge seas creating waves over 11 metres.

Weather Video: Severe Cyclone Gita aims for Tonga + NZ’s outlook to Saturday

Category 4 and possibly soon Category 5 Tropical Cyclone Gita is today and tonight heading to Tonga. It is expected to pass directly over the main island and capital, or at least brush the tiny island with the storm’s full force.

Where the heaviest rain is going to fall over the next few days (+4 Maps)

Heavy rainfall has been observed in both islands over the weekend, mainly over the central and western North Island and northern South Island. A narrow front lies draped over the eastern Upper North Island for Monday but will become more consolidated on Tuesday as it drifts back west.